Steven Jorgensen

Games to pay attention to for the D1 bubble this week #wisfb Madison La Follette (vs Madison Memorial) - The Lancers have come on relatively strong the last few weeks and certainly could scare Memorial here. Their odds are 99.5% with a win and 0% with a loss. Janesville Parker (vs Middleton) - Middleton has leaked some oil with some close results and the Big Eight has started to flirt with getting crazy. 97.5% with a win for Parker, 0% with a loss. Janesville Craig (vs Verona) - Let's stay in the Big Eight again, as Craig needs to pull off the big upset. They'd be locked in with a win, a loss leaves them under 20% odds. Oshkosh West (vs Appleton North) - A win for West gets them. A loss leaves them with under 20% odds. An upset here is certainly possible as North has played with fire all year long and has trouble putting opponents away at times. Hortonville (vs Fondy) - Polar Bears would essentially be locked in with a win. A loss leaves them with under 40% odds and will need some other results to go in their favor. Fondy has less than a 0.1% chance to get in even with a win. Badger (vs Union Grove) - Badger's underwhelming season comes down to upsetting UG, which is a tall, tall ask. With a win, they'd have around 67% odds to make it. Appleton West (vs Pulaski) - This would be another massive upset if it were to happen. But West's odds would be about 30% with a win here. Other things to note: - Preble plays West De Pere, which would be a massive upset if they were to pull it off. A loss leaves them with about 43% odds to get in. If they do make it, they might turn around around play WDP again, or Bay Port. - Milwaukee Hamilton (vs Reagan) should be safe with a loss, but it does leave the door slightly open if there's chaos. 95% odds with a loss. - Wausau West (vs Eau Claire North) and D.C. Everest (vs Wisconsin Rapids) hav a similar story. They wouldn't be 100% in with a loss, but would be over 95% odds. - Kimberly is practically locked. Over 99% odds with a loss, but would not be mathematically clinched. - Oak Creek has zero path to get in, even though they are likely going to finish 4-3 in conference play.