Stock Talk

FINAL 2025 FULL-YEAR PERFORMANCE +505.20% vs. +17.25% for S&P-500 Truly life-changing year for me. Full portfolio transparency the entire way shared with thousands of members. No meme stocks and no 0DTE options. Just deep-research on themes & industries. Proud & humbled.

I'm dressing up as an AI stock for Halloween. Scariest thing I could think of.

Has enough froth been removed, after the worst momentum sell-off in stock market history over the past 5 months? Has enough speculation been punished? Will the Nov. 3 midterms serve as a "clearing event" for sentiment? Find out on next week's episode of "KANGAROO MARKET" !

People who simply passively own the major indexes probably haven't noticed how exhausting & difficult this year has been, but single-stock pickers & swing-traders certainly have. There have been more than 30 sessions year-to-date where the Goldman Sachs Momentum Index has been +/- 5% This far exceeds the volatility in even the worst recorded periods, including the 2000 Tech Bubble, 2009 Financial Crisis, and the 2020 Covid Crash. If you've survived the back half of this year, give yourself a pat on the back.

$QQQ & $SMH now looking at 3rd consecutive weekly close below 21-week EMA. And for some to think the magic lines don't matter...

"Uptober" ended up being "Fucktober" instead 😂

Shoulda made that 100% cash 😂😂😂

*NORTH KOREAN HACKERS RESPONSIBLE FOR $6 BILLION BINANCE CRYPTO HEIST, SAYS CRYPTO-TRACING FIRM 'TRM LABS' "BASED ON ROBUST ON AND OFF-CHAIN INTELLIGENCE"

INTEL MISSES GUIDANCE STEEPLY GUIDES Q4 EPS AT $0.25 VS. $0.43 ESTIMATE GUIDES Q4 REVENUE AT $15B - $16B VS. $17.05B ESTIMATE GUIDES Q4 GROSS MARGIN AT 38% VS. 42.8% ESTIMATE INTEL EXPECTS PC MARKET TO DECLINE INTO 2ND HALF OF 2027 STOCK DOWN OVER -20% AFTER-HOURS $INTC

GOOGLE POSTS 2ND LARGEST INTRADAY VALUE LOSS EVER, ERASES ~ $500 BILLION IN MARKET CAP INTRADAY AS STOCK FALLS -13% $GOOGL

Being ~50% cash in this environment is saving me a lot of gray hairs. If conditions improve post-midterms I will redeploy rapidly. Until then, I'm favoring a more tactical approach with available cash. If markets can't build a meaningful trend into EOY, cash pile will go higher.

Google misses Search & Ads revenue by ~ $1.5B. These misses will get worse. Keep in mind, Search & Ads are still the primary business. No one clicks blue links anymore. Moreover, the exponential rise in use of agentic AI poses a deeper threat: AI agents don't watch ads. $GOOGL

*FEDERAL RESERVE LEAVES INTEREST RATES UNCHANGED WITH 10-2 VOTE

ENERSYS $ENS TO ACQUIRE ULTRALIFE $ULBI FOR $320M IN CASH

AMKOR $AMKR EARNINGS REVENUE: $1.99B vs. $2.04B est. EPS: $0.76 vs. $0.79 est.

*SPACEX SIGNS BINDING, $40 BILLION GPU FINANCING DEAL WITH APOLLO GLOBAL $SPCX

$QQQ & $SMH both looking to post 2nd consecutive weekly close below 21-week EMA

Midterms are in 2 weeks on November 3rd. *If* this market still has legs to recover, we should find out pretty soon thereafter. No need to have your leash tugged back & forth by the price action until then. Plenty of cash to attack new opportunities when they present themselves.

$SMH the magic lines are meaningful. First 21-week EMA forfeit all year last Friday, leading straight into today’s bloodbath.

TESLA $TSLA EARNINGS REVENUE: $28.05B vs. $27.88B est. EPS: $0.48 vs. $0.43 est. FCF: +$1.53B vs. -$4.92B est.