@3LevelScoreri
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Burner account of a hoops junkie
Joined September 2022
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Mark this down: the Clippers will trade Ty Lue. He has 3 years left on his deal and zero reason to waste them coaching a roster with no path to contention. From the Clippers perspective, he’s one of the few “assets” left that could fetch a pick. It’s best for both sides
Why the Clippers have no recourse:
Constitution and Bylaws of the NBA: “Following an opportunity for the affected party to submit evidence… all actions taken by the Commissioner… shall be final, binding and conclusive, as an award in arbitration… enforceable in a court”
Further proof that Shams just copy and pastes what he’s sent from agents: agents calling themselves “Esquire”
Kawhi Leonard and the Toronto Raptors are expected to start extension talks this week -- and the two-time Finals MVP will do so with new representation. Leonard has hired Harrison Gaines, Esq. of SLASH Sports as his new agent.
ESPN Story: espn.com/nba/story/_/id/4928…
Three Level Scorer retweeted
The hobbits cheering for Gandalf after he sets off another round of fireworks:
Such a dumb answer. Udoka is asked why didn't Reed play more if they needed to score more... and his answer is basically "We defended well but needed to score more". YES, Ime, that's why they're asking that question!
Ime Udoka when asked about the struggling offense, that Reed Sheppard only played 10 minutes, and if he thought about playing him more late in the game to provide shooting…
“No, we were guarding well enough… holding them to 101 is good enough, we just didn’t score”
Can only see one side of the court. Clearly doesn’t have a game plan to get the best out of Reed…
Meanwhile, JJ Redick is making Luke Kennard look like prime Steph Curry and successfully hiding him on D
State schools are not free. They are paid for by taxes - mostly on parents who pay for private schools. Most of these kids would have had a perfectly good private education without state schools. This isn't about helping the poor, it's the state taking over the job of parenting
The breakfasts are not free. They are paid for by taxes - mostly on parents who feed their own kids. Most of these 10,000 children would have had a perfectly healthy breakfast at home without these clubs. This isn't about helping the poorest kids, it's the state taking over the basic job of parenting.
Three Level Scorer retweeted
Replying to @GetUpESPN @ShamsCharania
“Hi Shams, please take a seat. We are all here because we love you. Don’t think of it as an intervention. We just want to have an honest conversation about that haircut.”
Three Level Scorer retweeted
Replying to @sam_amick @TheAthletic
A simple question: would Kobe have taken himself out? Answer: No. In that situation, he didn't take himself out at 78 points to tie Wilt for 2nd (or miss FTs on purpose to honor him). Kobe was a competitor. He wanted 2nd place for him alone and stayed in the game until he got it
Three Level Scorer retweeted
Sure. Dort extending his leg to trip defenders youtube.com/watch?v=LLjhbhZ0…
youtu.be/wxzn2kBEk_c?si=Mazp…
Hitting/grabbing Gafford, Holmes, Lively in the nuts
youtube.com/shorts/T5JOLlIEl…
youtu.be/U9nwLhpUt3Q?si=TX0G…
youtu.be/wxzn2kBEk_c?si=l-72…
Smacking LBJ far from the ball youtu.be/wxzn2kBEk_c?si=67Zw…
Oh I know those try-hard guys that look as stiff as pole when dancing
(it’s the dude I see when the club has mirrors on the wall)
Paging @haralabob
The Economist has a great piece on strategy sportsbetting apps use to throttle smart bettors:
▫️Skilled players are “sharps” and given “stake restrictions” if they play too well (bets are capped).
▫️Rest of players called “Square”.
▫️In 2025, 4.3% of active UK accounts had a “stake factor” below the maximum bet allowance of 100%.
▫️Sportsbook will take bets with a profit margin as low as 4.5%.
▫️If they are able to do good “player-profiling” and keep the “sharps” from playing, the profit margin can reach 10-20%.
▫️As important as keeping out “sharps” is hooking “whales”, the deep-pocketed players that are willing to keep playing (and losing) large sums.
▫️Some “whales” are actually “sharps” in disguise, though. They’ll lose a bunch of bets to lull the sportsbook then put down a massive bet when they have an edge.
▫️While there is a risk of a “whale” being a “sharp”, the value of a real “whale” is so high that sportsbook will take the risk
▫️“In March 2024 PointsBet, raised its share of online sports-gambling revenue in New Jersey from 11% to 24% after wooing a single cash-spouting customer away from DraftKings.” (I can confirm that this wasn’t me).
▫️How sportsbook profile players:
> Playing on Mobile is a good sign (where majority of people play)
> Playing on PCs is a bad sign (it’s easier to compare odds and run models)
> E-wallets are a red flag (sportsbooks prefer debit direct deposit that can attach a player to a single account; e-wallet is more anonymized and players can move cash between sportsbook more quickly to shop for the best odds)
> Women bettors are a red flag (most bettors are men and “sharps” often use women to place bets)
▫️First wagers are a major tells (typical bettors go after top leagues — NFL, NBA, EPL — and do so near the start of the game).
▫️Popular bets for “squares”: who will win, scoring margins and how star player will perform (also, they love multi-leg parlays).
▫️“Sharps” go after less popular leagues and place bets as soon as odds are published, when they are most mispriced. They also go after less popular bets such as “pts in Q3” or stats from a random player (“Sharps” rarely do parlays and don’t withdrawal winnings often).
▫️One gambling consultant tells The Economist that “By the time a customer places his first bet, [sportsbooks] are 80-90% certain they know the lifetime value of the account.”
▫️”Sportsbooks look at a player’s ‘closing-line value’ — a measure that compares the odds at which he bets with those available right before a match begins. If it is consistently ahead of the market over his first ten wagers, he is highly likely to beat the book in the long run.”
▫️Sportsbook mathematically monitor players and creates a new risk score every 6-8 hours (risk score = estimate of probability that customers will wind up unprofitable).
▫️E-wallet users, women and bets over $100 are flagged. These suspicious bettors are given 30% of maximum bet (and proven sharps only allowed 1%).
▫️High-skilled players will often get a “beard” to bet on their behalf. Most sportsbooks ban this practice but it is widespread.
▫️Safest “beards” are close friends and relatives because you can mostly rely on them to pay out any winnings. The “beards” try to look like degens (playing at 3am, bet non-stop and doing ridiculous parlays) before placing a winning bet.
▫️The most effective strategy for “sharps” is “whale-flipping”. Find a losing gambler, then ask to put a (likely) large winning bet amongst their pool of guaranteed losers.
▫️Once “sharps” max out the people they can use as “beards”, they tap professional networks called “movers”. These “movers” employ a bunch of “mules” who can put down bets on the behalf of the network. Low-end movers charge 10-20% while high-end movers charge 50% of winnings.
***
Lots other great details here: economist.com/christmas-spec…
Good on paper but OKC would have to waive a player, and I don’t know if there’s a player they would waive for DJJr. (FWIW, this trade works under the CBA, but the ESPN machine frequently “passes” trades that actually aren’t allowed due to aprons/caps; better use Spotrac machine)