doug rivers (@doug_rivers) header
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absent-minded professor, some-time entrepreneur, pollster and econometrician

palo alto, ca
Joined April 2009
Photo by doug rivers (@doug_rivers)Photo by doug rivers (@doug_rivers)Photo by doug rivers (@doug_rivers)Photo by doug rivers (@doug_rivers)Photo by doug rivers (@doug_rivers)Photo by doug rivers (@doug_rivers)Photo by doug rivers (@doug_rivers)Photo by doug rivers (@doug_rivers)Photo by doug rivers (@doug_rivers)Photo by doug rivers (@doug_rivers)
Then maybe you don’t really need the numbers.
Replying to @doug_rivers
Absolutely there’s a need for the bars: it’s much easier to see the relative size of the differences between numbers represented as bars than solely as numbers in a table. The example at storytellingwithdata.com/blo… illustrates the difference well:
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Once you’ve added the numbers, is there really any need for the bars? It’s just a table with some decoration.
Are there reasons to prefer grid lines in a bar chart over direct labels? 🤔 LEFT: Grid RIGHT: Direct labels I have the feeling that the translation to actual numbers is much harder with grid lines. And once the labels are added, there's really no use for grid lines. 😅
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I dunno. Aren’t LPs the customers for VCs?
VCs ultimately fail when they focus on talking up to LPs instead of listening to and building for founders. Founders fail when they focus on talking up to VCs instead of listening to and building for customers. Keep your ears to the ground. Listen. Build. Create value.
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This would be a bonanza for estimating the returns to schooling.
Replying to @DAcemogluMIT
Remaining slots are filled from those in group 2 on the basis of lotteries. The justification is that there aren’t big differences between those in group 2 in terms of academic preparation, and any quantitative scores are imperfect and noisy anyways.
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Seems like the authors of the measure didn’t understand marginal tax rates, which exceeded 100% between 4-4.2M and 10-10.15M.
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Could be R over Stata
Replying to @doug_rivers
Did anybody do a 'value over replacement' analysis for the Nate to Elliott swap?
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538 is alive (and better)!
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Hey Tim, are you saying Republicans have turned the House into a faculty senate instead of a serious legislature? The debt ceiling debate was pretty good, but I’m eagerly awaiting the impeachment vote.
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Can’t you respond directly using the chip Bill Gates implanted in your brain?
This is a non answer. I challenged you publicly because you publicly quote tweeted and agreed with that dogshit vice article. If you’re really serious about what you stand for, you now have a massive opportunity for a debate that will reach the largest audience a discussion like this has ever had. If you think someone else is better qualified, suggest that person.
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My favorite is from Gayle’s Bakery in Capitola. beingerma.blogspot.com/2011/…
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??
I think it’s really mostly a function of complex processes being able to be modeled well with linear models due to the central limit theorem
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Well worth reading for those unhappy with the current state of affairs here
As I threatened to do earlier, I wrote about the structure of BlueSky & implications for content moderation, recommender systems, monetization & its future. It starts with Jack. Everyone at Twitter--esp Jack--has known this could replace Twitter.
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Are speculators driving up oil prices? Should we raise energy prices to slow global warming? New work compares answers from economic experts and the public, by William Nordhaus & @doug_rivers: cowles.yale.edu/research/cfd…
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Are speculators driving up oil prices? Should we raise energy prices to slow global warming? The present study takes a small number of such questions and compares the views of economic experts with those of the public. (William D. Nordhaus & @doug_rivers) opiniontoday.com/2023/05/07/…
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Pro tip: “populated areas” are a good place to get votes
Michigan GOP “we’ve got some problems in populated areas”
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Which issues do Americans think the national media gives too much and not enough attention to? (@taylor_orth @CarlBialik @yougovamerica) More: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/…
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Very informative thread.
I wrote about The Algorithm: using Musk's metrics in ship decisions, what the Republican/Democrat code means for democracy, how Twitter's API $ increase undermines transparency efforts, & on the tech bros claiming to analyze it 'so you can go viral.' solomonmg.github.io/post/twi…
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doug rivers retweeted
YouGov presented Americans with eight policies DeSantis has advocated. Only one was viewed positively overall. Only six were viewed positively by DeSantis supporters. After hearing the policies, support for him from primary supporters actually dropped. washingtonpost.com/politics/…
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+/- 100
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