Diving deep into stocks & fintech my way: wild ideas, contrarian calls, and the occasional market rant. Alpha hunter by day, equity philosopher by night.
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$OSCR — When in doubt, zoom out. The stock has been consolidating sideways for two years, building a massive base. And the bigger the base, the bigger the breakout. Patience is key. I still see this as a $30+ name in 2026.
$OSCR As mentioned last year, the stock has finally reached the $30 level. The next area to watch is $35, where a consolidation or pullback would be expected before any further continuation.
nitter.cf/FinTechQ/status/198947…
$OSCR — When in doubt, zoom out. The stock has been consolidating sideways for two years, building a massive base. And the bigger the base, the bigger the breakout. Patience is key. I still see this as a $30+ name in 2026.
Of everything unveiled at $LCID Investor Day (March 12, 2026), the most bullish development may have been Lucid Lunar.
A purpose-built 2-seat robotaxi built on Lucid’s midsize platform.
• Best-in-class efficiency: 5.5–6.0 mi/kWh → 400+ mile potential range
• ~40% lower cost per mile vs. traditional rideshare + ultra-fast charging
• Premium cabin: 42"+ legroom, massive display, no driver controls
• L4-ready autonomy with an advancing Uber partnership for scaled deployment
With $RIVN rallying like there’s no tomorrow, I want to bring back my beach ball analogy.
$LCID’s chart is extremely compressed, with multi-month bullish divergences building beneath the surface. The longer this coil tightens, the more powerful the release could be.
The shorts have been holding this beach ball underwater for a while now, but those hands are getting tired.
It’s undeniable that $RIVN has a stronger business model, better finances, and a more established leadership than $LCID.
But a ~582% difference in market cap? That doesn’t add up.
Wall Street is pricing Lucid as if bankruptcy is imminent — and that feels extreme.
This is the classic beach ball held underwater analogy. The longer it’s suppressed, the more violent the rebound when a real catalyst hits.
Lucid has arguably world-class EV technology, industry-leading range, efficiency, and design, that’s incredibly hard to replicate quickly and often underappreciated by the market.
At today’s levels, the stock looks mispriced relative to its tech value and future optionality:
Autonomy
Strategic partnerships
Robotaxi potential
The risk-reward is compelling. And once AMP-2 is production-ready and the midsize platform is officially announced, that beach ball may not just bounce — it could launch.
$RIVN my Feb 6 bottom call was right on target.
The stock has now impressively reclaimed all its major moving averages in a single session. The volume profile looks constructive as well, with lighter volume on red days and stronger participation on green days exactly what you want to see in a developing uptrend.
My target remains a gap fill at $23.20.
$RIVN If yesterday wasn’t the bottom, it’s extremely close. The stock dropped right to two key levels: the anchored VWAP from the all time lows, which also lines up with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension. A critical area to watch for potential support.
$NFLX just hit my $75 target. In my view, anything below this level is a strong buying opportunity, a gift for long-term investors.
$NFLX wow, this thing is really oversold 😮💨
That said, I think there may still be a bit more downside. I’m watching the $75–$70 zone as a potential area to start a position. 👀📉
$PLTR a name I alerted on and exited back in November, is now flashing oversold conditions. While I still expect it to trade below $100 later this year, a near-term bounce from the ~$123 level looks possible.
$PLTR update to my November post. It’s now trading ~131% above its weekly 200SMA. While that’s down from the prior ~361% premium, it’s still significantly extended.
Long term, I see two main scenarios:
1. Further downside to move closer to the weekly 200SMA
2.A multi-month consolidation while the 200SMA rises to meet price
Keep hearing all the buzz about Michael Burry shorting $PLTR. Sorry, Palantir bulls, but I couldn’t agree more. The stock is trading a whopping 361% above its 200SMA, showing clear RSI divergence and heavy volume on down weeks, all signs a correction is coming. If you’re long, consider hedging with $PLTZ, the 2x short leveraged ETF.
$AMZN finally undercut my $204.80 target and now looks set to fill the $194 gap. The stock is deeply oversold, so a relief bounce from this area wouldn’t be surprising.
Amazon $AMZN – I haven’t traded this name in a while. As the saying goes, from failed moves come fast moves. Amazon has been cascading since its failed breakout. I expect it to initially test the 200 SMA and potentially undercut it to the $204.80 level.
$LCID Multi month RSI divergence is building on the daily chart and starting to show on the monthly as well. These take time to play out, but they often signal major trend reversals.
$OSCR big earnings miss. Stock is slightly up premarket, which tells me most of the bad news was already priced in. 2026 guidance was mildly positive, but with these numbers I don’t see a sustained upside move yet. This one likely needs more time to base.
$APLD 👀 Nice bounce off the trendline. One of 2026’s most promising plays. Expect some chop/pullback to $36–$33 before the next leg up. 🚀
The Nasdaq’s price action reminds me of $IWM from Feb 2021 to Jan 2022 when other indexes kept rallying while IWM chopped sideways in a tight range for nearly a year. I think we could see a similar dynamic now, but flipped: $QQQ may underperform and stay range-bound, while $IWM finally breaks out and leads.
$LCID Once Lucid starts moving, people are going to hate the rally all the way up. I honestly can’t remember seeing sentiment this negative on a stock. Extreme pessimism often sets the stage for violent upside moves.
$LCID is retesting its 20 SMA once again. Lucid has been battling this level since October 2025 👀. Could this be the time it finally breaks above it?
$RIVN If yesterday wasn’t the bottom, it’s extremely close. The stock dropped right to two key levels: the anchored VWAP from the all time lows, which also lines up with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension. A critical area to watch for potential support.
$APLD: Strong bounce off the breakout line. Watching to see how this potential cup-and-handle pattern develops.
$OSCR The stock looks deeply oversold heading into earnings next week (Feb 10th), so it would likely require a significant miss to push it lower. Price continues to trade within a well defined range inside the current channel.
One challenge with recently IPOed stocks like this is that their long-term moving averages are still developing. On the weekly chart, price is approaching a confluence of support levels, including the bottom of the channel, the long-term trendline, and the 200-week moving average. This makes it a key area to watch for potential support and a bounce.
