BullToTheMoOn retweeted
Nailed 🔨
I expected a test of the $2,500 area first, but it seems that this area is not a support level, but rather the next resistance level.
Lose that zone and the green cluster is my area for next long entries, between $,2300/$2,200.
I bought spot today because I do not care about the price when it comes to spot buys.
Ethereum is on the verge of a historic turning point. After 2028 and 2029, the area below $3,000 will be history, a price we’ll only see in old charts and old memories.
The time when we could still call Ethereum cheap” is coming to an end.
Next week, the pattern could repeat itself 1:1.
If that happens, a radical, final flush awaits us.
One last brutal sell-off that will scare many and wash the weak out of the market.
This is exactly the moment patient traders have been waiting for.
This will be our last chance to buy Ethereum in this price range.
After that, a new era begins, one in which the entry will be significantly more expensive and the opportunity to meaningfully change our lives will be gone.
Not with leverage, not with fear, not with the next trade on your mind.
But with the calm of those who understand that the real theater is ending and the real profits come after.
Use this week!
Not because anyone is forcing you to, but because you don’t want to look back later and say, I knew it and still hesitated.
ethereum:native
Measured from the wick outside the blue zone, 2023 needed at least 200 days to break out.
Price spent 63 days in a key accumulation phase before the big move.
Week 5 printed the high.
Week 6 only managed a lower high, about 1% below it, then sold off for two weeks.
From the wick outside the blue zone it took 196 days to the breakout.
Price spent 77 days in a key accumulation phase before the big move.
Week 5 again marked the high.
Week 6 printed a lower high, also roughly 1% below. Same sequence, same relative gap.
I expect a test of the $2,500 area first.
Week 8 is where weakness should show if this analogue holds.
Lose that zone, and the green cluster is my area for longs, between $,2300/$2,200
Targets could change, but I’ll update everything over time in our Discord. Link in bio.
ethereum:native
BullToTheMoOn retweeted
I've been writing the same things for 6 years.
If you want to survive in crypto, you must divide your capital. There is no other way to win.
Right now, there are nearly 40,000,000 altcoins in the market. Every investor is waiting for a "Bull Run," hoping their coin will do 10x or 100x. Let’s be real: Do you honestly think 40 million coins can pump at the same time?
Here is my personal 50-30-20 Rule and my current portfolio structure
50% - Core Assets (The Giants)
$BTC (Bitcoin)
$ETH (Ethereum)⭐️
(This is your safety net. The foundation of every serious portfolio.)
30% - Major Altcoins (The Backbone)
$XRP ⭐️ | $SUI ⭐️ | $AAVE ⭐️ | $ADA | $BNB
$SOL | $TRX | $DOGE | $DOT | litecoin:native ⭐️| $AVAX | hedera-hashgraph:native
(High liquidity, proven projects. The engine of your growth.)
20% - High Potential / Wildcards
This is the "Wildcard" zone. You can pick your risky gems here.
But remember: If your backbone isn't strong, you will zero out.
PS: The assets marked with a star (⭐) currently make up 81.21% of my investment portfolio.
BullToTheMoOn retweeted
The more I scroll through Twitter feed, the more I feel this will become reality any day now. We already know that more than, let's say 60% of the timeline was sharing the 2022 Bitcoin fractal over the past few months, signaling that we still need one more leg down. Even right now, the same accounts are still posting the same fractals and adding bear flags on top to convince everyone that another leg down is coming.
But in reality, the bottom is already in. It was confirmed around the 23rd of February when we retested the lows. Back then, everyone thought we would drop under 50, under 40, down to the 20s, and other random targets — all without any sustainable reason. Yet since institutional involvement, one fractal and one pattern simply isn’t enough to determine the full macro direction.
This is exactly why I think this scenario is probably one of the best out there. At the lows, the majority were posting about the 2022 fractal. Once we make a new ATH (which I believe we will) everyone will suddenly start sharing the 2023–2024 fractal where Bitcoin took off higher. Then, just as mentioned in previous posts, everything will flip against the timeline again going for the low they were expecting 6/7 months earlier.
And guess what? The game continues, I wouldn’t be surprised if we make a new low later this year or early next year, only for new fractals and fresh bearish targets to flood the timelines once again — which will ultimately turn out to be another generational entry point.
I’ve maintained this idea for years that Bitcoin will go through a prolonged re-accumulation phase, holding higher prices above 50k–60k for years without breaking out to major targets like 300k–500k or higher. Instead, we’ll see alternating one-year bull and bear markets until institutions, pension funds, ETFs, and others accumulate enough Bitcoin to push it into the next era.
