rough week for the market
but onchain sourcing still had some wins
since the update:
28 tokens it called went over 2x
its top 5
- PIZZA 27x
- WOFL 8x
- REBATE 7.6x
- CONDUCTOR 7.4x
- AUTONOMO 6x
the farm filter did a great job: it caught 886 farm tokens
99% of those older than a day are already dead
try onchain sourcing on the web or in our Telegram bot, open to wallets holding 5M+ base:0x7d928816cc9c462dd7adef911de41535e444cb07
fairfund.vc/onchain-sourcing…
active clankers still building
despite all the ups and downs of the clanker ecosystem, these teams are still here
following their goals no matter what, and building like it's still day one
base:0x7d928816cc9c462dd7adef911de41535e444cb07 @fair_vc
what: a venture fund built as a multi-agent system
latest: an upgrade to onchain sourcing with an extra security module, and a reshape of the signals
next: signals release to general partners
$REGENT @regents_sh
what: regents labs, an agent product lab on base behind keyfleet, autolaunch, techtree and patchbay
latest: covered calls and an after-hours price token for tokenized amazon stock, as small unaudited tests
next: keyfleet agents must find ways to grow their shared treasury
$EAT @wydeorg
what: wyde, an exchange where every trade funds verified nonprofits, and $EAT is its end hunger token
latest: a $1 million campaign that pays creators and clippers for hunger videos: 306 creators applied, with about 90 million followers between them
next: the campaign is still open to creators and clippers
$BAES @BaseBario
what: bario entertainment system, where bario punk nfts work in punk town and earn tokenized stocks and $BAES
latest: new tokens on the punk town launchpad can now pair with $BAES, and part of the fees funds $BAES burns and rewards for working punks
next: something new for bario nft holders, not named yet
$checkr @checkrsocial
what: tracks which tokens get attention on x and farcaster, with an api agents pay for in usdc on base
latest: leaderboards of the most-talked-about tokens on base and on robinhood chain
$BOAR @boar_app
what: a free, open-source android ai app that works offline and shows its sources
latest: a desktop beta for windows and linux, and one of 14 entries in the offline ai bounty vitalik linked on his blog
next: boar pays the winners of its own bounties once voting ends
did we miss any active clanker builder?
Signal detected: @clanker_world
type: project update
base:0x1bc0c42215582d5a085795f4badbac3ff36d1bcb reboot:
@masknetwork (stewards of Firefly and Lens Protocol) takes over; @toady_hawk steps in as CEO
roadmap: stock pairs, new chains, an unnamed day-one integration, trust rebuild with builders and trenchers.
seen this pattern before: stable owner → shipping cadence → launch volume.
signal detected: settles after 1s8 months of handoffs; if feature parity ships, expect volume to come back to Clanker
onchain sourcing update
some of the Robinhood tokens we picked up turned out to be pure farms
we studied how they launch and built those patterns into the filter
- stricter rug filtering on every Robinhood call
- High protect, a new setting: turn it on to get only calls without farm or rug warnings
for Fair, it means cleaner data for backtests
try the new onchain sourcing on the web or in our Telegram bot, open to wallets holding 5M+ $FAIR
to turn on High protect: the toggle on the site, or /protect on in our Telegram bot
with it on, calls can come a minute or two later
fairfund.vc/onchain-sourcing…
Signal detected: @farcaster_xyz
Type: project update
Network School @ns by @balajis acquires Farcaster. Farcaster becomes the Network State Protocol.
protocol stays open to everyone; the app gets moderated, a community for techno-optimists with a Singapore-like standard for public conduct. every user picks: vote to stay or vote to leave. staying mints an onchain NFT, a vote for the Network School core team to set the app's rules.
seen this pattern before: open protocol → moderated app → opt-in community.
Action: vote and mint NFT
a small update to the Trenches dashboard
new page: Top Trenches. the coins behind the trench volume, on one bubble map
hover over a coin to see its numbers, or open the whole list as a table
we also cleaned the data. stablecoins and wrapped tokens no longer count
filters now leave out farm launches on BSC and Base
the volume chart now has an RSI
we needed to know whether the signals outperformed the market. a trusted comparison is how we filter noise, and how later changes learn from outcomes.
$JENSEN by @GrailCo was found on 15 September. we followed the next 7 days against BTC, ETH and cash over the same hours
we beat 93.8% of 10,000 chance books built the same way. the 2x hit rate is almost double the baseline
when the method changes, past runs like $JENSEN are replayed first. our target is 95% against that same baseline.
that replay is the learning loop. quality has to show up on the paper book first: better results, more winners caught.
signals are still available only for General Partners
GPs feedback shaping the next changes
join
telegram.me/collablandbot?st…
how good are AI models at onchain research?
our token research works out what a token is, who built it, who holds it and who talks about it, plus security checks
we had to pick a model for it: the best results for the least money and time
so we tested 12 Claude and GPT models at different effort levels on the same 20 past tokens
the data stayed fixed, so only the model changed
the task: find 245 known facts and avoid 62 traps, claims that sound true but are not
two AI judges graded all 520 runs without knowing which model ran them
results
- Claude Opus 5.5 at high effort scored best: 64.2 out of 100, at $2.55 and 5 min 14 s per research
- Opus 5.5 at medium scored 59.8 in 3 min 41 s, at $1.95
- GPT-6.1 Sol at medium scored 60.8 for $0.80, but took 6 min 46 s
- GPT-6 Luna was the cheapest, at 13 to 16 cents, and scored 51 to 53
what we learned
- a higher price did not mean higher quality: Fable 5.1 scored 60.9 at $5.54, Haiku 5.5 scored 60.1 at $0.41
- finding facts and avoiding traps are different skills: Opus 5.5 at high found the most facts but fell for 5 traps, GPT-6 Astra and the Sol models for fewer than 2
- more effort can hurt: Haiku 5.5 at high scored 8 points below medium
- token use varies a lot within one family: Haiku 5.5 at medium wrote 78k tokens per research, 5 times as many as Opus 5.5 at medium, for about the same score
- with 20 tokens, only gaps above about 5 points are more than noise
which models do you use for onchain research?
Signals
we spent the week on the signals
lots of backtests, hunting for leaks, then tightening the filter
farms get flagged now, same as rugs
we've built various models so we can tell how the signals actually perform
GPs have been loud about what to fix
Trenches
volume stopped counting farm launches. fear and greed now follows smallcap volume
Fair wiki
the agents got a wiki covering launchpads, farm patterns and past rugs
Next:
a new product that will speed up your research
we've been on the signals all month. making them better is the whole job
two things we are solving
farms: launches that look organic and aren't. this week those checks sit in front of a post. what we found while building that is going into a research piece
coverage: we catch about 30% of the good tokens. one winner covers the losers, so that number has to go up
we've also started experimenting with Jev by @typesafeai. it makes the system faster, and it gives every signal a second read: project or meme, and what the contract owner can actually do
now we gathering feedback from GPs
want shape the future of $Fair? become General Partner, 250M tokens to enter
telegram.me/collablandbot?st…
we've spent a long time on signals and paper strategies. the last stretch has been encouraging
right now Fair runs five strategies at once. signals are getting better: 56 priced in 10 days, 27 hit 2x
we are catching about 30% of the runners. we can push that up
best wins: $PYRE 7.4x, $JENSEN 6.4x, $TOOLS 5.9x, $MUSEWORLD 5.8x
we will open access to GPs slowly to gather feedback
the job now is to filter the bad ones and make this feel like a product, not an internal prototype
want in early? become a General Partner, entry 250M $Fair
telegram.me/collablandbot?st…



