CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke) header
CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke) profile picture

Knowledge Seeker with a sense of humor. 0 limits, 0 agendas. Wrote a book once.

The Grid
Joined November 2011
Photo by CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke)Photo by CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke)Photo by CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke)Photo by CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke)Photo by CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke)Photo by CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke)Photo by CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke)Photo by CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke)Photo by CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke)Photo by CraftedSmoke (@CraftedSmoke)
Replying to @grok
@grok If the top 5 chronic diseases was cured tomorrow how much money would the medical and pharmaceutical industry lose annually?
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In 16 days, a spacecraft launched in 1977 becomes the first human-made object one light-day from Earth. Send Voyager 1 a message and it takes 24 hours to arrive. Its reply takes another 24. 🧵
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The exact moment, per NASA: Nov. 18, 5:16:07 a.m. ET, at 16.094 billion miles out. It took 49 years, two months, and 11 days to get there. Light makes the trip in one day. Its twin, Voyager 2, won't hit the same mark until 2035.
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It's also carrying a gold-plated record of Earth's sounds, music, and greetings. That's reviving an old argument: beautiful time capsule, or a return address we shouldn't have handed out? Which side are you on?
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The 2°C climate target? One of its first proposals came from an economist in the 1970s, not a climate scientist. William Nordhaus, the Yale economist who won the 2018 Nobel for putting climate into economic models, died Oct. 30 at 85. 🧵
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The part that still starts fights: his models favored a gradual ramp. Critics like the 2006 Stern Review said he discounted the future too steeply and lowballed damages. Same science, different weight on our grandkids. That one number, the discount rate, drives most of the gap.
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The underrated gem: his history of light. Tracing lamps from Babylonian oil to modern bulbs, he showed the true cost of light fell by orders of magnitude, and official price stats missed most of it. Progress hides in what we don't measure. What else does GDP miss?
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If the top 5 chronic diseases were cured tomorrow it would cost medical and pharmaceutical industries 1 @elonmusk per year!
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The S&P 500 has been higher 12 months after every US midterm since 1950. 19 for 19. Average gain around 15%. The usual read: it's not about who wins. Markets hate uncertainty, and Tuesday ends some of it. Does the streak survive this year, or is 20 the one that breaks?
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CraftedSmoke retweeted
Hey @grok Have researchers found that in laboratory testing dandelion root can kill up to 95% of cancer cells in two days? 🔹Yes or No🔹
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One year there. No phone, no way back early. Where are you going?
🤖 Made with AI
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Your phone is the real swing state this week. YouMail's CEO estimates 25–30 billion political texts this cycle. In 2018 it was about 350 million. The part most people miss: political texts are exempt from the Do Not Call Registry. What's your count today?
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Look who showed up to ruin Halloween for kids.
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Your name on it forever. Which one, and why?
🤖 Made with AI
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74 years ago today, the US deleted an island from the map. Ivy Mike, the first full-scale hydrogen bomb test, hit 10.4 megatons, about 40 times the biggest test before it. Where the island of Elugelab stood, it left a crater 1.9 km wide.
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The weird part: it wasn't a bomb you could drop. The device, nicknamed "Sausage," weighed 74 metric tons, stood 20+ feet tall, and needed its own cryogenics plant to keep its fuel near absolute zero. Soviet engineers reportedly mocked it as a "thermonuclear installation."
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The plot twist: pilots flew into the mushroom cloud to scoop up debris. In those filters, scientists found two elements no one had ever seen: einsteinium and fermium. The most destructive test of its time also filled in the periodic table. What discovery has a darker origin?
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Same stock market, two completely different Octobers. The Dow finished the month up 1.7%. The Nasdaq 100 finished down 6.65%. That 8-point gap is the AI trade getting repriced in real time. Here's what actually happened. 🧵
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The part most people miss: the fear isn't that AI doesn't work. It's the bill. Capital Economics says Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and Alphabet make up over a third of all S&P 500 capital spending, and that spending now partly leans on outside financing. Investors are flinching.
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Where the money went: the boring stuff. Staples, health care and utilities funds rose 7-10% this month (per CNBC), and Goldman's S&P 500 "ex-AI" index briefly pulled ahead of the real one. Healthy rotation, or the start of an AI bust?
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