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Are you an aspirant in the 2027 General Elections? Watch out for The Mwananchi Party starting tomorrow!

13 September 2026 will be great!

So, yes, James Orengo has just declared that he’s running for President after Edwin W. Sifuna already did. This is democracy at play. In 2007, all the ODM Pentagon members declared presidential ambitions. Subsequently, and through a free and fair process, a single candidate, Raila Odinga, was nominated as the opposition candidate. In moments of temporary uncertainty, we look to history for lessons. Where we are right now, we just have multiple Presidential candidates as a movement. Actually, just 2. Who knows who’s next anyway. Relax!

Alafu, Wangatolla Gladys Panga pale Kisumu Leo Kumeumana! Wueh!

If you’ve ever read the book “The Great controversy between Christ and Satan”, a couple of things about MUST GO become very clear. In the book, G White presents a central argument: That behind visible human events lies an invisible spiritual struggle. The conflict began with Lucifer’s rebellion against God and revolves around fundamental questions: Is God just? Is His law good? Is genuine freedom compatible with obedience to God? However, G White also describes Satan and his fantastic qualities. Satan’s most powerful weapon is deception. One of the strongest themes throughout the book is that Satan does not normally operate through obvious evil alone. Satan works through: deception, distortion of truth, compromise and gradual acceptance of error. White’s Satan is portrayed not simply as a destroyer but as a strategist of deception. He succeeds when people can no longer distinguish truth from falsehood. Who’s the strategist of deception in Kenya currently? He Must Go!

The will is there. The people are ready. The political party iko tayari. Party Leader @HEBabuOwino is very ready for Tuesday. Shida iko wapi

Over 75% of Kenyans are below the age of 35. In 2022 elections, about 8 million Kenyans did not vote and of this, an out 6 million were below the age of 25. During the recent voter registration drive, about 2.35 million Kenyans most of whom are below the age of 25. This means 2027 will be decided by the tyranny of young voters!. And they all hate MUST GO.

The “fog of war” commonly associated with the Prussian military theorist Carl von Clausewitz and his work “On War” (Vom Kriege) referring to uncertainty, incomplete information, chance, and confusion in warfare is an excellent framework that Linda Mwananchi should very quickly get familiar with and adopt as a framework to analyze politics and make tough decisions. Clausewitz explains the fog of war this way “three quarters of the factors on which action in war is based are wrapped in a fog of greater or lesser uncertainty.” Clausewitz’s deeper insight is that uncertainty is not an abnormality that good planning can eliminate. It is an inherent feature of conflict. During an election, for example, a candidate might have polling data, intelligence from grassroots organizers, social-media analytics, endorsements and media reports. But the campaign still doesn’t know with certainty: 1. What voters will actually do 2. What rival candidates are secretly negotiating 3. Which alliances will hold 4. Which issue will dominate next month 5. Whether turnout patterns will change 6. Whether an unexpected event will transform the contest. A weak strategist responds by continually trying to obtain perfect information before acting. A Clausewitzian strategist, like me, recognizes that perfect information will never arrive. The objective becomes developing sufficient situational awareness to make good decisions under uncertainty and maintaining enough organizational flexibility to change course when assumptions prove wrong. Strategy is not predicting the future correctly; it is constructing a position that remains viable across several plausible futures. Therefore, Linda Mwananchi should develop a position that ensures it remains viable through early 2027. The season for coalition building is March through May 2027. Hold your horses for now.

The United Opposition and Linda Mwananchi should learn a few things from Abraham Lincoln. Top on that list is how to build a team of rivals/ competitors. Despite being competitors, opposition leaders should not fight to a level where they can’t work together later on. A framework should be developed where all interests are accommodated in a “fantastic coalition”. After all, coalitions are short term arrangements amongst long term competitors.

Some interesting observations. @Cleophasmalala and some Johny-come-late Luhyas recently made some wild allegations that @HEBabuOwino didn’t endorse @edwinsifuna during the Homa Bay rally. But they conveniently forget that Babu has supported Sifuna from the very beginning when they formed Linda Mwananchi while these guys were in their own parties. He should stick to DCP affairs.

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