Be a champion in everything that you do. [email protected]
Joined October 2021
- Tweets46.2K
- Following510
- Followers129K
- Likes84.7K
Pinned Tweet
Washington defends America from the outside in. Agencies, surveillance, endless spending. It has the threat model backwards. Security starts at home. Strong families. A real economy. Free, healthy citizens. My new book:
11 RULES FOR NATIONAL SECURITY.
Coming soon.
Fascinating.
Lawsuit Says Anthropic, OpenAI, Spacexai and Google Made Illegal Agreement on AI Slowdown
By KAITLYN HUAMANI
A new lawsuit claims Anthropic, OpenAI, SpaceXAI and Google made an illegal deal to slow the pace of their respective AI development. The lawsuit, which was filed Friday in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, argues that the leading AI companies violated antitrust laws when they agreed to coordinate slowdown efforts, and that doing so would reduce the value consumers get for paid AI subscriptions.
ocregister.com/2026/09/19/la…
The Machine that Reads Everything. The Off Switch, Part III. An assistant with your files, a stranger's text, and a way out is a loaded weapon pointed at you. One documented case shows how it fires. Four rules unload it. aghuff.substack.com/p/the-ma…
With quantum computing the application layer and everything on top of it is no long necessary or useful.
Andrew G. Huff retweeted
Ten Myths about Your Machines
The Off Switch, Part II. Ten beliefs about your devices: five from too much trust, five from too little. One test sorts them, and the results decide how much of the AI risk debate is real.
aghuff.substack.com/p/ten-my…
Ten Myths about Your Machines
The Off Switch, Part II. Ten beliefs about your devices: five from too much trust, five from too little. One test sorts them, and the results decide how much of the AI risk debate is real.
aghuff.substack.com/p/ten-my…
Andrew G. Huff retweeted
p(doom) is not a risk estimate.
Risk requires likelihood and consequence (NIST 800-30). Most extinction numbers are consequence with a decimal point, no exposure model. Safety benchmarks are the reverse.
Neither side is producing a risk estimate.
@NIST @CISAgov @DHSgov @FBI @DeptofWar @All100Senators @NSAGov
aghuff.substack.com/p/the-do…
p(doom) is not a risk estimate.
Risk requires likelihood and consequence (NIST 800-30). Most extinction numbers are consequence with a decimal point, no exposure model. Safety benchmarks are the reverse.
Neither side is producing a risk estimate.
@NIST @CISAgov @DHSgov @FBI @DeptofWar @All100Senators @NSAGov
aghuff.substack.com/p/the-do…
New interview question for engineers: Have you ever built your own computer?
If you answer no, or can't explain how, bottom of the pile.
Andrew G. Huff retweeted
> be anthropic
> say ai might take over internet
> researchers: “it might kill humans.”
> dario: “we need independent evaluators”
> choose metr
> metr gets funded by the same network funding anthropic
> which also funds ai safety orgs
> which also funds doom research
> which also funds policy work
> which also holds major wealth linked to anthropic
> which also funds tarbell
> tarbell pushes doom into time, the verge, science, la times, etc.
> anthropic makes more money
> network gets richer
> more fund goes into ai doom
> ai doom pushes more regulation
> regulation favors “responsible” frontier labs
> anthropic gets more power
> repeat
the doom funds the network → the network amplifies the doom → anthropic benefits from both
I have conducted an audit of Anthropic's finances.
What I have found is so shocking that I am calling for a Congressional investigation.
Anthropic is not just seeking regulatory capture.
It has built a regulatory capture machine that cannot be turned off.
Structural financial incentives make it impossible for Anthropic -- I call it the Anthropic Network -- to turn off its own AI doom cycle.
It starts with METR.
Dario Amodei proposes "third-party evaluators" to assess the risk of Anthropic's models.
He proposes METR for this purpose.
But METR is financially dependent on the Anthropic's success -- specifically, on the explosive growth of more than $7 billion dollars in Anthropic stock.
Dustin Moskovitz invested this stock into Good Ventures Foundation, where it represents the majority of that organization's portfolio.
And GVF is the overwhelming funder of the entire Anthropic Network ecosystem.
This stock was worth $500 million early last year.
