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Austin, TX
Joined June 2025
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Texas is already past halfway 🧵
Early vote as a share of each state's 2022 turnout:

TX 56%
ME 29%
MI 27%
OH 26%
IA 22%
KS 20%
AK 17%
The 9 closest, by prediction market odds:
WI Crowley 82%
OH Acton 80%
OR Kotek 80%
VT Scott 76%
NV Ford 74%
GA Bottoms 68%
KS Masterson 65%
FL Donalds 64%
TX Abbott 60%
The 9 closest, by prediction market odds:

MI El-Sayed 79%
TX Talarico 73%
ME Jackson 73%
OH Brown 71%
AK Peltola 71%
NE Ricketts 70%
SC Graham 65%
KS Hamilton 63%
IA Turek 53%
Where party registration is tracked, Democrats lead early ballots in Iowa (51 to 32), Kansas (47 to 39), and Maine (50 to 21).
Ohio's biggest bloc is unaffiliated (43%). Alaska doesn't report party.








