Baseline Politics

South Dakota U.S. Senate General Poll ⬜ Bengs (I) 43% 🟥 Rounds (R) 41% South Dakota Governor General Poll 🟥 Rhoden (R) 48% 🟦 Ahlers (D) 39% Concord Public Opinion Partners — Democrats For Education Reform (D) (Oct 22–26, 448 LV)

Texas U.S. Senate General Poll 🟥 Paxton (R) 49% 🟦 Talarico (D) 48% 🟨 Brown (L) 1% Texas Governor General Poll 🟥 Abbott (R) 52% 🟦 Hinojosa (D) 46% 🟨 Dixon (L) 1% Quantus Insights (Oct 26–28, 1,221 LV)

Kansas U.S. Senate General Poll 🟦 Hamilton (D) 52% 🟥 Marshall (R) 43% 🟨 Graham (L) 4% Kansas Governor General Poll 🟦 Holscher (D) 51% 🟥 Masterson (R) 45% The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government (Oct 22–26, 801 LV)

U.S. Generic Ballot General Poll 🟦 Dem 52% 🟥 Rep 42% Emerson College (Oct 24–26, 1,000 LV)

New Hampshire Governor General Poll 🟥 Ayotte (R) 48% 🟦 Warmington (D) 42% 🟨 Villee (L) 3% New Hampshire U.S. Senate General Poll 🟦 Pappas (D) 48% 🟥 Sununu (R) 41% ⬜ Laplante (C) 4% University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov (Oct 2–19, 600 LV)

Massachusetts Governor General Poll 🟦 Healey (D) 57% 🟥 Minogue (R) 29% ⬜ James (Ind) 4% Massachusetts U.S. Senate General Poll 🟦 Markey (D) 55% 🟥 Deaton (R) 26% 🟩 Devincentis (G) 2% 🟨 Ayyadurai (L) 1% ⬜ Dawicki (Ind) 1% University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov (Oct 7–18, 850 LV)

Minnesota Governor General Poll 🟦 Klobuchar (D) 52% 🟥 Demuth (R) 42% 🟩 Young (G) 3% State Navigate (Oct 26–28, 806 LV)

Minnesota House District 8 General Poll 🟥 Stauber (R) 49% 🟦 Swanson (D) 43% Public Policy Polling — Trina Swanson (D) Internal (Oct 25–26, 585 LV)

California House District 4 General Poll 🟦 Jones (D) 53% 🟦 Thompson (D) 40% Fulcrum Campaign Strategies — Eric Jones (D) Internal (Oct 18–20, 400 LV)

South Carolina U.S. Senate General Poll 🟦 Andrews (D) 48% 🟥 Graham Nordone (R) 48% South Carolina Governor General Poll 🟥 Wilson (R) 51% 🟦 Johnson (D) 44% The New York Times/Siena University (Oct 19–26, 707 LV)

Florida Governor General Poll 🟥 Donalds (R) 48% 🟦 Jolly (D) 44% Florida U.S. Senate General Poll 🟥 Moody (R) 50% 🟦 Nixon (D) 44% The New York Times/Siena University (Oct 19–25, 813 LV)

Minnesota Governor General Poll 🟦 Klobuchar (D) 56% 🟥 Demuth (R) 38% Minnesota U.S. Senate General Poll 🟦 Flanagan (D) 54% 🟥 Tafoya (R) 40% The New York Times/Siena University (Oct 19–26, 752 LV)

California House District 34 General Poll 🟦 Gonzales-Torres (D) 51% 🟦 Gomez (D) 45% University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab (Oct 16–24, 423 LV)

California Governor General Poll 🟦 Becerra (D) 54% 🟥 Hilton (R) 32% SurveyUSA — KGTV (San Diego), The San Diego Union-Tribune (Oct 19–24, 799 LV)

Nevada Governor General Poll 🟥 Lombardo (R) 43% 🟦 Ford (D) 42% Concord Public Opinion Partners — Education Reform Now Advocacy (D) (Sep 26–30, 565 LV)

Nebraska U.S. Senate General Poll ⬜ Osborn (I) 48% 🟥 Ricketts (R) 41% Nebraska Governor General Poll 🟦 Walz (D) 43% 🟥 Pillen (R) 40% Concord Public Opinion Partners — Education Reform Now Advocacy (D) (Oct 15–18, 500 LV)

Pennsylvania House District 10 General Poll 🟦 Stelson (D) 48% 🟥 Perry (R) 48% Pennsylvania House District 8 General Poll 🟦 Cognetti (D) 51% 🟥 Bresnahan (R) 46% Pennsylvania House District 7 General Poll 🟦 Brooks (D) 49% 🟥 Mackenzie (R) 44% Pennsylvania House District 1 General Poll 🟦 Harvie (D) 48% 🟥 Fitzpatrick (R) 46% The New York Times/Siena University — The Philadelphia Inquirer (Oct 16–22, 400 LV)

U.S. Generic Ballot General Poll 🟦 Dem 53% 🟥 Rep 44% Focaldata — Financial Times (Oct 16–20, 1,594 LV)

Texas U.S. Senate General Poll 🟦 Talarico (D) 48% 🟥 Paxton (R) 45% 🟨 Brown (L) 1% Texas Governor General Poll 🟥 Abbott (R) 48% 🟦 Hinojosa (D) 46% 🟨 Dixon (L) 1% VoteHub/Verasight (Oct 1–20, 601 LV)

Texas U.S. Senate General Poll 🟦 Talarico (D) 51% 🟥 Paxton (R) 47% 🟨 Brown (L) 2% Texas Governor General Poll 🟥 Abbott (R) 51% 🟦 Hinojosa (D) 48% 🟨 Dixon (L) 1% Slingshot Strategies — Texas Public Opinion Research (Oct 15–18, 969 LV)