Epsilon (@EpsilonPM) header
Epsilon (@EpsilonPM) profile picture

Epsilon

@EpsilonPM

professional forecaster (gambler) | 300x+ YTD on PMs

 Utah
Joined November 2025
  • Tweets238
  • Following906
  • Followers786
33Media
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if polymarket requires KYC the site will literally lose 99% of volume
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will depue (@willdepue) profile picture
will depue
@willdepue23h
the gift of alcohol and other drug experiences is to reveal to you that your sober state is no less strange nor surreal than your intoxicated one. in either case you are a phantom floating through physical sensation, and while you may be more cogent, you’re equally dislocated
Image from will depue (@willdepue)
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being short crypto over the next several months-year seems pretty good, it seems likely the ai hacking narrative strengthens and holding crypto will become an increasingly hard to justify liability not to mention cryptography progress tail risk…
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👇 before you sign the non disparagement clause
Kate Knibbs 🏄🏻‍♀️ (@Knibbs) profile pictureKate Knibbs 🏄🏻‍♀️@KnibbsOct 30
if any trader who lost money is willing to chat with me about this (anonymous fine) please get me here or on signal kateknibbs.09
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this is a glimpse into the future btw - this is all going to get worse and worse
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✅ there is 0 alpha
James Van Straten (@btcjvs) profile pictureJames Van Straten
@btcjvsOct 27
Replying to @emilyjnicolle
There is no alpha in prediction markets
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Replying to @mansourtarek_
@mansourtarek_ S+ virtue signaling once again by protecting trust fund babies from pissing away their entire fortune with completely arbitrary under 21 deposit cap there are far better ways to do this btw that aren’t completely brainless
Epsilon (@EpsilonPM) profile pictureEpsilon
@EpsilonPMOct 27
Replying to @nickdevor_ @DustinGouker
it’s retarted and hurts sharp traders the most. had to front run this and deposit 30k which is now effectively locked in Kalshi. it’s good to know most ppl under 21 have more than 30k/yr to lose??
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ok idk maybe deposit cap ppl for under 21 is good just seems like more nuanced implementation is optimal 😅
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please be ragebait ... please be ragebait
teo (@teodorio) profile pictureteo
@teodorioOct 27
Whenever someone talk about prediction markets as being anything more than betting sites remember to show them this image
Image from teo (@teodorio)
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float (@notesbyfloat) profile picture
float
@notesbyfloatOct 26
found a neuron in qwen3.5-4b that makes it talk like her
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oops should’ve full ported
Euan (@Euanker) profile pictureEuan
@EuankerOct 24
1 - Kane 2 - Mbappe 3 - Yamal 4 - Rodri 5 - Messi #getmogged #BallonDor
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all good things must come to an end
DGN Quant (@DegenQuant) profile pictureDGN Quant
@DegenQuantOct 21
running an hft taker strategy on markets that are so heavily subsidized by the exchange that the maker doesn’t even care about getting picked off is such a beautiful thing
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zoomers didn’t choose gambling we just got priced out of every other way to make money
Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) profile pictureWatcher.Guru
@WatcherGuruOct 17
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 American boomers over 75 years old now have 15 times the median household wealth of Gen Z and Millennials.
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Clive (@Clive_99) profile picture
Clive
@Clive_99Oct 16
I fucking hate this Friday morning commute
Image from Clive (@Clive_99)
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Can $meta dump already 😭
Lentils (@Lentils80) profile pictureLentils@Lentils80Oct 12
I saw a bunch of Muse Wonder outputs from multiple people. This model is such a hot steaming piece of benchmaxxed garbage I couldn't even believe my eyes. Not even Gemini models are this benchmaxxed bro.
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This is a slide from Terence Tao's 'Math 2.0' public lecture yesterday evening at Caltech. I am highly confident that, if the cure actually worked, almost any Stage 4 cancer patient would tell you that human comprehension of its mechanism is completely irrelevant to them.
Image from Andrew Curran (@AndrewCurran_)
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Incredibly based
Andrew Curran (@AndrewCurran_) profile pictureAndrew Curran
@AndrewCurran_Oct 8
Effective November 12th, 2026, abusive behavior towards Claude will be a violation of Anthropic's Usage Policy.
Image from Andrew Curran (@AndrewCurran_)
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Bayesian (@Bayesian0_0) profile picture
Bayesian
@Bayesian0_0Oct 1
Three AI safety researchers just left OpenAI
Image from Bayesian (@Bayesian0_0)
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kalshi for real world utility 🔥
TroyCuban (@troycuban) profile pictureTroyCuban
@troycubanSep 26
My meth head neighbor was complaining how theres no liquidity for him to hedge up the loot he got from that HVAC unit he destroyed on top of Sam's Club last night
Image from TroyCuban (@troycuban)
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Tenobrus (@tenobrus) profile picture
Tenobrus
@tenobrusSep 25
real frontier labs are not after consumer tech markets lol cute openclaw is probably worth 5T+ market cap, but is literally nothing vs RSI
Cary Bleasdale (@Cary_Bleasdale) profile pictureCary Bleasdale@Cary_BleasdaleSep 25
It is entirely possible that in one fell swoop Mark fucking Zuckerberg is about to corner the most lucrative demographic on earth that no other AI model is even aware exists. As in, he might acquire frontier models by BUYING Anthropic in a few years.
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rip I guess it’s over, time to sell everything
Gregory Travis (@greg_travis) profile pictureGregory Travis
@greg_travisSep 21
Just a reminder that so-called "Recursive Self Improvement" is not a thing that's actually happening with AI, nor is a thing that can happen with statistical inference Recursive self improvement is something that only a thinking machine can do and AI machines (linear algebra equation solvers) don't and can't think
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