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Perps & Prediction Markets nerd Mentor at @parimatch my home @perphubdotcom

Joined February 2023
Photo by 1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ (@1saevv)Photo by 1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ (@1saevv)Photo by 1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ (@1saevv)Photo by 1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ (@1saevv)Photo by 1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ (@1saevv)Photo by 1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ (@1saevv)Photo by 1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ (@1saevv)Photo by 1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ (@1saevv)Photo by 1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ (@1saevv)Photo by 1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ (@1saevv)
You must break the pattern today, otherwise the cycle will repeat itself
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1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ retweeted
83โ€“87 for GTA VI? Insider Gaming is betting on a modest score On the Insider Gaming podcast, Tom Henderson and other journalists suggested that GTA VIโ€™s average critic score could land in the 83โ€“87 range. Itโ€™s a bold take, since most people believe the new GTA will score near the top of the scale. Who will end up being right? I wanted to look into it myself I checked out the Metacritic market at @parimatch . Hereโ€™s how it stands: 90+ - 100% 92+ - 97% 94+ - 94% 96+ - 80% 97+ - 59% 98+ - 24% Trading volume is $59.2K. These figures are current, so they may shift For example, for 94+ to hit, critics need to give the game a score of at least 94. Metascore is calculated on Metacritic using the default platform, seven days after release, at 10:00 ET. User scores arenโ€™t counted, and if GTA VI doesnโ€™t come out by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to "No." Before taking part, itโ€™s worth opening the Rules on the market page and checking all the details Iโ€™m still expecting GTA VI to score highly. It was the same with GTA V before release, people worried about its technical condition and criticized Rockstarโ€™s familiar formula. But in the end, there were hardly any low scores, and its Metascore was high. Rockstar has a strong reputation, so an 83โ€“87 prediction seems far too modest to me.
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44.6% of Pythโ€™s gross new ARR in October came from existing customers expanding their subscriptions Thatโ€™s a pretty interesting number from the latest @PythNetwork report Companies arenโ€™t just signing up for Pyth data. Some are choosing to spend more on it over time Pyth also added $2.17M in net new ARR and reached 332 paying accounts October brought new US Treasury indices, corporate action data for US stocks, and better tools for AI agents to access market data Pyth keeps adding products that go beyond crypto, while its subscription business continues to grow Thereโ€™s still a lot to build, but the progress over the past few months has been pretty consistent
Pyth October 2026 Report ๐Ÿงต More people in Pyth Terminal. More ways for apps to use Pyth data. โ†’ $13.67M ARR, up 18.9% MoM โ†’ 332 paying accounts โ†’ 4,451 Terminal signups Here's what moved โ†“
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One delta-neutral strategy, two campaigns with a combined prize pool of up to $25,000, Lighter Points, and a potential Polymarket Perps airdrop While everyone is waiting for the @extendedapp airdrop, thereโ€™s already another farming opportunity on @vooi_io, but first, letโ€™s wrap up the Extended story The team has officially announced the end of the Xpoints program, with a final conversion rate of 1 Xpoint = 4.2857 XTEN and 300 million XTEN allocated to the community According to Extendedโ€™s BD, TGE is scheduled for November, while traders on @Poly_Perps are pricing in a 71% probability of FDV exceeding $150 million I personally farmed Extended through @vooi_io with a 15% boost, congrats to everyone who participated, weโ€™ve finally made it But you know me, I couldnโ€™t just leave without sharing another potential gem There are currently two campaigns running on VOOI The first is @Lighter_xyz ร— @RobinhoodApp , where you can farm Lighter Points while competing for a prize pool of up to $10,000 The second is Polymarket Perps, featuring a prize pool of up to $15,000, where every participant who meets the minimum requirements is eligible to receive a share of the rewards And you can combine both campaigns into a single delta-neutral strategy Open opposing positions on Lighter and Polymarket Perps, generate trading volume on both platforms simultaneously, farm Lighter Points, and build activity on Polymarket Perps ahead of a potential future airdrop Why @vooi_io ? VOOI is a perpetual trading aggregator that lets you trade across leading perp DEXs and centralized exchanges through a single interface Instead of constantly switching between platforms, you can manage your positions in one place, making it especially convenient for delta-neutral strategies The result is one trading setup that gives you access to two campaigns with a combined prize pool of up to $25,000, Lighter Points farming, and additional Polymarket Perps activity that could potentially count toward a future airdrop I use VOOI myself, and Iโ€™ll leave my referral link below, which gives you trading rebates, an extra advantage when farming volume - ultra.vooi.io/i/S9UDFLJC Extended is approaching the finish line, and personally, Iโ€™d be looking closely at Lighter ร— Polymarket Perps while both campaigns are still live Thatโ€™s all I have to say
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1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ retweeted
GTA VI is out on november 19 and the loudest argument right now isn't the map, it's when PC players get it rockstar lists PS5 and xbox series x|s. PC has no date at all @parimatch has a predictions market on exactly this and the way it's set up is actually smart it's not one bet, it's 4 deadlines and each one is its own yes/no > by dec 31 2026 > by mar 31 2027 > by jun 30 2027 > by dec 31 2027 prices are in cents, so the price is basically the odds the crowd gives it. when i checked, yes was: > dec 31 2026: 9.5ยข > mar 31 2027: 22.5ยข > jun 30 2027: 72.5ยข > dec 31 2027: 87.5ยข the funny part is the jump. march is a 23% shot, june is 73%. so the crowd is pretty sure PC drops somewhere between april and june 2027 and june is where the money sits too, around 4.3k USDC traded on that line alone rules are simple. it only counts if a full windows PC version goes on sale on steam, epic or the rockstar launcher by 11:59 PM ET on that date. betas, tech tests and leaked builds don't count, and it settles the moment the game drops for context GTA V took about a year and a half to hit PC, RDR2 about a year my PC friend wants yes on dec 31 2026. 9.5ยข for pure copium, honestly a fair price if you've got a take on rockstar's timing, you can put it on the line here parimatch.com/predictions/evโ€ฆ
๐Ÿค Paid partnership
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1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ retweeted
October rewards for @parimatch Contributors have been sent out, so now is a good time to join the program and start working toward November rewards Join here: t.me/ParimatchContributorsBoโ€ฆ Thereโ€™s also a new bonus this month: Contributor role holders get 2x points for accepted submissions A quick reminder of how scoring works: โ€ข Quality: 0โ€“10 points โ€ข Reach: 0โ€“10 points โ€ข With the 2x multiplier, you can earn up to 40 points per submission Rewards are distributed proportionally based on accepted submissions and their points. The multiplier doubles your weight in the mission pool, not your final payout A few requirements to keep in mind: โ€ข Your X account must have a verification checkmark โ€ข Posts need more than 200 views to be accepted โ€ข Originality, quality and genuine engagement matter. Fake metrics or low-effort content can lead to disqualification Also, make sure your EVM wallet in the Telegram bot is up to date. Payouts are made in USDT (ERC20) on Ethereum Want to earn rewards for November? Nowโ€™s a good time to join and start contributing
Everton decided to make things interesting before getting the job done Coventry scored first, but Barry needed just four minutes to turn the scoreline around with a quick brace Dewsbury-Hall added the third in the 81st minute, putting an end to any hopes of a Coventry comeback Final score 3-1 My @parimatch ticket at 1.68 is green Three wins in a row. Let's keep this going Register on Parimatch with promo code Wartask and get access to bonus offers on your first five deposits, adding up to 750% global-pm.link/?serial=61377โ€ฆ Just remember, all bonuses come with a 30x wagering requirement
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Japanese equities are an important part of global markets, with companies like Toyota, Sony, and Nintendo attracting interest well beyond Japan @PythNetwork now provides real-time price feeds for 21 Japanese equities through Pyth Pro, making this market data available to applications and financial platforms integrating its infrastructure The addition expands Pyth Proโ€™s equity coverage beyond its existing markets and gives developers access to another set of widely followed stocks through the same data service
The names that move Japan ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Toyota. Sony. Nintendo. Tokyo Electron. Access real-time prices for 21 Japanese equities through Pyth Pro.
