Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields) header
Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields) profile picture

Kevin Shields

@BrewCrewShields

Equity analyst/PM with a value perspective .... creating a paradigm for sustainable, competitive advantage.

 Minneapolis, MN
Joined November 2014
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Photo by Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields)Photo by Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields)Photo by Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields)Photo by Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields)Photo by Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields)Photo by Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields)Photo by Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields)Photo by Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields)Photo by Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields)Photo by Kevin Shields (@BrewCrewShields)
My S&P 500 Target P/E mechanism is screaming DANGER !! IMO risk of an 8+% correction is immediate & could evolve at it breaks things $SPY If this plays out as I expect, $TSLA will be in a world of hurt as they need to raise capital sooner rather than later. $TSLAQ
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If true, that makes China an enemy.
Dr. Brahma Chellaney (@Chellaney) profile pictureDr. Brahma Chellaney@Chellaney25 Apr 2022
FBI director tells "60 Minutes" that America's biggest espionage threat is China which is targeting "our innovation, our trade secrets, our IP, on a scale that’s unprecedented in history." He said China’s hacking program is larger “than that of every other major nation combined.”
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$AAPL
FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) profile pictureFinancialJuice
@financialjuice24 Apr 2022
APPLE'S CHINA SUPPLY CHAIN IS ON EDGE AS FOXCONN SUSPENDS PRODUCTION AT TWO FACILITIES IN THE EASTERN CITY OF KUNSHAN - SCMP.
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It seems they know what's coming.
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Margin debt continues to track the market, which is best represented by the Wilshire 5000. It is often that meaningful declines in margin debt coincide with corrections or worse. This time appears to be no exception.
Image from Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets)
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THE EU IS SEEKING TO PROVIDE AN ALTERNATIVE FOR INDIA TO DIVERSIFY AWAY FROM RUSSIA.
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Kevin Shields retweeted
zerohedge (@zerohedge) profile picture
zerohedge
@zerohedge24 Apr 2022
Europe was waiting for the outcome from the French election to announce the full Russian oil embargo. So that's next, and then oil prices go vertical
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drugs with carte blanche liability waivers.
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As Mike Tyson suggested: "everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth". I suggest everyone get their MOUTH PUNCH plan ready. Banks in 20-Q1 described early DQ's as remaining at or near cycle lows. The punches will continue.
Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) profile pictureRyan Detrick, CMT
@RyanDetrick24 Apr 2022
One of the things we knew about this year coming into it was that midterm years tend to be volatile and most of the gains take place later in the year. Anything of course can happen, but history could be rhyming again in 2022. Have a plan and stick to it.
Image from Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick)
The market isn't prepared for a non-US bank with Russian/Ukrainian exposures having a trading related SNAFU. This is the likely pathway for interest rate risk transmitting to credit risk via liquidity risk.
Yardeni Research (@yardeni) profile pictureYardeni Research
@yardeni24 Apr 2022
YARDENI RESEARCH QUICKTAKES (April 24, 2022). Fear is showing up in the equity Put/Call Ratio and the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear Ratio, as I showed in my April 23 post. But there's not much fear in the VIX or the high-yield corporate bond spread. T…lnkd.in/eVunPNXe
#feargreed #economy #economics #macroeconomics #markets #investing #money #innovation #management...

#feargreed #economy #economics #macroeconomics #markets #investing #money #innovation #management...

YARDENI RESEARCH QUICKTAKES (#feargreed, April 24, 2022). Fear is showing up in the equity Put/Call Ratio and the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear Ratio, as I showed in my April 23 post. But there's...

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Agreed. Slaughter is likely.
Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) profile pictureMac10
@SuburbanDrone24 Apr 2022
Per this coming week, I see a lot of useless opinions few facts. Here's what we KNOW: Wave '1' Pre-FOMC was the biggest weekly decline in 2 years. The market bottomed Monday FOMC. The Nasdaq is at critical support and is NOT oversold Wave '3' IS ON TRACK for MAXIMUM PANIC
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Ditto...
CNBCOvertime (@CNBCOvertime) profile pictureCNBCOvertime
@CNBCOvertime22 Apr 2022
"We are going to have a crash landing if [the Fed] doesn't slow it down," @jimcramer warns after a rough day for stocks.
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Merrill Lynch's Investment Clock for the Global Economic Cycle Old one but, fun one...
Image from Ayesha Tariq, CFA (@AyeshaTariq)
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2 YEAR 😳
Image from Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart)
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Kevin Shields retweeted
steph pomboy (@spomboy) profile picture
steph pomboy
@spomboy21 Apr 2022
Paltry though it was, the reward ($1.3m) was worth the risk (0) in the world pre-sanctions. Now it is not only uncompelling but irresponsible. Which begs the ?: if cbk gold leasing is dead how long can the raiders keep holding the price down.
Grant Williams (@ttmygh) profile pictureGrant Williams
@ttmygh21 Apr 2022
Replying to @ttmygh
"In the 2020-21 financial year, the RBA made $1.3 million through lending its gold holdings. While the metal is loaned, it never leaves the Bank of England vaults. At the end of last financial year, the RBA had outstanding gold loans of 6 tonnes worth $500 million." Risk/reward
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Global Equity Market; Airlines, Travel, Casinos & Hotels relative to Broad Market
Image from Richard Dias (@RichardDias_CFA)
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#recession ... #GFC2 US edition The #UST #Bonds #YieldCurve doesn't lie... 📉
Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) (@businesscycle) profile pictureEconomic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI)@businesscycle21 Apr 2022
Reality check on what's happening outside your window. Here’s a picture of the key coincident data that define the economic cycle.
Image from Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) (@businesscycle)
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Kevin Shields retweeted
Will (@WClemente) profile picture
Will
@WClemente21 Apr 2022
Despite the Nasdaq being down 18% from its peak, a record high 64% of Bitcoin supply hasn't moved in at least a year. Beneath the surface, there is a group of convicted HODLers viewing BTC as their store of value amidst unprecedented uncertainty in markets. Pretty remarkable.
Image from Will (@WClemente)
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Collapse Dutch Consumer Confidence
jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) profile picturejeroen blokland
@jsblokland21 Apr 2022
Consumer #confidence in The #Netherlands has collapsed to the lowest level on record!
Image from jeroen blokland (@jsblokland)
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IN PRE-RECORDED REMARKS, FED CHAIR POWELL DOES NOT ADDRESS MONETARY POLICY OR THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK.
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$SNBR Here is your glimpse of housing slowdown and massive hit on margins
Image from JaguarAnalytics (@JaguarAnalytics)
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