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Major central bank meetings and tech stock earnings are filling up this week's calendar.
Check out the high-impact financial events that could influence global markets. ποΈ
There's nothing to be afraid of! We're here to help 24/5, even this Halloween seasonπ
The market spooks? Not sure how to place a trade? Contact our live chat for any inquiries: bit.ly/3UvcTrc
Felt at the pump first.
Oil edged higher again on Middle East supply risk. Drivers feel it on the road before the chart hits the feed.
Not a call. Just the link between the fill-up and the tape.
Whatβs hitting your week harder β fuel, or the grocery bill?
Update on that $INTC print.
Beat the quarter: revenue $16.5B (+21% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $0.52 vs ~$0.40 expected. Data center and AI jumped 78% to $7.3B.
The market sold the outlook. Q4 guide sat at $15-16B revenue and $0.25 non-GAAP EPS, well below what was priced. PC softness (plus a Fab 28 hit) weighed on the path ahead.
Beat on the print. Guide did the damage.
What matters more here for you - AI/server strength, or how long the PC trough lasts?
πππ«π€ππ ππ§ππ©π¬π‘π¨π β ππ ππππ¨πππ«
Big Tech missed. $NASDAQ took the hit.
$GOOGL disappointed in the session. $AMZN missed after the bell. Stocks sold off.
Core PCE landed on expectations β December hike odds cooled. Yields slipped. $USD fell vs the majors.
Oil edged higher on Middle East supply worries. $XAUUSD drifted back toward support anyway.
π‘ Busy close to the week: Bank of Japan in Asia, more key data later.
Which miss stung more on your tape β Alphabet or Amazon?
$INTC is set to report its Q3 earnings report today after the market close. Analysts expect revenue of $16.5 billion (+21% YoY) and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40. While strong data center and AI growth have supported the stock, investors remain focused on foundry profitability, gross margins, and manufacturing execution.
Management previously indicated that additional server CPU supply would become available in late Q3 and Q4, which could help push quarterly revenue toward the $18 billion mark and drive further AI-powered momentum into next quarter. Hence, investors will be watching for signs that this supply boost can sustain growth into the next quarter.
3 key triggers to watch for the next big move:
π Q3 Earnings & Guidance: Watch whether revenue, EPS, and the guided 42% non-GAAP gross margin can satisfy expectations and soothe concerns over persistent foundry operating losses.
ποΈ Foundry & 18A Progress: Track manufacturing yields, cost control, and external customer commitments for the 14A process to gauge competitiveness.
π΅ Capital Expenditure & Q4 Guidance: Assess management's 2027 investment outlook, cash-flow generation, and forward demand forecasts.
πππ«π€ππ ππ§ππ©π¬π‘π¨π β ππ ππππ¨πππ«
Fed held as priced β but left December fuzzy. Stocks rose. $USD slipped. Earnings were mixed.
Elsewhere: Bank of Canada hiked 25bp as expected. The shock was the RBNZ β held when a hike was priced. $NZD sold off hard.
$WTI solana:kLqMvUm1p4pRbxU4r8kWCTVAuWMJLtcTJqGb4b5pump Oil climbed again on Middle East hostilities. $XAUUSD edged higher with the softer dollar.
π‘Busy again today: ECB rate call + key US data.
Bigger surprise yesterday β the Fed tone or the RBNZ hold?
Over 90% expect the Fed to hold rates today. But the real market mover may come after the decision.
The Fed's forward guidance and statement on its next could move the $USD and $Gold.
Watch our latest Fed Rate Decision preview now: youtu.be/do4u65IopjQ
$Gold prices remain supported above the key $4,000 threshold, reflecting sustained investor interest in the precious metal as market participants brace for the Federal Reserveβs imminent interest-rate decision and upcoming U.S. PCE inflation data.
Consensus points to a $Fed policy hold, but all eyes will be on Chairman Kevin Warsh's press conference and the trajectory of U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar.