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1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ retweeted
spent my morning making fake money on @parimatch so you don't have to lose real money not understanding it the game is called Pulse. 60 second rounds, BTC up or down here's the whole thing: > round opens at the real BTC price, that's your strike (the dashed line) > you tap โ–ฒ or โ–ผ. each button shows the max multiplier you can lock in on that side, and it changes live > you pick risk: 2x, 5x or 10x > higher risk = your win climbs faster, but the burn point moves closer. burn point is how far price can go against you before the bet dies early > you can cash out any second at the current multiplier, or hold till the timer hits zero > if it burns, the stake is gone. no partial refund now the part i didn't expect rule 07 says only the opening price is real BTC. after that the chart follows an RNG path that's locked before anyone bets. the hash gets published in advance and you can check it yourself in the Provably Fair tab so your "TA" on a 60 second candle is doing absolutely nothing lmao it's not trading. it's picking a direction and deciding how close you want the cliff honestly kind of respect that they wrote it down instead of letting people think they're scalping BTC ran it in demo mode first, which is what i'd tell anyone to do. rules are in the... menu at the top right if you want to check every line i said, it's under Crypto Games
๐Ÿค Paid partnership
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1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ retweeted
powered by @parimatch All these bets were provided in advance on Discord Join us discord.gg/parimatch
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1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ retweeted
Some people talk Some just tap @parimatch 18+ | Play responsibly
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Contributors are not your free marketing department I believe contributors should get paid for their work. In every crypto project A few years ago, things were different You could spend months writing threads, creating designs, and helping communities grow without getting paid But back then, a good airdrop could reward you for all that time and effort Today, people are still doing the same work, spending months or even years contributing, with no guarantee theyโ€™ll ever get anything in return And weโ€™ve already seen where this leads Projects that spent years building are shutting down, leaving behind contributors who dedicated hundreds or even thousands of hours to them Some spent almost their entire time in crypto supporting a single project And what did they get in the end? Maybe a few connections and some experience I donโ€™t think this should be normal Contributors deserve more than promises of a future airdrop And @parimatch is already showing what a different model can look like Every contributor has their own strengths and approach to creating content Some focus on visuals and design, others are better at writing detailed guides, sharing research, explaining complex topics, or creating content that brings people together Everyone should have the opportunity to use their skills, develop their own style, and bring something valuable to the project You should be able to do what you enjoy, improve your skills, build your reputation, and grow alongside the project But your time and effort should also be rewarded At Parimatch, contributors receive monthly payments for their work, along with recognition, visibility, and opportunities to grow The post Iโ€™m quoting is a good example of that No waiting years for a token that might never come. No wondering whether hundreds of hours of work will ever pay off This is what contributing should look like in 2026. And in the years ahead
Parimatch Contributors: ~$420 in a month Here's how much I earned just in October by participating in the @parimatch Contributors Program and various promotions and giveaways. Detailed revenue breakdown: โ€ข Content creation (X Posts): $325.85 โ€ข Halloween Event: $85 ($50 for winning a game + $35 for 2nd place in the post contest) โ€ข Social Giveaway โ€” $10 (like, repost, comment) The best part is that content creation brings in the bulk of the money. You write normal posts, do reviews, take part in activities - and it actually pays well. Not a one-time thing, but steady rewards for real work. If you're interested in earning by creating content for Parimatch, join the Contributors program: t.me/ParimatchContributorsBoโ€ฆ If you have any questions, feel free to message me - I'll help you join and start earning.
