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Joined April 2014
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Congratulations to our AI research team on 2 papers accepted at @NeurIPSConf 2026 🎉
2x accepted papers, MetaLoop and Theory of Mind and Persuasion Beyond Conversation, plus a workshop paper being presented at BiAlign Workshop.
Our midterm poll has Democrats ahead by about 11 points among likely voters. @orioljbosch, who led the poll, explains how we got there and why the same data could have given us 5 or 15.
If you want to run your own analysis, you can get the data tables from our article.
We let a random half of respondents pick their survey topic. 84% of those who chose politics pass our likely-voter screen, against 58% of those who chose another topic. Vote choice moves much less, and we find no clear sign it favors either party.
The poll surveyed 1,518 US adult citizens on Oct 21-22, and the 95% confidence interval on the lead is about ±4 points.
🔗 Read @orioljbosch's full breakdown, with toplines, cross-tabs, and the questionnaire.
prolific.com/resources/poll-…
Prolific retweeted
Some heavy hitters on this list. Proud to see @Prolific right in the mix! If you want to build with one of the fastest-growing teams in tech, we're hiring: prolific.com/careers
Authenticity checks are now available to use with LimeSurvey and Pavlovia in addition to @Qualtrics.
This includes both LLM and bot detection. Check our guide to see how you can get trusted data from the next study you launch.
Changing minds and driving action are different jobs. Kobi and the team show it with real petitions and real donations from almost 15K participants (via Prolific), the latest in a series of AI persuasion studies. Insights from the study below ↓
New in @PNASNews:
In two large experiments (~18k obs from ~14.8k people), we find that brief conversations with AI can get people to take real political action - incl. signing real petitions and giving money to charity.
Surprisingly, the persuasion strategy that worked best for changing people's attitudes - packing convos with info - was the least effective at changing behavior!
🧵
Prolific retweeted
New in @PNASNews:
In two large experiments (~18k obs from ~14.8k people), we find that brief conversations with AI can get people to take real political action - incl. signing real petitions and giving money to charity.
Surprisingly, the persuasion strategy that worked best for changing people's attitudes - packing convos with info - was the least effective at changing behavior!
🧵
We’ll also be presenting our workshop paper “Mirroring Is Not Sycophancy” at the BiAlign Workshop.
Across 125,000+ human-AI conversations and audits of 16 models, how much a model mirrors your style does not predict whether it changes its position under pressure.
bialign-workshop.github.io/n…
Looking forward to connecting with the AI community this December.
Follow PAIR work at labs.prolific.com 📎
Beca Almeida sees AI shaping research across four areas: creating surveys, AI interviews, acting as respondent, and synthesizing findings. Her take is that none of it replaces the researcher, just frees up their time.
Watch her discussion with Olivier Toubia and @orioljbosch.