NFL/NBA gambling expert. Psychological background. 9+ years in the business.
United States of America
Joined April 2019
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I TOLD YOU. I FUCKING TOLD YOU. I KNOW WHAT I SEE.
MY MOST CONFIDENT PICK OF ALL TIME.
BEARS NOT ONCE💰
NOT TWICE💰
THREE FUCKING TIMES💰
13-1 ON 4+ UNIT PLAYS.
Superbowl-caliber team with no real offensive/defensive flaws. Coaching staff has chemistry. Maximum overall life.
vs
Undrafted rookie QB on underperforming team, 4th place in division. Entire new staff.
...
Oh and the Jaguars are #1 against the run.
Superbowl-caliber team with no real offensive/defensive flaws. Coaching staff has chemistry. Maximum overall life.
vs
Undrafted rookie QB on underperforming team, 4th place in division. Entire new staff.
...
Oh and the Jaguars are #1 against the run.
Yo. I had a pretty insane idea come to me as I was trying to find the flow again. Don't think anyone else has this idea currently.
Check in at least once a day.
NFL Week 8 Bears @ Seahawks:
This is a championship game. Defense wins championships.
You obviously know the Seahawks defense would be better over 100 randomized opponents.
So here's why I'm on the Bears:
Sam Darnold's weakness is the type of defense Dennis Allen runs. Dennis Allen also just got the most focused guy in every defensive snap tonight, of both teams. He might not play the most snaps, but he certainly will have the energy when he does.
The strength of the Seahawks defense is exactly what makes it weak against the scheme that Ben Johnson runs. The Seahawks run Cover 1 the least, which is Caleb's worst. And what they do run, Caleb Williams is currently the best in the league at.
This isn't a max play, but I believe the Bears get it done. Not only do they have favorable matchups, but I believe they are more focused, or at the absolute least, exactly equal. This team is ready to play. Max focus. Max effort.
If Ben Johnson and the Bears are real, they win this game.
Bears +3
NFL 2026 season: 22-12
😉
NFL Week 8 Eagles @ Commanders:
There is nothing better that I can think of than watching two NFC East teams with a combined 3 wins and 1 tie on sunday night football. In week 8.
I fade the Eagles with 0 injuries, and I certainly fade the Eagles when their best players are all either out of the game or injured.
The line is -5.5 for a reason. I believe the injuries are significant on the Eagles, including Barkley who is playing tonight. I'd lean towards saying he is more injured than a usual injury appears.
This doesn't leave much for the offensive talent, who have to compete against a Commanders offense that I believe has a little more potential than it gets credit for.
The Eagles have also played the Panther's and Cowboy's defenses in the last 2 weeks. One fired their defensive coordinator, and the other is always in a top 5 worst defense conversation.
When reviewing the Commander's schedule, they have played some tough opponents recently.
Seahawks (won as underdog)
Colts international game (misleading score)
Giants divisional game after coming back from London
The 49ers... the current favorite to win the Superbowl
I'd say that is a pretty hard stretch considering they had an international game and a game across the country.
Now they get to come off a bye week, into a revenge game, into an Eagles team that had to play last Monday night.
It's as good of a spot as any.
Commanders -5.5 (-112)
NFL 2026 season: 21-12
NFL Week 8 Eagles @ Commanders:
There is nothing better that I can think of than watching two NFC East teams with a combined 3 wins and 1 tie on sunday night football. In week 8.
I fade the Eagles with 0 injuries, and I certainly fade the Eagles when their best players are all either out of the game or injured.
The line is -5.5 for a reason. I believe the injuries are significant on the Eagles, including Barkley who is playing tonight. I'd lean towards saying he is more injured than a usual injury appears.
This doesn't leave much for the offensive talent, who have to compete against a Commanders offense that I believe has a little more potential than it gets credit for.
The Eagles have also played the Panther's and Cowboy's defenses in the last 2 weeks. One fired their defensive coordinator, and the other is always in a top 5 worst defense conversation.
When reviewing the Commander's schedule, they have played some tough opponents recently.
Seahawks (won as underdog)
Colts international game (misleading score)
Giants divisional game after coming back from London
The 49ers... the current favorite to win the Superbowl
I'd say that is a pretty hard stretch considering they had an international game and a game across the country.
Now they get to come off a bye week, into a revenge game, into an Eagles team that had to play last Monday night.
It's as good of a spot as any.
Commanders -5.5 (-112)
NFL 2026 season: 21-12
BREAKING: The #Titans are trading All-Pro DT Jeffrey Simmons to the #Bears, per @TomPelissero. A blockbuster.
1-2 this week. No big read tonight.
I would go Eagles +4 if I was forced to pick.
I wouldn’t say I’m cold, just not the best matchups for me last 2 weeks. I have some better angles coming up.
NFL 2026 season: 21-12
NFL Week 8 Chiefs @ Seahawks:
Travis Kelce 5+ Receptions (+112)
This is a very significant game. This is the current Superbowl champions vs the last half a decade Superbowl dynasty. The viewership will be high, and the pressure will be high.
In games like these, I expect for high efficiency to be the play calls for both teams. For the Chiefs in particular, I believe that is how they will have to attack a defense like the Seahawks's. Combined with how short Mahomes has been throwing this season, I doubt this changes for this game.
The Chiefs also have their right guard out, and Rashee Rice out. This will hurt the run game, which is a big matchup itself. On one hand you'll get maximum effort from Kenneth Walker, and on the other you get Macdonald knowing exactly how he prefers to run.
I think this leads to more quick passes from Mahomes overall, and in a game this significant, I'll think they will lean into the trust of the chemistry between him and Kelce as a priority.
Unless you expect a breakout game from Cyrus Allen or Jalen Royals, its just Kelce and Worthy running the passing game.
NFL Season: 21-11
LIVE: Panthers +7.5 (-106)
Get ball back at half just like Falcons. Canales will make sure they get right.