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Kalshi has launched contracts on its KPOW Midterms index, with @PythNetwork responsible for calculating and publishing the values used to settle them The index combines 13 markets tied to the 2026 US midterm elections. It ranges from -50 to +50 and reflects the market's weighted expectations for Republican and Democratic victories Every 30 seconds, Pyth calculates a new index value using public trade data from Kalshi The methodology includes safeguards against sudden price movements. If a trade deviates by more than $0.05 from the last accepted price, it isn't immediately included in the calculation. The move needs additional confirmation before being accepted Contract settlement typically uses a 15-minute time-weighted average of the index rather than its value at a single point in time Election results, media projections, and official declarations of winners don't directly change contract values. Settlement is tied to the index values published by Pyth. If trading stops in an individual market, its last accepted price remains part of the calculation In its October 27 filing with the CFTC, Kalshi identifies Pyth as the index's Source Agency. Kalshi operates the exchange and underlying markets, while Pyth independently calculates and publishes the index used to determine contract settlement values This implementation adds to Pyth's broader work with traditional financial market data. Pyth Pro already covers equities, commodities, and futures, while KPOW Midterms brings that data infrastructure into index contracts tied to political events The structure is straightforward: an independent data provider calculates an index according to a predefined methodology, and a regulated exchange uses the published values to settle its contracts
๐Ÿค– Made with AI
Every KPOW Midterms settlement references values published by Pyth, with price checks on inputs and time-weighted settlement built into the methodology. Read how Kalshiโ€™s Midterms Index is built to settle markets:
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1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ retweeted
$6.34 billion in crypto assets impacted by the Binance security incident that number is honestly difficult to process according to Binance's November 3 update, around $2.85 billion had been frozen or intercepted, and the exchange says it will cover the financial impact for its users it got me thinking about something much more practical not every dollar in your account needs to be available for your next bet that's why i wanted to try out Vault on @parimatch you can find it under Account โ†’ Vault, right below Deposit and Withdraw it gives you a separate balance inside your Parimatch account once your funds have met the applicable wagering requirements, you can move money from your cash balance into Vault with the Top up tab and when you want to use it again, the Withdraw tab transfers it back to your regular balance simple idea, but a useful habit: keep your playing budget separate from the money you want to set aside Vault doesn't replace proper security practices โ€” it gives you a clearer way to manage your balance check it out: parimatch.com/ account โ†’ vault source: binance.com/en/square/post/3โ€ฆ
๐Ÿค Paid partnership
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1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ retweeted
Not every bit of money in your betting account needs to stay available for the next bet Thatโ€™s why I find the Vault feature on @parimatch useful. It gives you a separate balance inside your account where you can keep eligible funds you don't plan to use for betting Had a good session and want to set some money aside? Move it to the Vault instead of leaving it in your main balance You can transfer funds back whenever you need them. Both operations happen directly inside your account A simple feature, but a useful way to keep your betting balance organized Check it out: parimatch.now/en/my-account
The classic experience of backing Real Madrid They dominate possession, create chances, concede twice and still need a 92nd-minute goal to avoid dropping points Bellingham and Mbappรฉ did their part, but Valverde was the one who finally delivered the winning goal AEK 2-3 Real Madrid My @parimatch bet at 1.22 is settled A little more stress than expected, but a win is a win
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1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ retweeted
Wintermute solana:HZ1JovNiVvGrGNiiYvEozEVgZ58xaU3RKwX8eACQBCt3 holdings up 6x over the past 30 days probably nothing check it out at pyth.scptech.xyz/growth
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October was a busy month for @PythNetwork A few highlights from the latest Douro Labs report: โ€ข $13.67M ARR (+18.9% MoM) โ€ข 4,451 Pyth Terminal signups (+37%) โ€ข 332 paying accounts โ€ข 3,927 symbols in the Pyth Pro catalog And it's not just the user base that's growing. Pyth is expanding its products too October brought corporate action data for US equities, US Treasury yield curve indices, and new Pyth Pro capabilities for AI agents Pyth used to be known mainly as an oracle for DeFi. Now its data can be used for much more, from stock market analysis to automated financial research And with subscription revenue growing, there's clearly demand for what they're building Source: Pyth October 2026 Report - Douro Labs
๐Ÿค– Made with AI
Pyth October 2026 report. โ†’ ARR: $13.67M (+18.9% MoM) โ†’ Pyth Indices ARR: $2.88M (+$1.12M in October) โ†’ Self-serve new ARR: $725K (1.5x September) โ†’ Pyth Terminal signups: 4,451 (+37% MoM) Full report โ†“
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Today might be the end of my year-long comeback For the first time in over a year, Iโ€™m this close to fully recovering my @Polymarket losses and finally getting back in profit If it happens, Iโ€™m officially putting myself in the 0.0001% of Polymarket traders who actually made it out of the red One last prediction could put me back in profit Follow it here: polymarket.com/@1saevv?r=1saโ€ฆ
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1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ retweeted
$6.3 billion, thatโ€™s binance estimate their preliminary investigation pointed to a compromised engineerโ€™s laptop, access to the withdrawal service number is huge, the entry point is ordinary, on most platforms everything sits in one balance too @parimatch has vault - a separate balance inside the account for money you donโ€™t want to touch log in -> account -> vault (under deposit and withdraw) top up moves fully wagered cash into it withdraw brings it back as an internal transfer, not to an external wallet, you can just set part of a win aside so it isnโ€™t staring at you at night check out the reply for guide with links!
