Arkady Ostrovsky (@ArkadyOstrovsky) header
Arkady Ostrovsky (@ArkadyOstrovsky) profile picture

The Economist, Russia Editor. Author of The Invention of Russia: From Gorbachev's Freedom to Putin's War, winner of the 2016 Orwell Prize for Books.

London, England
Joined November 2011
Photo by Arkady Ostrovsky (@ArkadyOstrovsky)Photo by Arkady Ostrovsky (@ArkadyOstrovsky)Photo by Arkady Ostrovsky (@ArkadyOstrovsky)Photo by Arkady Ostrovsky (@ArkadyOstrovsky)Photo by Arkady Ostrovsky (@ArkadyOstrovsky)Photo by Arkady Ostrovsky (@ArkadyOstrovsky)Photo by Arkady Ostrovsky (@ArkadyOstrovsky)
“He stared intently in front of him in order to work himself into a daze and switch off from reality. Then he took out the fuze and pulled the ring”. I’ve spent several months talking to Russian deserters. Here is the result. economist.com/1843/2024/10/1… from @TheEconomist
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Yuri Ushakov is an old-school diplomat. He spent a decade as Russia's ambassador in Washington and has been Putin's foreign policy aide since 2012. He chooses his words with care. Western media quote him as saying "we need to talk with Europe" and read it as Moscow reaching out to Europe. However, there is a catch. There is no "we" in the original. Here is what he actually said. He was asked why Washington can't simply dictate peace terms to Kyiv. Ushakov answered that after Anchorage it looked like Washington could. It didn't work, because Europe backs Kyiv. So it is necessary to talk "not only with Kyiv, but also with Europe." Any Russian speaker understands who this impersonal "it is necessary" is addressed to. Moscow is not talking to Kyiv right now. Washington is. And Washington's "talking" to Kyiv means pressure. Ushakov's message to Washington: you pressure Kyiv, now pressure Europe too, or you won't get Kyiv to accept the terms. He put it in an impersonal form so Washington doesn't feel it is taking orders from Moscow. That is how professional diplomats speak. So Russia's position stays exactly where it was. Moscow still wants Washington to force its terms on Kyiv, and now on Europe as well.
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1/ After most Western journalists had to leave Russia in 2022, the country became a terra incognita. It is hard to get credible information out of it, let alone get Russians on camera speaking frankly about what they think. 🧵
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This is interesting. Key Putin 🇷🇺 aide Ushakov admits that the Anchorage plan of having Trump 🇺🇸 force Zelensky 🇺🇦 into agreeing to their demands hasn’t worked because of the role of Europe. That’s it: if Europe stays the course, 🇷🇺 can’t win.
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It’s a steep, painful uphill struggle to get the message across, but it’s both important and laudable that the British ambassador is doing this, and I hope more Western ambassadors follow his example (And the reason why the Kremlin/Russian MFA try to suppress this message is precisely because it undermines their whole “we have to do what we do because Europe is irredeemably Russophobic” narrative)
🇬🇧 Посол Великобритании в России Найджел Кейси в интервью Current Time:   «Мы всегда очень ясно давали понять, что считаем эту войну результатом сознательного выбора российского руководства, а не российского народа».
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I didn’t issue my Ukraine and Russia Update last Sunday and I won’t be issuing it today - bit challenging when you are being evicted from your only home and sent into exile without any explanation or the right to appeal. But I am hoping to restart work next week. The main goal of my persecutors is to silence me, but I won’t be gagged, if only because journalism is my bread. However hybrid, infowar-scented journalism many editorial offices have accepted as a given is not my choice. I’ll keep telling people what they need to know, not what they want to hear or especially not what the beneficiaries of this horrible war want them to hear. In the meantime, you are welcome to subscribe to my Substack open.substack.com/pub/leonid… where I publish the updates - free for know. You may also consider supporting my work by subscribing on X. I am not issuing any subscriber-only material at the moment, but I will start if the audience is sufficient. The sadistic punishment imposed on me is painful, but also liberating. For many years I was acting publicly like all fugitive Russian journalists in Rīga - mostly avoiding to talk about Latvia and other Baltic countries despite learning more and more about them, including stuff that I didn’t want to know as a standard Russian liberal. Now that stifling self-censorship is over and I’ll be glad to share my knowledge based on 12-year experience of living there. As I said before, no revenge. I love Latvia, I am pro-Latvian and I’ll come back home to Rīga no matter what. I present no threat to Latvia and I abhor Putin’s regime which stole from me two other countries that I know and love best. But I think it is politicians who are taking Latvia down the black hole of Putinization, lawlessness and normalisation of war who are the real danger for its future as a flourishing and independent state.
