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The state of āhorse racing tipstersā is starting to bug me.
There are some good ones, both paid & free. There are people whose opinions I value, but even then, it gets diluted by tipping nearly everyday to meet a quota for their employer. Then there are the fakes ā those who claim to have inside info when they almost certainly donāt, those pushing betting affiliate links & get a % of your losses. There are fake slips, dodgy dancing videos &, somehow, weāve even reached the point where one is selling feet pics.
My point? I think thereās an opportunity to do something a bit more genuine &, hopefully, more helpful.
Iāve built a website called The Cheltenham Edge, where Iāll add some antepost bets & content, mainly building up to Cheltenham. The important bit for me is that I want to give detailed reasoning alongside the bets, but also use the site to challenge some of the usual trends, add context to races & hopefully look at things from a slightly different angle rather than just throwing a horse out there with a price & moving on.
Iām not pretending Iāve suddenly found the secret to betting. I havenāt. I just want to put my own opinions & reasoning somewhere public, build a record of them, & hopefully give people something a bit more useful to follow than another stream of selections.
Itās free to sign up. Youāll get your own little portal on the site (see below) and an email when something new is posted. If itās not for you, thatās absolutely fine. But after years of seeing āracing tipsā, I thought it was worth having a go at doing it my way.
A little update on The Cheltenham Edge site.
Members logging in now will see updates on their dashboard, including price changes on selections, latest comments and members only content.
Youāll still receive email notifications for new selections and market previews.
For anyone new here, itās all about Cheltenham and antepost racing, market previews, selections with detailed reasoning and being open about the thinking behind them. Hopefully helping you make more informed decisions along the way, rather than just throwing tips out there.
Plenty more to come!
thecheltenhamedge.co.uk
š¤ Made with AI
Iād definitely say Irish Panther was more forward fitness wise than Kopek Des Bordes today. You could see that in the parade ring.
But when it comes to the Champion Chase, I just donāt think Iād ever feel comfortable having my money on him.
Willie wont give up over fences just yet, but if he went back over hurdles, Iād almost certainly be interested. Bags of ability undoubtedly
The ground is causing havoc. Interesting to see where the starting points are now for Mydaddypaddy and The New Lion.
Fighting Fifth - Mydaddypaddy / The New Lion? Wouldnāt expect both to go, and the ground might be too quick anyway.
The New Lion Hattons Grace?
Mydaddypaddy - Gerry Fielden?
What do we reckon?
Nice track debut from New Rules for Paul Nicholls there. Heād given him quite a few unprompted mentions in stable tours
If youāre having a boring Monday, feel free to waste five minutes reading this. It might stand you in good stead in the build-up to Cheltenham.
thecheltenhamedge.co.uk/blogā¦
Theflyingking will be one to keep an eye on this season. 2nd at Cork just now, but a nice reappearance & jumped well⦠suspect theyāve left a bit to work on fitness wise there. If I recall correctly, I believe they have the Martin Pipe in mind for March š
Antepost Members have just been emailed a full market breakdown of the Champion Chase, which does include a selection in the race. Itās free to join and you can view the preview here: thecheltenhamedge.co.uk/membā¦
Skerry Hill won like a 2-13 shot should. Difficult to know how well he jumped because of that horrible aerial camera / drone angle š
Really looking forward to the Down Royal Champion Chase tomorrow. Iāll be hoping Heart Wood runs respectably to keep the 50/1 King George slip alive.
Itāll be interesting to see how it plays out. Youād expect Paul to really try to make it a strong staying test with Haiti, given a couple in here arenāt proven at the trip. If he doesnāt, I canāt see him out jumping them. I wonāt be having a bet but looking forward to seeing it unfold.
ā
ļø DECLARATIONS are in for Saturday's racing at Down Royal.
Bring on Day 2 of the @BetVictor Festival of Racing - which includes the Grade 1 Remembering Envoi Allen Champion Chase!
Antepost Bet: Heart Wood 50/1 for the King George š¤
With early season targets starting to emerge, Iām going in early on Heart Wood before his plans are confirmed. If he is aimed at Kempton, the price will shorten significantly.
