Founder of Silent Index | Rutgers Senior Fellow | Advisor to @betint_ai | Researching Emerging Threats. Words in @WSJ, @thehill, @quillette and elsewhere.
Charleston, SC
Joined November 2015
- Tweets3.5K
- Following1.4K
- Followers1.6K
- Likes11K
Pinned Tweet
Every information operation playbook already in use, from coordinated inauthentic networks to narrative laundering to targeting journalists, now has a financial payout attached when prediction markets are in the mix.
Today in @WSJopinion on what to do about it. 🔗in comments.
What the prediction markets are saying in aggregate as of 8:30 PM ET: Democrats 99% to win the House and 98% to win the Senate, blended from four venues.
Via @betint_ai
On Monday, prediction market prices aggregated by analytics firm @betint_ai implied Democrats had a 95% chance of taking the House of Representatives and a 76% chance of taking the Senate.
reuters.com/business/finance…
Alex Goldenberg retweeted
One Polymarket user bet $294k on a 7-leg midterms parlay that would pay $1.2m if it hits: Rogers loses MI + Husted loses OH + Paxton loses TX + Collins loses ME + Sullivan loses AK + Marshall loses KS + Hinson loses IA. (I wonder why they skipped NC?) h/t @Dan_Zmann
Alex Goldenberg retweeted
New — Someone bet $500,000 on Texas Gov. Greg Abbott to win re-election, days after a separate $500,000 bet for him over Gina Hinojosa (D). Both were institutional bets on Kalshi. Unclear if related. Latest came with Abbott at 64% to win. (flagged by @betint_ai)
Alex Goldenberg retweeted
Agentic money laundering
Our investigators are observing never-seen-before laundering patterns with the stolen funds from the Binance exploit. Thousands of transactions in a short period suggest that the attackers are using automation to obscure the trail of funds. Rather than simply moving funds onward, they repeatedly circulate them among addresses, often sending funds back to addresses involved earlier in the sequence.
Read more: chainalysis.com/blog/binance…
Alex Goldenberg retweeted
GOLDMAN:
“.. The labor market impact of AI appears to be broadening: across nonmanufacturing industries, higher AI adoption is now associated with weaker employment growth and higher unemployment.”
Alex Goldenberg retweeted
Is somebody using AI to plan, execute and obscure the greatest theft in human history?
Our investigators are observing never-seen-before laundering patterns with the stolen funds from the Binance exploit. Thousands of transactions in a short period suggest that the attackers are using automation to obscure the trail of funds. Rather than simply moving funds onward, they repeatedly circulate them among addresses, often sending funds back to addresses involved earlier in the sequence.
Read more: chainalysis.com/blog/binance…
If the North Korea attribution holds, today's $6.3 billion Binance hack is worth roughly 20% of the country's entire annual GDP.
NEW: North Korea appears to have been behind today's $6.3 billion Binance hack according to cybersecurity researchers.
h/t @trmlabs @tanuki42_
[Gift link] wsj.com/finance/currencies/b…
Alex Goldenberg retweeted
🚨TRM Labs is saying that the multi-billion-dollar Binance hack was done by North Korea. wsj.com/finance/currencies/b…
Alex Goldenberg retweeted
Chinese hackers used DeepSeek and other AI tools in sweeping global cyberattacks, report finds
nbcnews.com/tech/security/ch…
Alex Goldenberg retweeted
Seems we're dealing with the biggest cyber heist of all time.
More: wsj.com/finance/currencies/b…
Alex Goldenberg retweeted
(WSJ) - Hackers appeared to have plundered at least $1.7 billion Thursday from Binance in what would be the largest-ever cryptocurrency heist.
@WSJ
wsj.com/finance/currencies/b…
