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Bitcoin thesis under the presumption of a dual-wave k-shaped economy (COVID+AI):
- Bitcoin currently backtesting 2021 highs, as well as 2024 ETF rally consolidation and Trump presidency breakout, while sitting on mining production cost support.
- Crypto Clarity Act catalyzes summer 2026 breakout with growing interest in stable coins, AI agent digital infrastructure, and 24/7 markets via HyperLiquid w/ price speculation for most coveted tech IPOs in history.
- AI hardware stocks see local top through summer, potentially a pivot to agentic software infrastructure, robotics, and EV w/ rising oil prices. Crypto presumably corrects from breakout and consolidates at new baseline during period of uncertainty.
- AI buildout driving short-to-midterm inflation and rising rates. Paired w/ record debt, the Fed forced back into money printer mode via QE to protect solvency, which acts as a second wave of liquidity driver for risk asset appreciation.
- Fall 2026, Bitcoin mechanically driven by liquidity w/ returning narrative as a debasement hedge, possibly catalyzed by increased disclosure information, and a secure store of value in a decentralized, agentic economy.
- Halving date now loses impact on cycle speculation with circulating supply reaching asymptote and BTC becoming more institutionalized. Those waiting for October 2026 bottom pivot from sidelined to feeling front ran and adding fuel to the breakout for the bubble rally.
- Through 2027, additional narrative for parabolic rally is AI-driven energy cost increases make BTC, now believed as the future, looks relatively "cheap" to mine and begins perceived as an energy scarcity hedge.
- TradFi increased pivot into digital assets makes gold starts to look like the outdated store of value. Its 30T market cap becomes Bitcoin's valuation target for the 1M per coin dream.
- Presumably the market becomes over exposed to a store of value w/o real-world production. 2027 developments in AGI solicits a flight of capital and acts as a supply mechanism that cascades due to leverage, system risks, and quantum fears.
pretty crazy most of CT thought trump would be a good idea, be careful whose market opinions you listen to out there
$ZEC should roll over soon if correct on the high timeframe top. Still believe the outperformance over the past year is over and largely a good bear market narrative for CT natives.
$BTC chart looks great on high timeframe and see it having renewed belief as a time tested store of value in its first bull market w/ established institutional attention.
Not expecting notable zcash ATHs in 2027, so that would be point of invalidation.
$ZEC finally hit the target zone mapped out from earlier this year, right before midterms as projected. Now seeing a bit of a shift in momentum.
Honestly do think that $ZEC being up 50x over the past year is a sign of things to come for other alts over the next 3-6 months ($SOL, $HYPE, $NEAR, $TAO, $PUMP, etc.) and absolutely insane opportunities for innovation onchain + established memes from last cycle.
At the end of the day, $BTC has more network trust and institutional adoption, so I wouldn't be surprised to see $ZEC undergo a high timeframe correction while the rest of the market wakes up from the bear market lows.
$BTC going to 1.4M by end of 2027.
Called for $700-800 $HYPE back in August coming out of the bear market lows, don't think anyone else was doing that.
Bullish $HYPE is consensus as it should be, but the targets are not. Not even your day ones are projecting this type of move.
For high time frame trend shifts, I've had some good experience w/ trend-based fib extension targets. Good for speculation on price discovery and perhaps self-fulfilling when there are limited tools for doing so. This is all in the context of my belief in a broad bullish trend shift for BTC and crypto as a whole, based on my previous BTC narrative comments.
For $HYPE here on the daily, taking first higher low and impulse from downtrend breakout earlier in 2026 as base of initial move. Peak of summer consolidation near ATH as end of that initial move, and then next leg initiating from summer lows. 1.618 and 2.618 would be consensus target levels, but obv would require some fundamental catalysts in addition to broader crypto move.
Think the market is capable of making an argument that $HYPE should be valued on a revenue and speculation basis more than $ETH as the main driver for tokenized stocks, expanding perp markets, and w/ benefit of flywheel fee buybacks. And now we've seen political support to open demand for US market accessibility.
Eventually, FDV/unlocks become a counter argument, but I think that stays out of reach with the presumption that $HYPE expansion is a part of a broader crypto move with $BTC, $ETH, and $TOTAL moving the goal posts.
solana:CARDSccUMFKoPRZxt5vt3ksUbxEFEcnZ3H2pd3dKxYjp
Believe CARDS is the 3rd revenue alt, along with HYPE and PUMP, that will lead the market on this next wave through year end. Don't fully believe that onchain gacha leader has been priced in due to general disbelief in crypto and a bull market rally.
Reading price action similar to ZEC last year before it went on its run. I don't see why MCAP can't hit 10B by Q1 2027.
solana:pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn
HYPE leading the way today with US market adoption. Expecting BTC to bounce here toward 150K by year end, 1M by this time next year.
PUMP likely to be the everything onchain speculation app. Can't see why this isn't an obvious bid if the bull case above comes to fruition. It's already an order of magnitude undervalued by revenue alone compared to HYPE.
Seen this price accumulation before many times. Now getting backtest of range low + 100D EMA + ichimoku cloud.