The 2026 Ryanair winner held an entry for this race last year, so the idea of him coming here is not completely plucked out of thin air. Henry de Bromhead said they were working backwards from the King George, yet he was never declared. I canāt find a clear reason as to why, but my gut says the strength of that field played a big part. This yearās renewal looks short of that quality, so I wonder if theyāll finally roll the dice.
Two big hitters are already missing (The Jukebox Man out, Jango Baie likely to miss) and several market leaders still have questions. Will Gaelic Warrior return to Kempton? Kitzbuhel was excellent here last year but IMO was handed a soft lead and remains liable to putting in a bad jump (Sandown and PU at Punchestown). Romeo Coolio had back surgery and also PU at Cheltenham. Add to that a host of horses stepping out of novice company who may find the step up tough.
Heart Wood is usually a consistent jumper and returned a peak RPR of 170 in the Ryanair. Stamina will be the main doubt for some, but he already banked two wins over 2m7f last season and Kempton is not a pure 3m slog. If he can stay 2m7f around Tramore, thereās no reason he shouldnāt stay the trip here. Right-handed tracks are also no problem for him either.
At 50/1 Iām more than happy to take the swing with cash out available.
Dan (The Cheltenham Edge) retweeted
A little hack / tip if you use the Irishracing.com tracker. You can add it to your home screen and use it like an app.
Login on Safari > Tap the three dots > Share > More > Add to Home Screen
Saves you having to search for it every time. Youāre welcome šš¤
Blown away with the number of comments & sign ups for thisā¦
Please donāt expect daily or weekly tips. Thatās not what this or I am about. If I see something Iāll put it on site & give detailed reasoning as to why. In the meantime, Iām writing an overview for a race at the festival, showing how Iāve broken the market down & intend to play. Should be on site in the next few days.
The state of āhorse racing tipstersā is starting to bug me.
There are some good ones, both paid & free. There are people whose opinions I value, but even then, it gets diluted by tipping nearly everyday to meet a quota for their employer. Then there are the fakes ā those who claim to have inside info when they almost certainly donāt, those pushing betting affiliate links & get a % of your losses. There are fake slips, dodgy dancing videos &, somehow, weāve even reached the point where one is selling feet pics.
My point? I think thereās an opportunity to do something a bit more genuine &, hopefully, more helpful.
Iāve built a website called The Cheltenham Edge, where Iāll add some antepost bets & content, mainly building up to Cheltenham. The important bit for me is that I want to give detailed reasoning alongside the bets, but also use the site to challenge some of the usual trends, add context to races & hopefully look at things from a slightly different angle rather than just throwing a horse out there with a price & moving on.
Iām not pretending Iāve suddenly found the secret to betting. I havenāt. I just want to put my own opinions & reasoning somewhere public, build a record of them, & hopefully give people something a bit more useful to follow than another stream of selections.
Itās free to sign up. Youāll get your own little portal on the site (see below) and an email when something new is posted. If itās not for you, thatās absolutely fine. But after years of seeing āracing tipsā, I thought it was worth having a go at doing it my way.
No entry in the Coral Gold Cup. So long as heās fit, he should come here
Antepost bet: Thomas Mor @ 16/1 ew - Badger Beers Handicap Chase
I think thereās plenty to like about Thomas Mor, whose novice season last year has some nice form. He beat Jet To Vegas on debut (over a trip too short), who went on to win at Market Rasen last month, before finishing 2nd to Kitzbuhel at Kempton, beaten 2.5 lengths. That was a decent effort, with some good horses in Wendigo, Salver & Blueking Doroux behind him.
Unfortunately, he was then a nr at Ascot due to an infection, before putting in a below par effort at Cheltenham. Who knows whether the infection played a part in that run or whether itās down to the track, as heās now run there a few times without really firing.
Iām not certain whether heāll come here or head for the Coral Gold Cup at Newbury, so Iām not pilling in nor advising you to. He was entered in the Sodexo Gold Cup at Ascot but has since been taken out & Iām hoping thatās due to ground concerns. Team Hobbs did mention Kap Vert as a possible runner here, but he holds no entry, which gives me reason to think Thomas Mor could turn up.
Heāll be towards the top of the weights, but he has some solid form to his name & has won both starts at Wincanton, albeit over hurdles. Iām going to have a swing with cash out available.
Thomas Mor wins at Ascot
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