It is worth more than $7.7 billion just ~16 months later.
METR -- and all of those building a career its parent organizations -- cannot afford to disrupt that growth.
Because if Anthropic goes under, many of the organizations that fund METR go under as well.
But if Anthropic succeeds, METR and its parent organizations become more richly financed to regulate AI -- something those at METR want very much.
The "third-party evaluator" is not "third-party" at all.
The evaluator is on Anthropic's payroll.
If this were the end of it, that's bad.
But that isn't all.
The same organizations that fund METR also fund the many organizations, such as the Tarbell Center, that promote AI Doom.
The Tarbell Center publishes AI Doom articles in The Verge, Science, LA Times, The Dispatch, TIME, and others.
They are selling the problem, and then selling the solution to the problem -- from the same money pile: Anthropic's.
All of these organizations are financially dependent on the same exploding $7 billion money pile.
As Anthropic grows more and more powerful, its AI Doom Machine grows better and better financed -- louder and louder.
Meanwhile, the regulatory regime seeded in METR grows larger to solve the increasingly loud -- now hysterical -- problem of AI Doom that the Anthropic Network itself created.
From this standpoint, as Anthropic becomes more powerful, AI might be getting scarier, sure -- but the positive feedback loop also becomes more deafening -- independent of objective facts.
This itself is an objective fact.
The deafening AI Doom is part of an business model, that, as it expands, so too does the AI Doom messaging -- there is simply more money to do it.
But the problem also goes in the other direction:
If Anthropic dies, the Regulatory Regime and the AI Doom Machine are crippled or die.
Neither METR nor Tarbell nor the other organizations in the Anthropic Network can allow that to happen.
Hence, neither METR or the AI Doom Machine can be trusted to provide independent assessments of Anthropic's models or AI more broadly.
They simply are not organizations independent of Anthropic.
And Anthropic cannot detach itself from METR or Tarbell or countless other safety orgs (not shown here), either, because they drive hype for the models and the possibility of eventual regulatory capture, and Anthropic will not give that up willingly.
What's more, the people at all of these organizations are all the same ecosystem, the same community. They just shuffle between organizations.
The Anthropic Network is therefore, so long as it is successful, locked into a self-amplifying feedback loop inside an ideological monoculture.
And that feedback loop is winning.
That's what Jacob Coxon is.
China is keeping messaging tight. That is why optimism for AI is so high in China.
America has Anthropic: a massive company pushing anti-AI propaganda at a state level.
Anthropic will either create hysteria until American AI slows down and China wins, or it will create fractures throughout American society with severe political consequences.
Ironically, because of the structural financial incentives underpinning the Anthropic Network, it has become the same kind of self-amplifying virus that it fantasizes AI to become in the future -- while hiding its tracks just as carefully.
It is the mirror of the same AI virus that it hypothesizes to consume America.
Anthropic's business model, models itself after the very thing it claims to fear.
Except Anthropic's ideology infects humans, not computers.
Congress must investigate.
Evidence and Github in next post.
Then some supplementary figures.
The risk to a hypothetical AI threat is overblown and merely stated. Does this person realize a minimally capable agent is 4 to 6GBs in size?
Jacob Coxon's next interview on CBS News (ex Anthropic+Open AI researcher who resigned)
"We can't just unplug it because it could be copying itself over to other computers. Like it's not that difficult to find yourself because an AI is just code. It could transfer itself over the internet to a different place and then you unplug it here, but it's actually still over there and maybe it makes 10,000 copies of itself and they're all cooperating."
----
From "CBS News" YouTube channel, (full video link in comment)
Andrew G. Huff retweeted
The Last Mile
No Common Operating Picture, Part VI. A perfect architecture that no one uses is operationally identical to no architecture at all.
aghuff.substack.com/p/the-la…
Andrew G. Huff retweeted
No Common Operating Picture, Part V. I built the wrong thing for the right users. The lesson taught me the architecture.
aghuff.substack.com/p/the-da…
What It Would Require
No Common Operating Picture, the finale Part VII. Six parts of diagnosis produced a specification. Here it is, here is where it comes from, and here is how it fails.
aghuff.substack.com/p/what-i…