Chris McCrypto

One of my only bear market buys this time around was $WOLF 🐺 I’m hoping it’s as legendary as my last bear market buy of $PEPE 🐸

An idea 💡 The extended 5th-wave thesis for The extended 5th-wave thesis for $BTC is still alive. The structure from September 2024 has not been invalidated, and the correction from the December 2024 high can still be counted as an expanded-flat A-B-C correction. What interests me most is the duration. If the C-wave low is now in, this correction lasted roughly 259 days, very similar to the 2019–20 mid-cycle correction. And that raises the real question: What if we are not starting a new cycle here at all? What if the last 259 days were simply a mid-cycle correction within the existing bull cycle? Because if that is the case, then this isn't the beginning of a fresh multi-year move. We could instead be entering sub-wave 3 of the extended macro 5th wave. And that is where things could get violent. There is another piece that fits this thesis: We never really had a proper broad 'altseason' during the 2023/24 cycle. Bitcoin Dominance still stayed sky high. We have seen individual narratives and some meme coins run hard, but not the kind of market-wide speculative mania you would normally associate with the final stages of a crypto cycle. $ETH never truly broke to impressive ATH's. So perhaps the cycle simply hasn't finished. Perhaps the last 259 days were the reset. And now we get: Mid-cycle correction → BTC expansion → liquidity rotation → altseason → final blow-off.

$FLR steep negative price action, yet bullish RSI divergences over the last few months looks familiar to how it has set up before previous reversal & major breakouts. Price needs to break the 20MA with conviction to confirm, but it's looking good.

The Bitcoin Bear market seems to be coming to an end, marked with a strong break above the 20 Week Moving Average & a confirmed bullish divergence on the weekly time frame. If accurate, it's been shorter than the last bear market by around 2-3 months & less brutal than years before with a 55% draw down from the previous ATH's compared to 77% in 2022. No doubt alts and memes have been absolutely crushed however, with many 95-99% down from ATH's 😅 Are you still holding? Have you been buying? If you weren't stacking quietly during the bear market whilst many coins were extremely oversold, it could be a good time to begin to buy again over the coming weeks & months as we retrace & settle, before a new bull run begins. The price and RSI looks cooked on lower time frames, so a retrace is on the cards. The best we can now hope for is something similar to Jan to March 2023, where we range up here for some months, building a new base until the next leg up.

After another crypto winter, it might be time to start whipping some crypto charts out again 👀 Bitcoin bottom looks in, and then the fun can begin Did you buy in the bear market? If so what did you grab?

❤️

$PEPE going to make some great gains soon

We have spent almost as much time now as in the 2022 bear market for $ETH in a downtrend. Weekly MACD is about to turn green. RSI very oversold and the downtrend broken. We are building a base, and I think we will be rallying again soon. $ETH $PEPE $WOLF $ANDY $BTC

Q2 2026 crypto 🚀

Respect to @qatarairways who refunded our return tickets to Phuket (via Doha) within a few days (even though they say up to 28 days). Re booked via UK > Germany > Phuket with Condor Airlines and our family holiday is on! 🏝️ ✈️

🎯

The monthly candle for $XRP just flipped green and is currently looking like a dragonfly doji, which is a bullish reversal candle. On the monthly time frame, this weighs quite heavily for the macro. 2 weeks to go, but if February can close like this, it's looking really positive IMO $FLR $HBAR $BTC