Senior political reporter at @CNN. Ex-@washingtonpost. Sign up for my newsletter! https://nitter.cf/t.co/Vc6k03lkp5
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Joined April 2010
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Yeah, the ad did seem strange. And there is apparently a reason for that.
NEWS: Roger Marshall goes rogue.
The inside story of how an embattled Kansas Republican wanted an ad to push back on medical debt attacks, was told no by his team, made one anyway without knowledge of some advisers and got it out into the world.
nytimes.com/2026/11/01/us/el…
Aaron Blake retweeted
Nate Cohn points out that the Times' changed its weighing process this year. This is what the new polls would look like with the old weighing process. So they're already trying to protect against a pro-Dem polling error nytimes.com/2026/11/01/upsho…
Aaron Blake retweeted
Some short memories on ballot-stacking.
Remember when Republican operatives, including a Trump lawyer, tried to get Kanye West on state ballots as an independent presidential general election candidate in 2020, to siphon off votes from Biden?
nytimes.com/2020/08/04/us/po…
Aaron Blake retweeted
This is some wicked smart @passantino on how culturally right leaning Pod Bros have abandoned Trump.
Another anec-data thing about Tuesday’s elections. Only thing missing is how this hurts Vance, whose posture is all about Modern Bro Man, in ‘28.
status.news/p/joe-rogan-trum…
Aaron Blake retweeted
this is an amazing, extremely well reported story from @DavidGoldmanCNN @IvanCNN @SophiaSaifi
just incredible work:
Aaron Blake retweeted
Here's a useful "Did Republicans do a Dummy-mander?" cheat sheet for next Tuesday.
If Democrats win any of these seats:
-NC-03
-FL-12
-FL-16
-FL-26
-TN-05 AND TN-09
then you can call it a dummymander.
Otherwise, Republicans will still have done themselves essentially no harm.
I warned that “gerrymandering didn’t work” would be one of the post-election takes if the GOP lost — but they are clearly going to win seats bc they gerrymandered.
No gerrymander and Dems probably net House seats in Texas. Now, they could elect a Senator, get 50% of the statewide vote, take back the RGV… and on net lose one seat, giving Rs a 26-12 advantage in the delegation.
Aaron Blake retweeted
BREAKING: Judge Reyes says she is appointing a special master to investigate whether DOJ and DOI officials repeatedly lied to her in the golf course case.
Aaron Blake retweeted
JUST IN: Judge Boasberg has ordered the Justice Department to turn over to advoccy groups by 5pm today the list of 20,000 purported noncitizens on California's voter rolls.
Plus the maps will probably help them win even more seats if and when the environment isn't so Dem-friendly in 2028 and 2030.
I warned that “gerrymandering didn’t work” would be one of the post-election takes if the GOP lost — but they are clearly going to win seats bc they gerrymandered.
No gerrymander and Dems probably net House seats in Texas. Now, they could elect a Senator, get 50% of the statewide vote, take back the RGV… and on net lose one seat, giving Rs a 26-12 advantage in the delegation.
Aaron Blake retweeted
So yesterday Trump said he wasn't going to Kansas because it was in such good shape that he shouldn't waste his time on it. but now he is going to Kansas and so we must infer it is in not good shape, right?
Aaron Blake retweeted
Dressing up as this chart to be the scariest possible thing to my Democratic friends this Halloween
Aaron Blake retweeted
Kudos to the Post for publishing this poll even though it's an outlier, and also providing significant additional context on the methodological challenges the pollsters faced. If every poll writeup did this we'd all be smarter and saner!
washingtonpost.com/politics/…
Aaron Blake retweeted
We polled Kansas. Democrats wanted to talk. Republicans, not so much. Gift link -> wapo.st/4yUVruu
Aaron Blake retweeted
I'm not going to post the video of Trump's attack on @jacobbogage here. But I will say: Bogage is a former colleague, terrific journalist and wonderful human. He asked a direct, reasonable question that Trump simply couldn't handle.
Aaron Blake retweeted
I appreciate the positive attention from new corners of the political Twitterverse.
But if you’re a Democrat who opposes these actions by Republicans but supports any of them from your own party, you also missed the point of the article.
From me @NRO, with a frightening warning to voters:
A List of Things Democrats Might Do If They Retake Power
nationalreview.com/corner/a-…
Aaron Blake retweeted
There is something incredibly interesting happening right now in Democratic politics and it’s how men connect masculinity to fatherhood. It cuts through our politics’ harshness and the idea that masculinity is all bulging biceps.
I wrote about that here: washingtonpost.com/politics/…
Aaron Blake retweeted
NEWS: Trump erupted after he learned Alina Habba signed a $50 million deal. He told allies she should donate a portion of that money to his future presidential library or another Trump entity. He also suggested the family should not pay out her contract.
nytimes.com/2026/10/29/us/po…
Aaron Blake retweeted
An emotional, cruel outburst over a question he didn’t seem to hear correctly
Aaron Blake retweeted
SCOOP: Blanche personally charged small-fry Nevada ‘voter fraud’ cases
All four of the cases were misdemeanors—signed off on by the AG of the United States. That's highly unusual, and an ex-prosecutor who served alongside him in SDNY told me it raises "huge red flags."
First reported by All Rise News buff.ly/zGp4IfH