Donโ€™t want to lose your crypto? Then keep it safe in Vault from PARIMATCH ๐Ÿ‘‡ Itโ€™s a separate balance for your winnings and savings for the future. Transfer funds from your main balance and withdraw them in just a few clicks whenever you need โœ… Fast โœ… Secure โœ… Convenient Look for Vault in your Account, below the Deposit and Withdraw buttons. In light of recent events, we recommend to get started right away ๐Ÿ˜‰ Sleep, bet and play with peace of mind. Hackers shall not pass ๐Ÿ”’
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1saevv ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ retweeted
3 nights. 3 doors. And somehow, door #2 was cursed every single time ๐Ÿ‘ป Remember how I became a Ghost on the first night of @Parimatch's Halloween event? Well, I decided to stick with my favorite number Every night, I voted for door #2, hoping to trap the remaining Alive players And guess what? ~> Night 1: 12 players became Ghosts ~> Night 2: 3 more joined us ~> Night 3: 1 final player became a Ghost All because of door #2 I still can't believe the same door was cursed three nights in a row What started as a bad decision turned into a pretty good strategy Now the doors are closed, and 16 players have joined the Ghost side But here's the interesting part Both Alive players and Ghosts still have a chance to win prizes if they meet the event requirements So maybe my favorite number wasn't so unlucky after all Thanks to @Parimatch for these three fun nights! #ParimatchAfterDark
I'm officially a Ghost ๐Ÿ‘ป There were 3 doors, and I had to choose just one I went with door โ„–2 because 2 has always been my favorite number Well, that turned out to be a mistake Instead of staying Alive, I walked straight into a trap and became a Ghost But here's the interesting part My game wasn't over. I just switched sides Now, instead of trying to survive, my job is to help set traps for the remaining Alive players Tonight was the final night of @Parimatch's Halloween event, and we'll soon find out who made it through all three nights But there's a twist Both Alive players and Ghosts have a chance to win prizes So maybe picking door #2 wasn't such a bad decision after all. Thanks to @Parimatch for this fun Halloween experience! #ParimatchAfterDark
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222,723 prediction-market contracts settled using @PythNetwork data over the last 30 days Chainlink: 93,862 Thatโ€™s ~2.4x across @Kalshi and @Polymarket from Sep 28 to Oct 27 On Kalshi alone, 98 series use Pyth as the settlement source, including hourly markets for platinum, palladium, WTI, silver and gold Pyth has now settled 400,000+ prediction-market contracts across the two venues
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just downloaded @Nika_Finance on my iphone pretty cool that i can open it anytime and see whoโ€™s winning on perps and prediction markets in real time makes it really easy to find interesting traders and keep an eye on what theyโ€™re doing all from my phone
The world moves fast. Now you can too. Introducing Nika: โ€ข Trade stocks, crypto, and more 24/7 โ€ข Earn yield on your assets โ€ข Trade prediction markets โ€ข Discover top traders and see their moves Download Nika on iOS & Android: app.nika.finance/download
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