ElekNBA

As I promised here it is! Public available tracker, with each bet posted having a Twitter link. As I post a bet, it will be added instantly here and updated after the game ends. I probably should have done it way earlier, but better now than never! docs.google.com/spreadsheets…

It's really insane how almost all of Golden State Valkyries roster where either roleplayers or not even in the WNBA four years ago Gabby was 26 year old and had 24 mpg on Storm taking 6 fga per game Veronica was under 3 points per game bench guard for her first three seasons before Valks Stokes was bench center for championship Aces Kaila Charles barely played two seasons in a row and went overseas Thornton was solid roleplayer starter for first round exist Wings before joining Liberty to be under 16 mpg roleplayer for two years Zandalasini was not in the league for years before returning to Lynx in 2024 Chen was on college Salaun was in Europe Amihere was 5 mpg player And end of the bench (Gueye, Sowah, Jocyte, Prechtell ) were not in the league Insane feat by everyone involed in the franchise, players, coach Nakase and staff that made all that possible!

I forgot to put the bet that its over three pointers made 💀... (its visible on the image but won't erase that dumb mistake) She hit one in the second quarter ✅

0.5u Angel Reese over +130 FD Throughout the playoffs, they are letting her shoot. I know Dream coaching staff could tell her to stop shooting but GSV will surely leave her wide open whenever they can, like they were doing. Last game she had 2/8 for three (with one two pt attempt being long range shot with feet on the line) in a win, so i dont think Angel personally wouldn't shoot

Okay this one was quick ✅ With usage and minutes he has I think I may bet him blindly wheneve he has line lower than 14.5

1u Duncan Robinson over 13.5 pts -106 DK, -109 Caesars He has good usage this season and in last two undrs he had 13 and 14 fga. Had 28+ minutes in all games of the season as Detroit needs his shooting Nets allow the 2nd most catch-and-shoot (71% of Duncan points). They also allow the 4th most above-the-break threes (71% of Duncan's points) In all games this season, Duncan had 10+ fga . Last year he had 29/39 overs

Play-offs started 2-0 and went dogshit since then She went over in 6 minutes...

Only two things are bad about this for bettors First one - killing those SGPs, forcing people to play pra/pts+reb/ast+reb/pts+ast unders or nothing in those situations Second one - we will have to see it, but i wouldn't be surprised if books use this rule to avoid having lines when several players are out, either due to injuries or late-season injury risk management/ tanking

1u DeWanna Bonner over 12.5 pts -110 FD No Gray for Dream; Bonner will have minutes. For all of the playoffs because of their guards, Liberty allows spot-up while focusing on denying the paint. She had good games against Liberty in regular season and great g1. I know she is old, but on the other hand, Liberty has liabilities in the guard rotation, while the strongest part of Dream's offense is Canada and Howard. Howard had a horrible scoring game and her shot selection is bad, but Liberty has to put Fiebich there or else she would cook any other perimeter defender.

She played bad and fouls just were not called tbh but i was also taking too much into consideration how regular season h2h played out -1.13u

1u Jackie Young over 18.5 pts -113 FD I think this is some kind of overcorrection. Wings don't have front court presence at Aja level, so defense for Valkyries was much easier in those series. Still, Wings played efficient offense in the series (their offense died when one of Paige or Arike sat, but 115.25 off rtg with both of them is equal to best in the league. I know small sample and everything, but you all watched Arike torch them) Valkyries now have much harder task, as there is one dual issue with Aja - Stokes could guard her, but Stokes has huge issues on offense and Aces will exploit that. I don't think Stokes will be able to match Aja minutes. Should open possessions where perimeter play is easier from pressure that Aja creates I would expect Burton on Chelsea and Gabby on Jackie. Burton is much tougher matchup for Gray than Gabby is for Young. Gray doesn't have first step to create advantage against Burtom. Also, GSV didn't guard well transition against Wings. Jackie is best in transition. They will surely look into issues they had, but I don't expect perfect play from their defense there

Sadly Sophie was unplayable (laughably) -1.24 ❌

1u Sophie Cunningham over 5.5 pts -130 FD, -124 DK Timpson is not playable, and it leads to the Fever playing small with Cunningham at 4. Should have above 20 minutes this game. Aces are not a perfect matchup, but with Cunningham at 4 and going small, they can space well enough, and the focus will always be on Caitlin Clark, who had a brutal G2. While Sophie had a bad G2 in a win, Clark looks for early solutions, and Sophie still should be the main shooter of the team. Raven played great in both games but she is a rookie. Even in challenging matchups, Sophie was going over this line in the regular season. I understand now the stakes are bigger, but I see a scenario where the Aces would be glad she attacks the closeouts (she had one floater last game and it was kinda ''random bullshit go'' in terms of how it looked haha). Far better for them than anything from Mitchell, Clark or Boston

Angel with 2 assists on just 3 potential assists last night, win! ✅

1u Angel Reese under 2.5 assists -118 FD, -112 DK I know number is not high, but against Mystics she had 0, 5, 8 and 2 potential assists (last one being g1). Angel has 4.9 potential assists per game (so on average it would need 60% fg% on her assists) In g1, she shot 4/15 from the field and Dream had 103 offensive rating with her on the court (120 off rtg with her off). Dream won those minutes on defense. I dont think the Mystics will change much in their approach on defense with her, even though Angel has improved this season at the rim in comparison to prior years. I think Mystics will again challenge Reese to shoot I dont really have a relevant graph to be honest

1u Makayla Timpson under 6.5 pts -120 DK, -128 FD Caesars I dont think she plays over 30 minutes; she has several limitations on offense, and even though the Fever situation with bigs is dire, she isn't a player that fixes it. She had worst +/- in whole squad (-26). Wilson blocked her two times, and she shot 1/4 at the rim Aces were good at denying transition and the rim in the regular season, and rim is where Timpson scores - 84% of her points are there A'ja was in the paint most of the time; the Aces wanted Boston to shoot threes and trusted in guards to not give up really easy pull-up attempts. There were possessions with Talbot guarding pnr with A'ja camping around the paint

WNBA 2026 regular season record : 17-21 -7.41u The last two years (in terms of most of the things for me) are genuinely dogshit, and if I am honest, I simply was not in a mental state to do anything but vegetate for most of the time. I dont know how I didn't kill myself; I pretty much ruined my life in several different ways, and I know that I am doing some kind of ''anti-advertisement,'' but I just want to be honest and say what was going on with me. It wasn't all black there were some good things, but simply all that was accumulating since my childhood bit me, while also I didn't help myself and also did some things on top of it. (which is all connected). But it is what it is; I can't change the past, i can only change the now and future. Since August 24th (past month) , record on everything was 18-12 and +3.25u (counting two bets on Rytas vs Tigers). It moved in the right direction, but I don't know where I'm headed. I dont think I'll have a group for the NBA next season; I will probably post picks here, and I will try to be more transparent and honest as one of the biggest issues over the past two years was procrastination from tracking and trying to avoid the stress i felt whenever any single bet was lost Still thinking: should or will I do non-US basketball, as it is something I bet on personally for a long time WNBA playoffs start; good luck to everyone!