Elevating Ethiopian Strategic Thinking and Culture. Analysis and Policy Recommendations.
Addis Ababa | Washington, D.C.
Joined April 2026
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An EU-supported regional maritime security forum hosted by the Ethiopian Navy concluded in Addis Ababa on October 29, 2026. Naval commanders from Yemen, Oman, Djibouti, Somaliland, and Puntland discussed joint search-and-rescue operations, intelligence sharing, and maritime security cooperation. Ethiopian Navy Commander Vice Admiral Kindu Gezu attended the closing ceremony.
Ethiopia’s acquisition of Su-35 4++ generation multirole fighter jets and S-400 air defense systems marks a major advancement in its military modernization, strengthening air superiority and deterrence. Alongside expanding nuclear energy cooperation, the acquisition adds new strategic depth to a 128-year diplomatic relationship with Russia.
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UN ends Transitional Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNTMIS) amid deepening crisis. Three decades of political engagement have failed to secure a durable political settlement or self-sustaining security order, while ending the mission without a more effective arrangement risks worsening the crisis.
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On October 26, 2026, the Ethiopian Navy opened a four-day regional maritime forum in Addis Ababa, supported by the European Union and attended by naval commanders from Yemen, Oman, Djibouti, Somaliland and Puntland.
Vice Admiral Kindu Gezu, Commander of the Ethiopian Navy, officially inaugurated the forum, emphasizing regional maritime security cooperation.
“Africa must help itself”
President John Dramani Mahama
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“The security of the Red Sea could not be left solely to the stewardship and guardianship of a few littoral states.” Ethiopia’s National Intelligence and Security Service Director General, Redwan Hussien
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“The security of the Red Sea could not be left solely to the stewardship and guardianship of a few littoral states. It is our conviction that Ethiopia, as an anchor state in the region whose maritime trade depends solely on the Red Sea, has a vital duty to avert security threats and protect its maritime trade and commercial fleets.”
Ethiopia’s National Intelligence and Security Service Director General, Redwan Hussien, delivered this message at the 12th Tana High-Level Forum in Bahir Dar, at the source of the Blue Nile.
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“Let us sit together under the Baobab tree, reflect together and resolve together.” Ghanaian President John Dramani Mahama closed his address with the central message “Africa must help itself” at the 12th Tana High-Level Forum on Security in Africa in Bahir Dar, Ethiopia—an invitation rooted in Africa’s tradition of collective consultation.
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Sisi pledges to step down by 2030 and sets the military as the sole path to the presidency. Selected candidates would undergo 30 months of training at the Egyptian Military Academy before assuming senior posts. The military already controls Egypt’s institutions and economy, producing goods ranging from pasta and bottled water to vehicles, ammunition and missiles.
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The Tana High-Level Forum on Security in Africa emerged from the AU’s 2009 Tripoli Declaration and its call for African-led solutions to Africa’s peace and security challenges.
Conceived through the efforts of PM Meles Zenawi, Prof. Andreas Eshetè, and other African leaders, the Forum first convened in Bahir Dar in April 2012 under the theme “Managing Diversity and State Fragility,” with former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo as its founding Board Chair.
Unlike formal diplomatic gatherings, Tana was designed for frank exchanges among African leaders, scholars, diplomats, and security experts—free from diplomatic protocol and the pressure to reach consensus.
The 12th edition takes place October 23–25, 2026, in Bahir Dar under the theme “Pathways to Peace in Africa: Economic Sovereignty and Geopolitical Transformation,” bringing together approximately 250 participants.
The Forum is invitation-based, not a membership organization. Its Board, currently chaired by Ghanaian President John Dramani Mahama, includes former presidents Joyce Banda, Goodluck Jonathan, Uhuru Kenyatta, and Catherine Samba-Panza, alongside senior diplomats, policymakers and scholars.
The first-ever Army-to-Army Staff Talks between Ethiopia and India concluded in Pune, marking another significant step in the growing strategic partnership between the two countries.
The discussions covered military capacity building, defense technology, innovation, and expanded cooperation. The Ethiopian delegation also toured Indian defense industries, gaining firsthand exposure to India’s indigenous manufacturing capabilities and defense start-up ecosystem.
For Ethiopia, India offers a valuable partner in diversifying defense relationships, strengthening technological capabilities, and developing a more self-reliant defense industry. For India, Ethiopia represents a strategic partner in the Horn of Africa, where the security of the Red Sea and Indian Ocean increasingly intersects with its national interests.
The talks build on the Strategic Partnership announced during PM Modi’s December 2025 visit to Addis Ababa, reflecting a relationship increasingly moving from diplomatic engagement toward practical military and defense-industrial cooperation.
The 6th Consultative Meeting on Enhancing Coordination of Peace Initiatives and Efforts in Sudan was held in Geneva on 21 October 2026. Co-hosted by Switzerland and the United Nations, the meeting brought together more than 20 countries and international organizations to strengthen coordination of diplomatic efforts to end the conflict.
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After the U.S. declined direct military intervention despite Saudi requests, Riyadh and Washington are priming Egypt for a larger role against Houthis in Yemen. Washington has reason to expect its $50+ billion, decades-long strategic military investment in Egypt to pay off.
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