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Player props and DFS

Joined October 2018
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2025 Recap - Every play third party tracked and widely available - No overnights
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Laying -200 is profitable if you hit at a higher rate than 66.67% which is the implied probability. Betting +200 or -200 doesn’t make you sharp. What makes you sharp is betting ANY number where your fair shows expected value relative to the price your laying.
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Somehow the people who are the most wrong are always the ones who are the most confident. There's a medical term for confidently teaching things you don't understand. It's called Twitter. Every sharp I know bets heavy favorites when the number is wrong. Every one.
Guys like this kill me man, I agreed with his statement. But he don’t like the fact that I told him no respected sharp sports bettor bets over -200. It’s the truth, if you good at sports betting you won’t ever have to touch anything over -200 ever. I don’t knock anyone that does i’m just telling you facts
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DK retweeted
.@CarOnPolymarket is the biggest POS alive TLDR: Polymarket's frontend gets compromised and $2.6M gets drained. Car claims he lost $800K, but if you look onchain, the funds were actually transferred to one of his alt wallets that he had interacted with before. He then posts on Twitter claiming he got drained, using the attention to: - Shill his referral link -Potentially claim another $800K if Polymarket refunds affected users I've genuinely never seen this level of narcissistic behavior.
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Tell me you have no edge without telling me:
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Love to see it
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I didn’t enter high stakes because I was playing pickleball… every time man smh
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Here is EVERYTHING you NEED to know if you are BETTING on NBA player props October 22nd
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OKC Thunder - Mark Daigneault ran an 11 man rotation opening night. - SGA played more off ball against the Spurs. He only made 33 passes and had 9 potential assists. - Daigneault on Aday Mara: “His minutes weren’t high, but his impact was. We’re only going to trust him more after seeing how he performed in such a high level game.”
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If you found this helpful please: - Like the first tweet to help others find it. - Follow me for more content like this @DK__DFS
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When the NBA season starts 📉
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