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I got a chance to say a few words about my political persecution in Latvia to a multi-million audience before we go into discussing Trump’s pivot to Putin. Many thanks to @AJEnglish for being concerned about my situation. aje.news/70y71y
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“I think the threat of Eastern Europe and all of Europe becoming more like Putin’s Russia, of security concerns being used to justify more control, of whole countries being taken over by political police and intelligence officers, as happened in Russia — all of that has been a very strong motivation for me to warn about this danger.” English version of my interview with @meduzaproject meduza.io/en/feature/2026/10…
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I can now confirm that yesterday I was notified of my expulsion from Latvia where I lived for 12 years. This, I believe, is a long-brewing revenge by far right politicians for my investigation into their links to Russian neo-Nazis who found refuge in Kyiv and who circulated the manifesto of Christchurch shooter in 2019. It is also a punishment for my commentary on the Russian aggression in Ukraine and for Pavel Sheremet investigation. The notification doesn’t point to any specific misdemeanours or statements which prompted the decision. I was declared persona non grata, a status designed for diplomats who enjoy immunity from prosecution, not for ordinary people. This was done - as far right politicians who spearheaded the decision openly admit - in order to deny me justice in the Latvian court system: PNG status cannot be appealed in courts. This makes me conclude that I am facing political persecution. For me it is a huge personal tragedy. I am being evicted from my only beloved home, deprived of my circle of friendship and support. I love Latvia, the land of my ethnic Latvian ancestors, and have no sense of revenge. I will always remain pro-Latvian. It makes me immensely sad that high positions in the Latvian government have been captured by forces whose closest political relation is Putin and who are using Putin’s aggression in Ukraine as a pretext for eroding the rule of law and democracy in the European Union. My stance on the war in Ukraine remains unchanged. I condemn the Russian aggression and support Ukraine’s sovereignty over occupied territories. Ukraine is a wound in my heart, not a source of political gain as it is for my persecutors. But I’ll continue to criticise Western countries for mishandling this conflict and not acting in the best interests of the Ukrainian people. I shall not be gagged. Shame on those who understand what is happening but look away or buy into smear campaign waged against me by the pro-war lobby and far right info dumps. One day, they’ll come for you, too. Attn @RSF_inter @ECPMF
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Alexander Kynev, a political scientist, commentator, and analyst, one of the most respected students of Russian local elections was arrested yesterday on drug-related charges. Apparently, the police planted drugs to have a pretext; the persecution is politically motivated. By the time Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, Alexander was blacklisted from all university/think tanks in the country. (I know this firsthand - not only from him, but from university administrators who were pressured by Putin's people.) Being honest, brave, and independent in his work was his main crime. He did not leave Russia during the war, despite the pressure. I tried to help him, as well as dozens other Russian scholars, but this was a tough case - many Western researchers rely on "Kynev index" and his data, but, alas, he didn't have enough academic credentials. Meanwhile, in times, when Putin had to falsify elections, national and local, to a larger and larger extent each time, even watching elections and gathering data has became dangerous. For a real political analyst in Russia, being jailed on trumpeted charges is a logical end. I hope political scientists will speak up in support of Alexander.
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The role of Russian voters is to demonstrate loyalty. But this time the population shows little interest in playing along economist.com/europe/2026/09…
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Essential viewing
Nobel Peace Prize-winning Russian journalist Dmitry Muratov speaks out about a Russian plot to kill Americans on U.S. soil, the oligarch who paid for Donald Trump Jr.’s wedding party, and the plight of political prisoners in Russia.
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Два года назад. Утро 1 августа. Дверь моей камеры в Лефортово открывается, и на пороге стоит старший тюремщик в сопровождении спецназа ФСБ. — Илья Валерьевич, указом президента вы помилованы. Сегодня вы будете выдворены из страны и обменяны, — сказал он. — Здесь распишитесь. — Нигде расписываться не буду, — ответил я. — Конституция запрещает насильственное выдворение из России граждан страны. Требую меня освободить. — Яшин, не качайте права, — вмешался ФСБ-шник. — Вы либо проследуете сами, либо мы принудим вас силой. За спиной его стояло еще несколько вооруженных бойцов в масках, и было понятно, что на диалог они не настроены. Вскоре я вместе с другими обменянными уже сидел в самолете. А ещё через несколько часов мы приземлились в аэропорту Кёльна. Мне не разрешили взять с собой ничего: ни вещей, ни тетрадей с записями, ни писем. Даже документов при мне не было, а в кармане лежала только зубная щетка. У трапа нас встречал канцлер Германии Олаф Шольц в отличном деловом костюме. — Отлично выглядите, герр канцлер, — сказал я. — Вы тоже неплохо смотритесь, — ответил Шольц, изумленно разглядывая мою видавшую виды тюремную робу. Спустя два года после того, как я сменил робу на обычную одежду, хочется напомнить, что в России остаются тысячи политзаключенных. Каждый из них заслуживает нашей поддержки и солидарности. Каждый из них заслуживает свободы и достойной жизни. Свободу всем политзаключенным.
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Michael Clarke: Fedorov sees himself as a future president and has not hidden it. Many Ukrainians also see him that way. Zelenskyy is somewhat frightened of him, even though they were friends. 1/
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Famous “free speech advocate” with delicate skin calls journalist “traitor to the West” because she asked him hard questions. Good grief.
🇺🇸 Elon just called The Economist’s editor-in-chief a traitor to the West, plain and simple. She accused him of backing fascists. He clapped back that wanting secure borders and actual cultural integration is just basic common sense. The media keeps trying to make Elon the villain for saying the quiet part out loud. Most people are over it. @elonmusk Writer: Claudio
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Want to weaken Putin? Let Russians who oppose the war move their money and their lives out of his reach. Open banking. Open borders for his opponents. It drains the regime of people and capital — and it hurts him more than sanctions.
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Zelensky dismisses Gen Syrsky and names Gen Mykhailo Drapaty as new commander in chief. Protests worked. Many in Ukraine rejoice at the choice. Drapaty, a hero of fighting for Mariupol back in 2014, is a favorite of many reformers. Zelensky said he also offered a new job in the security sector to former defense minister Fedorov. No word on whether Fedorov accepted. Ukraine once again shows that it’s a free country where leaders have to listen to public opinion.
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