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Independent investment research that moves markets. Plus the data and the people who wrote it. Built for the AI era, strongest in Asia.

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Joined December 2010
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🧵Smartkarma #eventdriven #threadoftheday Genesis (GMD AU) & Vault (VAU AU) Merger: $A1.4bn of Index Flows Coming Up — Brian Freitas @tradingarb -- $GMD.AU 1/
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Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)'s deletion from the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) will open up an index spot that we expect Dicker Data Ltd (DDR AU) will fill. 4/
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In Conclusion: "Vault Minerals (VAU) will stop trading after 17 Nov. There will be an ad hoc inclusion to the ASX200 and large passive flows for GMD over the next month with most of the flow being front-loaded." — Brian Freitas 5x
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🎯 Price ratio of closely correlated ADR/local pair, Fomento Economico Mexicano SAB/Fomento Economico Mexica-Ubd is near -2 s.d. Scores • Actionability 4: room for price ratio to mean-revert • Investability 4: fairly liquid pair 🔒 For Subs: on.skr.ma/486Y16M
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🔓 Free Research Previews — • Fomento Economico Mexicano SAB $FMX: on.skr.ma/4mI8ol2 • Fomento Economico Mexica-Ubd $FEMSAUBD.MM: on.skr.ma/4mJSVRo 🔍 Access Smartkarma's premium tools & features here: on.skr.ma/tools
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Vinamilk is showing all the signs: 9M26 sales +15%YoY, and Net Profit +30% YoY Only 9xPE, almost 10% fwd yield, net cash Close to 5Y lows Why? - No 1 VN consumer brand - Leading dairy player, dominant across entire range - Huge growth headroom, very low base - Strong overseas potential: present in > 40 nations Trailing PE chart - Source: Maybank
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Vinamilk vs Comps:
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Correlation: Top Two Sectors by Year #chartoftheday (via @SoberLook) "Energy and technology, the S&P 500’s two best-performing sectors in 2026, have exhibited a negative one-year return correlation..."
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🧵Smartkarma #eventdriven #threadoftheday Frontage (1521 HK): Charles River And Tigermed (3347 HK)'s Full Offer — David Blennerhassett -- $1521.HK 1/
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The pre-con long stop date is the 30th April 2027. This could/should be wrapped up in the 1H27. 4/
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In Conclusion: "This is a clean deal. The voting risk is low. If super-illiquid arbs are your bag, pay up to HK$2.15/share, at most, for a 15% annualised return, assuming mid-2027 completion." — David Blennerhassett 5x
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$LEGN Q3 should in principle be a turning point. Sustainable profitability, with op leverage ahead of street expectations. And a credible pipeline with entrenched distribution, and a credible leader at the helm. So now it’s up to the market to re-rate it…. Or continue to ignore. Here’s a comps table.
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Banks going down? Downdetector.com.au
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