Crypto Goon 🥷| No fluff, no shortcuts just facts | 0x53
Gutter 🌑
Joined June 2024
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$BTC / $ALTCOINS
l 2018 - 2020 l Accumilation phase / Market structure
The main reason the market feels so uncertain right now is actually quite simple:
Bitcoin already broke above its previous all-time high, while a large part of the broader crypto market failed to follow.
Historically, when BTC breaks into price discovery, capital eventually flows throughout the rest of the market and a broader bull cycle begins.
This time, the process has been very different.
As a result, many investors quickly concluded that altcoins are dead.
In my view, that conclusion is premature.
What changed this cycle is the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
For the first time in crypto history, institutions gained access to Bitcoin through a regulated and familiar investment vehicle, allowing large amounts of capital to enter BTC without requiring exposure to the broader crypto market.
This created a dynamic that we have never seen before.
Bitcoin was able to attract significant institutional demand while much of the altcoin market remained stuck in a prolonged accumulation phase.
You could describe this as a Bitcoin-led cycle rather than the broad market participation typically seen in previous bull runs.
If anything, it may simply mean that the cycle is unfolding in stages.
First came institutional accumulation through Bitcoin.
Later may come the return of speculation, risk-taking, and broader participation across the crypto market.
That is one of the main reasons why I continue to believe this accumulation phase could persist longer than most people expect. (for alts)
The key observation is this:
Most altcoins have still not reclaimed or exceeded their previous all-time highs.
Historically, that type of price behavior is more commonly associated with accumulation than with the final stages of a market cycle.
And that distinction may prove to be extremely important over the coming years. l🧵1/9👇🏽
$USDT.D l Weekly
This is exactly why I was paying attention to this structure.
The retest played out, and the move in USDT.D is doing exactly what I was looking for.
What many interpreted as a shift in market direction, in my view, part of the shakeout before the next expansion.
Sometimes the move that frustrates the majority is the one that sets up the real opportunity.
I'm still looking at the bigger picture. 👀
$USDT.D l Weekly
Everyone was basically waiting for the $82K BTC break.
Now I believe USDT.D is going back up,
giving crypto the much-needed retest before everything starts running.
Here’s why:
We’ve broken a 2.5-year upward trendline on the RSI to the downside,
while continuing to respect the 38 level since 2024.
We’ve tapped it again here, while USDT.D is sitting in a demand zone with additional structure around 6.3%, where it’s finding support.
And as we know, breakouts often come back to retest the level they broke from.
That’s exactly what we’re seeing here, and exactly what we need.
The previous supply zone has now turned into demand.
To me, this looks like manipulation before the real move begins.
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Jsha187👑 retweeted
$BTC l Daily
When you look at this from a psychological perspective,
The pattern becomes pretty clear.
Nobody believed the $57K BTC low was in.
Then came the consolidation.
Still no conviction.
Then the massive candle appeared.
“Fake move.”
$82K became the confirmation level.
It breaks, suddenly everyone is bullish.
Soon BTC falls back into the range.
“Fake move again.”
This is exactly where the psychology gets interesting.
The majority is still waiting for confirmation.
And if the move starts before that confirmation arrives,
it will catch a lot of people off guard.
That’s how markets tend to move when consensus becomes too comfortable.
$BTC l Daily⌛️
Oh Lord, forgive the bears.
The market is heavily positioned short.
Meanwhile, 29.8K BTC has left exchanges on a net basis since October 27.
Crowded shorts. Declining exchange reserves.
A setup that could catch a lot of people off guard.
Something tells me Upvember is about to begin. 👀
Jsha187👑 retweeted
MAKE SURE....
That you ONLY buy crypto when the market is this bleak and promise me as soon as it starts rising again you stop buying....
Do the OPPOSITE of what feels like the right thing to do... 95% of people do exactly what their emotions tell them to do. Smart money uses this to play the game against them.
$Wojak
The internet has a strange way of turning its most ridiculous characters into cultural icons.
Wojak might be the perfect example.
A face that started as a simple drawing somehow became the expression for an entire generation of internet emotions.
And that kind of recognition is hard to manufacture.
You can launch a thousand new memes.
You can't manufacture history.
That's what makes WOJAK different.
$BRETT / $PEPE l Daily
PEPE has already started its expansion, while BRETT has yet to follow.
The relative performance between the two is what makes this setup worth watching.
I believe BRETT is preparing to close that gap, with substantial upside potential ahead.
I’m telling you, a move is brewing here. 🐸🔵
$TOTAL 3 + $ETHBTC + $OTHERSBTC / Excluding Stablecoins
Frens, take a good look at this.
I’ve been calling the 2018–2020 accumulation phase for quite some time now.
And I believe these charts combined, provide some of the clearest confirmation of that thesis so far.
The 2024–2026 market is following the 2018–2020 playbook.
This is exactly what I’ve been trying to show you all along.
Don't tell me later that you regret ignoring the accumulation phase thesis.
$TROLL
Price went down.
And suddenly, the bulls started showing up again.
No euphoria. No breakout. Just a reaction to the dip.
Makes you wonder what they’re seeing that the rest of the market isn’t.
Maybe they’re looking at what TROLL could become, not what it looks like today.
$WOJAK
The market has a funny habit of ignoring something for months, only to act like it was obvious once it finally moves.
WOJAK is still in the part of the story nobody wants to read.
An OG from the trenches. Built through the silence, the boredom and the endless cycle of people giving up.
Maybe that’s why I like it.
Because when the attention finally comes, the chart won’t need an introduction.
They’ll know.
$BTC + $USDT.D l Weekly
There’s a pattern on this chart that goes all the way back to 2018.
Every time the RSI dropped to 30, the market reached a bottom.
And once again, the market bottomed at that exact level.
History doesn’t have to repeat perfectly.
But when the same signal keeps appearing at major turning points, it deserves attention.
So now I have one question:
If this signal has called every major bottom since 2018, why would you ignore it now ?
$GOLD l Monthly
Gold is at a critical moment here.
I believe we’re likely to see another push towards the highs before the broader downtrend takes over for the next few years.
Curious to see how this plays out.
$GOLD
I struggle to see a scenario where Gold continues making new all-time highs over the coming years.
After such an extended multi-year rally, I believe the biggest move has already happened.
2001–2011: ~10-year supercycle.
2015–2026: ~11-year supercycle.
History doesn't repeat perfectly, but it often rhymes.
To me, the next major opportunity lies elsewhere.
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$OTHERSBTC l Weekly Exluding stablecoins
The structure is starting to tell a much bigger story.
When you remove stablecoins from OTHERSBTC, the chart begins to mirror the 2016 accumulation phase while also following the 2018–2020 market structure.
But there’s one detail that stands out.
In 2016, the falling wedge lasted around 4.5 months.
The current falling wedge has been developing for 4 years and 9 months.
It’s also confirming the path ahead: breakout and retest.
We could be looking at a 2017 - 2018 style supercycle, most likely on an even bigger scale.
Most people will only recognize it once the move is already underway.
Don’t be one of them.