2 triggers to watch for the next big move:
π U.S. $PCE Inflation Data: A softer-than-expected Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index could weaken the U.S. dollar and fuel further upside momentum for gold.
ποΈ Federal Reserve Tone: Market sentiment hinges on whether the central bank adopts a dovish stance or signals a prolonged restrictive policy path.
The $Fed is expected to hold. Here's what else to know beyond the rate decision.
Watch the full Fed rate decision preview on our YouTube channel: youtu.be/do4u65IopjQ
πππ«π€ππ ππ§ππ©π¬π‘π¨π β ππ πππ
U.S. tech led again yesterday. Traders priced mega-cap earnings, Middle East talk of a deal, and a widely expected Fed hold.
Treasuries edged higher into todayβs FOMC. $Dollar firmed vs the majors β $Euro near a yearly low.
$Oil slipped on peace-talk headlines. $XAUUSD bounced off recent lows.
β°Busy session ahead: Fed (+ Bank of Canada) today, more central banks later this week. Geopolitics still in the mix.
Whatβs your main watch into the decision? π
πππ«π€ππ ππ§ππ©π¬π‘π¨π β ππ πππ
U.S. stocks climbed again yesterday, tech leading as traders lined up for mega-cap earnings and a stack of central bank decisions.
Treasuries mixed ahead of Wednesdayβs Fed call. Dollar firmed vs the majors.
ππ’π₯ & ππ¨π₯π
Oil eased but stayed elevated on geopolitics. Gold bounced back above $4,000.
π‘Macro calendar is quiet today β the noise is later this week. Until then, geopolitics still sets the tone.
Whatβs moving your watchlist this morning?
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π.π. πππ«π€ππ
U.S. stocks fell on the final trading day of the week on Friday as investors digested updates from earnings season and continuing geopolitical issues in the Middle East. Treasury yields bounced after Thursdayβs rout, and the dollar pushed higher against the majors.
ππ’π₯, ππ¨π₯π
Oil contracts continued to push higher to close near 6-month highs as more Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia increased supply concerns, while $XAUUSD dropped again to close under the key $4,000 level.
π‘It is a quiet day on the macroeconomic calendar today to kick off the trading week; however, traders are again expecting geopolitical updates to keep volatility high.
$USDJPY is trading at a critical technical juncture, falling towards the 156.25 region during Friday's Asian session as stronger Japanese inflation, declining US Treasury yields, and renewed safe-haven demand weigh on the pair.
Japan's September core $CPI accelerated to 2.1% YoY, returning above the Bank of Japan's 2% target and reinforcing expectations that the central bank could raise interest rates again in December.
3 triggers to watch for the next big move:
π US Treasury Yields: Further declines in US yields could narrow the USβJapan interest-rate differential, strengthening the yen and weighing on $USDJPY.
ποΈ Bank of Japan Policy Outlook: Investors will monitor the BoJ's 30 October policy decision and economic projections for indications of a potential December rate hike.
π€ Global Risk Sentiment: Flash manufacturing and services $PMI readings could sway Fed expectationsβstronger data may boost the dollar, while weaker figures could add downward pressure to $USDJPY.
Check out the πππ«π€ππ ππ§ππ©π¬π‘π¨π β ππ ππππ¨πππ«
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Global markets were extremely volatile in trading yesterday; U.S. tech stocks took a big hit, with the $NASDAQ experiencing its biggest daily drop since June as AI fears again hit sentiment. Those fears hit the bond market, with yields tumbling the benchmark 10-year seeing its biggest one day fall in over 3 years.
Currency markets were also volatile, although, the $DXY drifting lower on the day, not telling the whole story.
ππ’π₯, ππ¨π₯π
$Oil surged higher again to hit 5-month highs as fresh Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia increased supply concerns, while $XAUUSD crashed lower though support levels to hit levels not seen since early August.
π‘There is a raft of PMI numbers due out today across several jurisdictions, however, traders are expecting ongoing geopolitical updates to supersede fundamentals as we progress through the trading day.