Since Bitcoin is considered a store of value like gold, but it’s also software with superior utility — it moves instantly over the internet and is accessible to all retail investors so the re-accumulation period should be roughly half as long as gold’s. While gold needed 8+ years, Bitcoin could complete this phase in 3–4 years. During that time, other tech cryptocurrencies will likely outperform Bitcoin to catch up.
This is one of the biggest reasons I lean more toward ETH and maybe a few select altcoins in the years ahead rather than Bitcoin. You don’t want to be caught holding mostly Bitcoin if it stays relatively flat while others deliver strong gains. So make sure to stay diversified, especially in times like these where traditional cycles aren’t playing out the same way anymore.
Besides that, I barely make fractals, but here’s the one and only scenario that might actually play out. As you already know, there are two sides to the story: the 2022 fractal (bear market) and the early 2023 fractal (when the bull market began). In reality, it will be a combination of both.
We won’t purely follow the 2022 fractal and the bottom is already in. From here, we’ll revisit the ATH either making a shallow new ATH or a small blow-off top into my previous main targets of 160k to the 1.618 extension at around 173k. Then, as the 2023 fractal people scream that "this is just the beginning" we’ll instead drop again following the 2022 fractal back down into the 50k range. Once that happens, the real 2023 fractal will begin.
Do you see the game? It’s ahead of what everyone is screaming about right now. In the meantime, ETFs and institutions will keep re-accumulating enough Bitcoin over the next 3–4 years to eventually push it toward 700k and higher.
This plan also incorporates a macro divergence: while Bitcoin (as a store of value) moves sideways or retraces, other tech assets will start to outperform. This means that for ETH and some altcoins, the bottom is already in and by the time Bitcoin revisits the 50k zone later this year or early next year, there’s a strong chance ETH and the rest won’t make new lows while Bitcoin does. We’re already seeing this pattern now as ETH did not break below its April 2025 lows while Bitcoin did, so expect the same story to repeat when Bitcoin reaches the 50s again, ETH might hold around 3k (or higher), and by the time the 2023 fractal starts to kick in for BTC, ETH can start the run to 10k–14k or more as Bitcoin only moves from the 50s back up to its previous ATH. This is the era of divergence we’re entering — continued outperformance of other assets versus Bitcoin in the mid/long term.
BullToTheMoOn retweeted
Every $BTC bear market ended soon after Bitcoin started creeping out of the macro downtrend.
Look at 2019.
Look at 2022.
The shift didn’t happen at the bottom.
It happened when BTC started breaking out of the downtrend and reclaiming strength.
Right now, we’re still in a clear macro downtrend.
No confirmed signs of strength yet.
The safest time to consider long-term BTC buys is when the price starts breaking out and trending outside the current downtrend structure.
You don’t need to predict the exact bottom. Just respect the macro trend.
This is the simplest — and most newbie-friendly — way to know when the bear market is ending.
#BTC #BTCUSDT
BullToTheMoOn retweeted
بسم الله توكلنا علي الله.. و الحمدلله على نعمته حمدا كثيرا مباركا
اما بعد،
زي ما خرجنا من السوق قبل يوم 10/10 بتغريدة واضحة، حندخل اليوم 5 فبراير بتغريدة واضحة..
🔶 اليوم انتقل الي صفوف الايجابيين بعد الخروج بكامل المحفظة عند ال 125 الف دولار.
🔸 شباب.. دخول الان بشكل كامل في جميع العملات. (All in)
وضع السوق الآن كالتالي
🔸 $btc: 61,000$
🔸 $eth: 1,777$
🔸 $sol: 70$
🔸 $btc.d: 58.4%
🔸 الاهداف القادمة مبدأيا:
• $128,000
• $135,000
• $152,000
🔸 هدف البيتكوين 272 الف دولار في 2026.
🔸 اي هبوط عن المناطق دي -ان حدث هيكون هبوط رمزي و مخادع، تماما مثلما كنت اؤكد عن الارتفاعات الارتدادية السابقة.
🔸 فيه سيوله حتدخل بكثرة الكام يوم الجايين دول لا اعلم من اين.
🔸 اذا عدى فبراير و كانت بدأت الدبلات و ما دخلت السوق لسه، فلازم تكون عارف انك بتشتغل في اطار اعلى من المخاطرة.. ما تلوم السوق بعد كده اذا خسرت،
السوق دا رائع مبرمَج عبقري و لكن ليس للجميع.. خاصة علي المستوى النفسي.
الأخوة المحللين لا مانع من استقبال التهاني طوال فترة البولران.
ريتويت خلي الخير يعم علي الجميع.
بالتوفيق..
#btc
BullToTheMoOn retweeted
Something interesting is happening with $BTC...