Atlas retweeted
hyperliquid:native
Hard to fade the daily chart. Confluence of consolidation above previous range highs + 100D EMA + ichimoku cloud.
Bitcoin showing sustained bid at range lows + HYPE w/ US market realization not priced in, especially in consideration of a crypto bull market.
Expecting HYPE to lead the revenue alts wave to new ATHs and its first bull market expansion toward 750 area near end of year. I don't think anyone on CT believes a move like this is possible and that's exactly how I want it.
hyperliquid:native
Hard to fade the daily chart. Confluence of consolidation above previous range highs + 100D EMA + ichimoku cloud.
Bitcoin showing sustained bid at range lows + HYPE w/ US market realization not priced in, especially in consideration of a crypto bull market.
Expecting HYPE to lead the revenue alts wave to new ATHs and its first bull market expansion toward 750 area near end of year. I don't think anyone on CT believes a move like this is possible and that's exactly how I want it.
$HYPE
"undervalued due to US market accessibility, continued platform growth w/ perp thesis, and general volume increases during BTC uptrend. Q4 target = 780"
Hyperliquid gotta be the most sensible spot alt vault hold in a bull market where BTC and TOTAL appreciates by a factor of 20 by this time next year
bitcoin:native
Got a pretty good pullback through the previous expansion inefficiency, making for a spring on volume.
Now in the process of a reclaim of the consolidation range and retesting the lows.
Given high timeframe bias and quantum/AI FUD that came with the spring, expecting that low to hold.
bitcoin:native to $125K sometime in November is my base case. Believe that the past year correction was more of a bear trend in a grander bubble cycle, rather than traditional bear market. This is based on higher timeframe charts and fairly few alts breaching previous ATHs. Still think you prioritize alt selection w/ a fundamentally driven perspective to maximize returns, but the upside over the next year on anything with a pulse will eclipse 2023/2024 by an order of magnitude.
BTC going to 1.4M/coin, TOTAL to 60T mcap by Sep 2027 type of projection that I don't expect anyone to believe in...yet.
For this initial leg allocated primarily to $PUMP, $HYPE, $PENGU based on high timeframe OTHERS/BTC breakout. Converted some spot to longs. All of them have widespread belief based on revenue, PMF, and/or brand. Upside in mindshare alts really isn't priced in.
$PUMP undervalued based on revenue parity and expectation for continued meme speculation in a bullish trend. Q4 target = 0.06
$HYPE undervalued due to US market accessibility, continued platform growth w/ perp thesis, and general volume increases during BTC uptrend. Q4 target = 780
$PENGU undervalued relative to peak bull market meme valuations + being most iconic NFT + only mainstream crypto web3 brand + future projection of some value accrual in future IPO. Q4 target = 0.2
Will update at next local top.
I still don't think $ZEC is as strong of a bet as $BTC or the revenue alts $HYPE, $PUMP, $CARDS or even blue chip memes $PENGU, $PEPE
Think there's a good chance it put in a cycle high versus $BTC
$ZEC finally hit the target zone mapped out from earlier this year, right before midterms as projected. Now seeing a bit of a shift in momentum.
Honestly do think that $ZEC being up 50x over the past year is a sign of things to come for other alts over the next 3-6 months ($SOL, $HYPE, $NEAR, $TAO, $PUMP, etc.) and absolutely insane opportunities for innovation onchain + established memes from last cycle.
At the end of the day, $BTC has more network trust and institutional adoption, so I wouldn't be surprised to see $ZEC undergo a high timeframe correction while the rest of the market wakes up from the bear market lows.
$BTC going to 1.4M by end of 2027.
$HYPE, $PUMP, $CARDS all 10x before year's end in a new bull wave rally, where BTC hits new ATHs and revenue alts are first to benefit from sidelined capital
It will pay to be a crypto optimist over the next year. Bitcoin to 1.4M (gold parity), TOTAL to 50T (correlation). It's such a discrepancy from consensus that selective spot bets within the space are generational trades.
Short term (26Q4), revenue fundamentals will lead the way (HYPE, PUMP, CARDS, etc). 27Q1/Q2 fundamentals will shift to agentic economy (NEAR, TAO, ENA, etc.).
this is when the actual equities markets tank, for now SPX and BTC rally to new ATHs is non-consensus but more probable absent of a black swan event
ANTHROPIC IPO REPORTEDLY ON TRACK FOR NOVEMBER
Anthropic is reportedly preparing to file its S-1 registration at 9 a.m. ET Monday, with an IPO potentially taking place November 19–20, according to Fox Business.
Semiconductor stocks moved higher following the report, reflecting improved sentiment toward AI-related equities.
The key takeaway: A successful Anthropic IPO could provide a major test of investor appetite for AI valuations amid growing concerns over infrastructure spending and financing costs.
high timeframe is bullish, you log on everyday to read noise and miss signal. up from here for next year. beyond bitcoin, revenue alts have lowest friction for belief.
don't get bearish at range lows w/ peak doomerism that isn't new relative to the cycle bottom
$BTC to 150K for next impulsive move up imo, stacked on revenue alts (PUMP, HYPE, CARDS)
looking for expansion over next month then consolidation through end of 2026
