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The most transparent GARP investor | real-time stock analysis, personal finance, philosophy. $META, $BN, $FOUR, $ADBE, $QLYS, $MSFT, $AMZN. Not financial advice

Joined December 2025
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This week I rotated $19,000. Sold $FOUR: $19,000 @ $39.90 avg Bought $META: $5,000 @ $651.87 Bought $AMZN: $14,000 @ $253.06 avg 92% of my entire portfolio is in my top 5 holdings as I hold a small position in $FOUR and $BN.
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Bill Ackman took to CNBC, citing $META as "INCREDIBLY UNDERVALUED". Meta is 33% of my portfolio, nearly 10% of Pershing Square's holdings. Is he right?
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Microsoft $MSFT needs to get XBOX and Gaming focused on making good games again. Microsoft paid $69B for Activision. That capital hasn't bought a lick of growth yet. Xbox, Q1 FY2027 (July–September 2026): - Xbox revenue: $5.38B, -2% YoY (vs $5.51B) - Xbox content and services: -2% YoY - Xbox hardware: -14% YoY - Devices and Consumer segment: $15.48B, -3% YoY - Devices and Consumer operating income: $5.36B, +2% YoY That's 4 straight quarters of declines, after Xbox fell 7% in FY2026.
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The market is selling off $AMZN like it's HOT GARBAGE! THE MARKET IS WRONG! I ran the numbers on what Andy Jassy is projecting for AWS growth. Q3 AWS: $46.0B = $184B run rate Jassy: 40%+ growth in 2027 AND 2028 $46.0B × 1.4 × 1.4 = $90.1B/quarter by Q3 2028 $90.1B × 4 = $360B ARR, supported by a backlog of $578B Cash flow math (TTM to Q3 2028): AWS revenue: $161B × 1.96 = $316B AWS operating income: $316B × 38% = $120B Rest of Amazon: $756B sales × 7.5% = $57B Total operating income: $177B (vs $104B today) + Depreciation $125B + stock comp $25B − working capital $20B = $307B operating cash flow (vs $168B today) At $228, that's 14.8x TTM OCF and 8x 2028 OCF. The market has lost its mind!
$AMZN announcesld AWS net sales increased 39.3% YoY! This is its fastest growth in nearly five years, to a $184 billion annualized revenue run rate. Even crazier, they are projecting 40%+ growth to AWS THROUGH 2028.
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$GOOG is selling off after reporting 25% YoY revenue growth. Advertising revenue was only up 12% versus $META's 26% YoY growth as Google loses market share to Meta. Meta is going to overtake Google as the largest advertiser in the world, likely within the next few quarters.
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The market is selling off $AMZN like it's HOT GARBAGE! THE MARKET IS WRONG! I ran the numbers on what Andy Jassy is projecting for AWS growth. Q3 AWS: $46.0B = $184B run rate Jassy: 40%+ growth in 2027 AND 2028 $46.0B × 1.4 × 1.4 = $90.1B/quarter by Q3 2028 $90.1B × 4 = $360B ARR, supported by a backlog of $578B Cash flow math (TTM to Q3 2028): AWS revenue: $161B × 1.96 = $316B AWS operating income: $316B × 38% = $120B Rest of Amazon: $756B sales × 7.5% = $57B Total operating income: $177B (vs $104B today) + Depreciation $125B + stock comp $25B − working capital $20B = $307B operating cash flow (vs $168B today) At $228, that's 14.8x TTM OCF and 8x 2028 OCF. The market has lost its mind!
$AMZN announcesld AWS net sales increased 39.3% YoY! This is its fastest growth in nearly five years, to a $184 billion annualized revenue run rate. Even crazier, they are projecting 40%+ growth to AWS THROUGH 2028.
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$META grew revenue at 26% YoY IN JUST ADVERTISING! Just imagine if they actually launched Meta compute and competed for cloud revenue on top of this! The market IS NOT BULLISH ENOUGH!
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Am I the only one to think $AMZN is ONE OF THE BEST BUYS IN THE MARKET? How does the market not see the obvious ROI on this capex? AWS growth of 40%+ through 2028 IS INSANE!
$AMZN announcesld AWS net sales increased 39.3% YoY! This is its fastest growth in nearly five years, to a $184 billion annualized revenue run rate. Even crazier, they are projecting 40%+ growth to AWS THROUGH 2028.
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$AMZN announcesld AWS net sales increased 39.3% YoY! This is its fastest growth in nearly five years, to a $184 billion annualized revenue run rate. Even crazier, they are projecting 40%+ growth to AWS THROUGH 2028.
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$GOOG saw cloud growth EXPLODE, up 102% YoY for Q3! Capital expenditures are up from $24 Billion to $51 Billion in the quarter. Clearly the company is building to capture demand.
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THIS IS HOW BUYING THE DIP CAN HELP YOU BUILD WEALTH! $MSFT is up 0% in the past year. I started my position in June, when everyone else was running away. Now I'm up more than 47% in a few months.
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FindleysFinance retweeted
$GOOG owns a 14% stake in Anthropic. I would rather buy Google at $4T with $185 Billion TTM OCF than buy Anthropic at IPO. What am I missing?
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Bill Ackman took to CNBC, citing $META as "INCREDIBLY UNDERVALUED". Meta is 33% of my portfolio, nearly 10% of Pershing Square's holdings. Is he right?
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Made some moves in the portfolio today: Sold $FOUR: $4,000 @ $39.50 avg Bought $AMZN: $4,000 @ $247.18 avg
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What stock are you MOST BULLISH on through the rest of the year?
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FindleysFinance retweeted
Cloud services revenue is EXPLODING! Here's the top 5 cloud businesses in the US market. 1. Amazon $AMZN AWS captures 28% of cloud revenue
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Are you bullish on $AMZN ahead of earnings today?
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Cloud revenue is EXPLODING at the hyperscalers, just as I said it would a year ago. $GOOG Cloud rose 102% YoY vs 92% expected $MSFT Azure rose 48% YoY vs 45% expected $AMZN AWS is expected to grow 38% and I think they'll beat it just like last quarter.
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Cloud services revenue is EXPLODING! Here's the top 5 cloud businesses in the US market. 1. Amazon $AMZN AWS captures 28% of cloud revenue
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4. Oracle $ORCL Oracle Cloud Infrastructure Captures 4% of cloud revenue
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5. International Business Machines $IBM IBM Cloud Captures 2% of cloud revenue, tied with $CRM
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