Cygnal Polling & Analytics (@cygnal) header
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Polling firm. Pioneer of multi-mode research. Creating intelligence for action by understanding opinions, hearts, and minds.

Arlington, VA
Joined April 2013
Photo by Cygnal Polling & Analytics (@cygnal)Photo by Cygnal Polling & Analytics (@cygnal)Photo by Cygnal Polling & Analytics (@cygnal)Photo by Cygnal Polling & Analytics (@cygnal)Photo by Cygnal Polling & Analytics (@cygnal)Photo by Cygnal Polling & Analytics (@cygnal)Photo by Cygnal Polling & Analytics (@cygnal)Photo by Cygnal Polling & Analytics (@cygnal)
How to spot a shaky poll in about 30 seconds: skip the headline and scroll to the bottom. Check the party split, how respondents say they voted last time, and the age breaks. If the sample doesn’t look like the electorate, the topline won’t either. @brentbuc to @realDailyWire: “Go to the bottom of the survey first.” dailywire.com/news/in-polls-…
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Cygnal Polling & Analytics retweeted
"There's good and bad news for Republicans in both the voter registration and turnout." @cygnal CEO @brentbuc tells @larry_kudlow the best news in all of it, with just days left, is GOP voters tend to turn out on Election Day.
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Cygnal Polling & Analytics retweeted
Thanks for having me on yesterday, @larry_kudlow!
"There's good and bad news for Republicans in both the voter registration and turnout." @cygnal CEO @brentbuc tells @larry_kudlow the best news in all of it, with just days left, is GOP voters tend to turn out on Election Day.
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“Republicans can still narrow the gap,” writes @brentbuc in @DailyMail. Democrats lead the generic ballot 51-43. Early voters favor them by 28. But Election Day voters favor Republicans by 15. Our CEO Brent Buchanan names the 4 voter groups that will decide the midterms, in @DailyMail👇 dailymail.com/debate/article…
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Nearly half of Republicans haven’t voted yet. 48% plan to show up Nov. 3, while Democrats lead in mail-in, absentee, and early voting. @brentbuc to @DailySignal: “This election now comes down to who shows up on Election Day.” dailysignal.com/2026/10/29/e…
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"Voters are thinking that #AI is going to hurt other people more than it hurts them. (…) And they're far more worried about young people's job prospects than even their own job." @brentbuc
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Cygnal Polling & Analytics retweeted
.@Kalshi has Democrats at 63% to sweep Congress. Among swing voters who haven't voted yet, 43% lean Republican and 30% lean Democratic, per @cygnal. And their ideology is moderate to conservative, giving the GOP a chance to make a closing message. cygn.al/polls/late-october-2…
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6 days out, and our FINAL #midterm poll is LIVE. 👀 “Democrats have banked their early votes, so this election now comes down to who shows up on Election Day.” - @brentbuc Yet-to-vote voters: tied 47-46. #Election Day voters: R+15. Read through here: cygn.al/news/final-midterm-p…
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Cygnal Polling & Analytics retweeted
Gas is $4.26 a gallon nationally. A year ago it was $3.05. It's simple, but this is how people judge the economy. If Democrats win the House, 35% of voters want them to start on gas and energy prices, per @cygnal. Among swing voters it's 51%! usatoday.com/story/cars/news…
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Washington frames #AI as a Cold War. Voters are focused on how it affects their lives. They’re intrigued by breakthroughs, skeptical it will cut costs, and apprehensive about privacy and relationships. @johnrogersal on what AI companies are missing👇
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"The biggest group, 32%, are fed up. They aren't scared of AI, they aren't scared of the technology, but they're frustrated in everything around it." @johnrogersal Watch the full #AI Pulse Pod: youtu.be/yrkU6xzIY-I?si=1wim…
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NEW Cygnal poll in THE 9 U.S. Senate battleground states: 🔵 BIG electoral swing from 2024 results (like, in the teens) 🛡️ 64% say AI development should be addressed with more oversight and regulation 🤖 AI companies (-30 net) are viewed worse than Trump or either party in Congress ⚖️ Neither party owns the issue yet: 38% trust Dems to regulate AI, 37% trust the GOP cygn.al/polls/voters-in-u-s-…
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New Pulse Pod special on AI: Fed Up, Not Freaked Out 🎧 Voters’ biggest reaction to AI isn’t fear, it’s anger. 72% say it’s moving too fast, including 61% of Republicans. And a data center that checks every box we tested still loses 51–38 in voters’ own backyards. For data center developers, checking boxes won't be enough. The projects that win are the ones that get ahead of the backlash and show up in the community before the fight starts. @brentbuc and @johnrogersal break down how voters really feel about AI and what the industry needs to do to earn their trust 👇 youtu.be/yrkU6xzIY-I?si=plHa…
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📊 New Alaska poll: Begich 48% Hill 40% Begich’s lead has doubled since September, and he wins the final ranked choice round 54-46. Hill’s net favorability has dropped from +21 to +6. Memo: cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2… @MitchStoneBrown
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"For Republican candidates, they need to be thinking about, 'How do I run against DC?'" @johnrogersal
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NEW POLL: In the 25 most competitive House districts: 📈 71% say healthcare costs have risen 🏛️ 71% want Congress to reinstate enhanced premium tax credits—including half of Republicans 🗳️ 58% are more likely to back a candidate who supports extending them cygn.al/polls/healthcare-cos…
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