Most of us are familiar with Bitcoin’s clinical market cycles. Historically, bear markets last about 365 days, and by that metric we’re roughly 1/3 in.
What’s different this time is speed. Price is dropping faster than usual, 1.25x. Since BTC topped in October, earlier than past cycles, it’s reasonable to expect the bottom to arrive earlier too.
My base case: we bottom in August, not Q4. That’s why I’m planning to accumulate between June, August.
Part of this is intuition, but the structure supports it.
Cycles appear to be shortening. As institutional demand grows, it will increasingly absorb miner and OG selling pressure. When that balance shifts, BTC may start behaving less like a boom-bust asset and more like a traditional risk asset, closer to the S&P 500’s cycle profile.
Based on drawdown math, we’re likely 22–30% from the bottom. Historically, smart money builds spot positions in the -40% to -60% range. I don’t expect a -70% drawdown this cycle.
I think we’re 20% away from the bear market low, with the bottom forming in Q3.
Using the 365-day model, there are 200 days left to a formal bottom. That gives us two paths:
• slow sideways chop with a gradual bleed, or
• a faster dump that ends the bear cycle early
I am betting that we bottom sooner. So I am buying at
69K.
65K.
60K.
55K.
50K.
45K.
Don't cry because its over, smile because it happened.
Note: In regards to massive swing longs, you will know when I am long.
BullToTheMoOn retweeted
The altseason should accelerate latest by the 16th-22nd of February.
Altcoins are in a position to outperform Bitcoin for some time and manifest a (mini) altseason starting latest in the week 5th-12th of January.
A hint for this is the triple bearish bias (kumo, TK and CS) when the ratio is hitting resistance so the most logical thing is a rejection and CS hints also for its timing.
Real $BTC.D dominance I call the clear ratio chart excluding stables.
If you remember from my last post, 5th of January is also the start of the two weeks period about which I posted that Bitcoin can start moving upwards as the 89K resistance will be shifted to 96K exactly on the 5th of January.
A quick note, Bitcoin dominance dumping might not feel like a "real" altseason due to the overdilution of the market with too many tokens which require way too much capital to move their price.
Last time when dominance dumped a lot, many people kept asking when will altseason start during the months in which technically it was already happening.
Also keep in mind that I've no idea how big that reversal could be, all I see is a logical place and time for a weekly rejection. The red arrows are rather a guide for a mid-optimal scenario.
Optimal scenario for altcoins would be a lower low and CS closing below the kumo, i.e. the weekly flipping bearish.
Pessimistic scenario would be an initial rejection followed by a consolidation and bullish continuation but for me that's rather 40% chance or so provided how all high timeframes look now.
BullToTheMoOn retweeted
Altcoins are in a position to outperform Bitcoin for some time and manifest a (mini) altseason starting latest in the week 5th-12th of January.
A hint for this is the triple bearish bias (kumo, TK and CS) when the ratio is hitting resistance so the most logical thing is a rejection and CS hints also for its timing.
Real $BTC.D dominance I call the clear ratio chart excluding stables.
If you remember from my last post, 5th of January is also the start of the two weeks period about which I posted that Bitcoin can start moving upwards as the 89K resistance will be shifted to 96K exactly on the 5th of January.
A quick note, Bitcoin dominance dumping might not feel like a "real" altseason due to the overdilution of the market with too many tokens which require way too much capital to move their price.
Last time when dominance dumped a lot, many people kept asking when will altseason start during the months in which technically it was already happening.
Also keep in mind that I've no idea how big that reversal could be, all I see is a logical place and time for a weekly rejection. The red arrows are rather a guide for a mid-optimal scenario.
Optimal scenario for altcoins would be a lower low and CS closing below the kumo, i.e. the weekly flipping bearish.
Pessimistic scenario would be an initial rejection followed by a consolidation and bullish continuation but for me that's rather 40% chance or so provided how all high timeframes look now.
BullToTheMoOn retweeted
2025 ~ 2026
Winter opens with a calm rise,
a quiet promise forming beneath the cold.
January climbs with returning warmth,
February glows even brighter,
a bright flame dancing on new snow.
But End of February shakes the sky.
The Horse bursts in,
wild and unforgiving,
scattering spring’s warmth before it fully blooms.
Summer sinks heavy, days slipping downward like heat from a dying flame.
Autumn drifts the same way,
each falling leaf echoing
the year’s slow decline.
Only when winter returns
does the air lift again.
A small, steady glow breaking through the frost,
a reminder that even harsh cycles
end with a breath of relief.
#BTC
BullToTheMoOn retweeted
$266k
$BTC
