Economist studying trade policy, finance, and macroeconomic outcomes. Research on tariffs, industrial policy, and global trade.
Atlanta, GA
Joined August 2020
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So happy to see this paper in print at the JFE! Ungated access: tinyurl.com/nbcz44zk
Main result: Tech workers who started during the ICT boom of the late 90s end up with a sizable long-term earnings losses 15 years later relative to similar workers in non-booming sectors
The short policy version summary is available here: tinyurl.com/32jk2k8m where I discuss in more detail the potential parallel with the current AI boom
Adrien Matray retweeted
The amount of bad macro data still in circulation is staggering. That's exactly why the work of @KarstenMueIIer and @chenzix on the Global Macro Database is such a valuable public good.
Adrien Matray retweeted
Nobel season! Little experiment - I’ve made a prediction game:
sfuchs-de.github.io/nobel-ex…
Choose a team of economists for monday's announcement by spreading 100 credits across up to 10. You can change them until Sunday, Oct 11, at 8 p.m. Eastern. Just for fun and bragging rights!
Reminder! The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is hiring economists! We are looking to fill four positions:
• 2 Macroeconomists
• 1 Labor Economist
• 1 Household Finance Economist
We are hiring on a rolling basis, and are particularly looking for seasoned economists
(at least one or two year out) so people interested should apply sooner (i.e., in the next few weeks) rather than later. JOE postings:
Macroeconomics: lnkd.in/eGUuagUELabor Economics: lnkd.in/erKsm5PiHousehold Finance: lnkd.in/em-cJtFR
Super excited to announce the @AtlantaFed is starting a new "day visitor program": come spend the day with us the day of the finance seminar, we will get you an office for the day and you can interact with us and the speaker: atlanta-finance-seminar.com/
Adrien Matray retweeted
📘 Très heureux d’annoncer la parution aujourd’hui de notre livre, Les Politiques économiques à l’épreuve des faits !
Fruit de notre collaboration avec @XJaravel, @emm_monnet et Mathieu Peruyero, aux @OdileJacob, avec une préface de @Ph_Aghion.
I keep being told AI is about to bury the journals. Even if we set aside the "AI-written slop," it is possible that AI helps us so much we all become far more productive, which would overflow journals and make evaluation much harder. Long version: tinyurl.com/bdy2f4pw (1/N)
It is not possible to just let probabilistic models throw hundreds (millions?) of attempts at a deterministic gate and see what sticks, without getting bored. A paper, or a model, cannot be cut into pieces with a clear success or fail outcome.
We are hiring on the seasoned market at the Atlanta Fed:
HH finance: aeaweb.org/joe/listing.php?J…
Labor (even better if you can do both applied with admin data + you know macro-labor) aeaweb.org/joe/listing.php?J…
Macro (and macro-finance, financial intermediation) aeaweb.org/joe/listing.php?J…