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“The stable and open international order erected during America’s watch—Pax Americana—is unraveling, giving way to global disarray,” argues expert @CharlesKupchan.
In his new book, Bringing Order to Anarchy: Governing the World to Come, Kupchan lays out a guide for building a new order fit for the emerging multipolar world. Learn more: cfr.org/books/bringing-order…
"Since the advent of the second Trump administration, a disproportionate number of women and Black senior officers have been dismissed without any stated cause and removed from promotion lists," writes expert @RobinsonL100 in a new CFR report.
"The effect on U.S. national security is pernicious," Robinson argues. "At a time when the United States faces more intense challenges from peer competitors and accelerating technological change, it is undermining the quality of its own force and increasing risk to operational success."
Read the full report: cfr.org/reports/the-war-on-m…
CFR President @MikeFroman analyzes the high level of participation and youth involvement in recent global elections in Serbia, Brazil, and Israel.
Read The World This Week for more: cfr.org/articles/the-demise-…
Happy Halloween, from CFR!
Check out these spooky @ForeignAffairs pumpkins from CFR staff member Heather Ryerson.
President Donald Trump has a “transactional view about the U.S. role in the world and U.S. actions,” says Jim Steinberg, dean of Johns Hopkins SAIS, in conversation with The Spillover host Rebecca Patterson. Steinberg and Patterson examine Trump’s approach to foreign policy through the lens of the current U.S.-Russia relationship.
Watch The Spillover here or wherever you get your podcasts: youtu.be/nUg5LU8ZoGM?si=EI9x…
"Control of Congress is up for grabs. Democrats need to pick up three seats in the House or four in the Senate to return Washington to divided government," writes expert @JamesMLindsay.
"If Democrats do win control of the House, or both the House and Senate, they will gain greater say over domestic and foreign policy."
Heading to the polls next week, voters are more worried about how President Trump’s foreign policy choices are driving up the cost of living than about the policies themselves, Lindsay argues.
Read his analysis: cfr.org/articles/for-midterm…
How do pocketbook issues such as jobs and gas prices rank alongside foreign policy issues like Iran, Ukraine, and Israel? Lindsay discussed this and more on the latest episode of The President’s Inbox with guests Hannah Hartig, a senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Jessica Huseman, editorial director at Votebeat. Listen here or wherever you get your podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
On November 3, voters in the United States head to the polls to cast their ballots in the midterm elections.
Economic worries typically dominate midterm elections, and 2026 is no different. The affordability question, which directly ties to the economy and direction of the country, appears to be the core issue driving voter sentiment.
What is notable this year is how 4 foreign policy issues have affected those economic issues. CFR experts break down how the Iran war, U.S. trade policy, AI, and immigration could be shaping voters’ perceptions of the economy and the United States’ role in the world.
Read more: cfr.org/articles/from-the-ir…
With historic shifts unfolding around the world and closer to home, the United States’ approach to its own region is “ripe for re-imagining,” writes expert @RebeccaLissner: cfr.org/articles/what-is-the…
CFR’s Future of American Strategy Initiative asked 6 leading experts one question: what comes next for U.S. strategy in the Western Hemisphere?
“Access to critical minerals, rare earth elements, and their midstream and downstream products is becoming instrumental in determining the outcome of geopolitical competition and the shape of the future world order,” writes expert @heidirediker. “In this competition, China controls critical chokepoints.”
“The United States has reached a dangerous inflection point . . . . Diversification away from China is, and will remain, a top national and economic security priority over the next decade, not just a commercial objective. The Western Hemisphere is key to that diversification strategy.”
Read more: cfr.org/articles/mines-to-ma…
“The 2030s will likely determine whether Venezuela regains stability, democracy, and prosperity or remains authoritarian and dysfunctional,” write experts @WillGFreeman and Paul Angelo. “U.S. credibility in Latin America relies on the United States using its newfound leverage to drive democratization and economic recovery.”
“An open and secure Venezuela would increase stability in the region and help protect the U.S. homeland and critical supply chains,” they write.
Read more: cfr.org/articles/a-path-to-p…
Council on Foreign Relations retweeted
🎧 Election Day is five days away. Hannah Hartig and @JessicaHuseman joined me to discuss what voters are thinking heading into the midterms and how much foreign policy will shape their votes. youtu.be/Hv3x_DAJiT8?si=tnEp…
If Democrats win the House of Representatives and possibly even the Senate in the 2026 midterm elections, they will be able to exert increased pressure on President Donald Trump’s foreign policy, but there will also be limits to how much they can change. CFR expert @JamesMLindsay breaks down what might happen if a blue wave materializes.
“The notion that we’re just going to trust [artificial intelligence] companies that they’re going to be able to—with the face of public shareholders, all of the competitive pressures—that they’re just going to do the right thing, it makes me skeptical,” says Neel Kashkari, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
“I think there are a couple big risks from AI,” Kashkari argues. “AI gets out of control and does something terrible,” or “this ends up being massive investment that is not nearly as productivity enhancing as we assume, then this will have been malinvestment. And then there could be big economic consequences for the economy, writ large, given the scale of it.”
Watch the full conversation: youtube.com/watch?v=9nzHVBDy…
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu did better than polls had predicted in Israel’s election this week. His party, Likud, came first, but neither his bloc nor opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot’s has a path to 61 seats without breaking a campaign promise.
“For Netanyahu, failed bargaining and another election probably look attractive. He remains prime minister while the negotiations are under way,” writes expert Elliott Abrams from Jerusalem.
Outside observers will wonder how all of this affects Israel’s foreign policy. "On many issues, including Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran, there is a broad consensus in Israel."
"An Eisenkot government would be less likely to attack Iran soon only because it would be new, and the ministers would be unlikely to order a strike on Iran before their chairs are warm. But Netanyahu will likely soon ask President Donald Trump about a renewed assault on Iran’s nuclear sites," he writes.
Read more: cfr.org/articles/israel-the-…
President Trump’s trade war with Canada assumed economic size would translate into bargaining power. Ottawa’s refusal to back down, and the strain the tariffs are putting on U.S. border states ahead of the midterms, are opening cracks in the administration’s approach, argues expert @edwardalden.
"With Republicans facing tough midterm election races in northern border states that are heavily dependent on trade with Canada, it is the United States that now appears to be backing down by lifting tariffs that are causing too much economic harm. Other countries that will face at least another two years of Trump’s trade bullying, regardless of the midterm outcomes, have much to learn from Canada’s response," he writes.
"Most of the major economies, from Europe to Japan and South Korea, have cut deals with the United States to accept higher tariffs in exchange for some trade peace. Canada stands alone in resisting U.S. demands. But so far, it seems to be standing tall."
Read more: cfr.org/articles/canada-show…
