FishaCat LIVE: A Storm is Coming

🚨 SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE | NOV 2 The SPC has UPGRADED north-central Oklahoma and south-central Kansas to an ENHANCED RISK (Level 3 of 5). 🌪️ A few tornadoes possible 💨 Damaging thunderstorm winds ⛈️ Severe storms developing this afternoon and evening The big question: Will storms remain isolated supercells or organize into damaging lines? 🔴 FISHACAT LIVE coverage now starts at 5 PM EST / 4 PM CST / 3 PM MST. Join us for live radar, storm tracking, weather alerts, and conversation as the storms unfold: youtube.com/live/6WRa6Y-NfMk Track the Storms. Join the Conversation. #FishaCatLIVE #SevereWeather #TornadoThreat #Oklahoma #Kansas #Texas

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2439 SHORT TERM SEVERE WEATHER ANALYSIS Areas affected: Portions of central/eastern Oklahoma into far North Texas Tornado Watch 701 ... 702 ... 703 ... Official details and preparedness information: fishacatlive.com/explore/ind…

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2438 WATCH PROBABILITY 20 percent Areas affected: Parts of eastern Kansas Severe potential...Watch unlikely Official details and preparedness information: fishacatlive.com/explore/ind…

Morning Briefing: Oklahoma, Kansas & Texas Severe Storms Severe Weather Overview: A few tornadoes and damaging thunderstorm winds are possible across the Southern and Central Plains this afternoon through tonight. SPC expects thunderstorms to become organized as an approaching storm system encounters increasingly warm, moist air over Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas. Strong winds at different levels of the atmosphere could allow storms to rotate and organize into damaging lines. - 15% for Severe Winds - 5% for Tornadoes | Large Hail Oklahoma: Tornado and damaging wind threat A combination of strong wind shear and increasing low-level moisture could support supercells and rotating sections of storm lines. A greater tornado threat is possible if individual storms remain separated into late afternoon or early evening. Kansas: Organized storms spreading northeast Parts of eastern and southeastern Kansas could experience severe thunderstorms, damaging winds and a few tornadoes. The strongest tornado potential depends on storm organization and how much daytime instability develops. North-central Texas: Discrete supercells possible The SPC identifies north/central Texas as an area where isolated supercells could develop before storms consolidate into a larger line. That raises concern for damaging winds and a couple of tornadoes. Eastern Oklahoma / Western Missouri: Overnight severe threat A larger line of storms may move into this area close to midnight, bringing damaging gusts and possible brief tornadoes embedded within the line. Severe Weather Timeline — Mountain Standard Time (MST): 10 AM–1 PM: Moisture and instability increase across the Plains 1–4 PM: Thunderstorms begin developing across portions of Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas 4–7 PM: Storms strengthen; greatest concern for organized supercells and damaging winds 7–10 PM: Storm clusters consolidate and advance eastward 10 PM–Early Tuesday: Damaging winds and brief tornado potential shift toward eastern Oklahoma and western Missouri Note: These are approximate forecast windows, not exact storm arrival times. Oklahoma, Kansas and most of Texas observe Central Standard Time (CST), which is one hour ahead of MST.

Four Corners Flooding Emergency & Major Flooding & Evacuations Morning Situation Report | November 2, 2026 FOUR CORNERS · SOUTHWEST COLORADO · NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO · ARIZONA · UTAH Situation Overview Significant flooding is occurring across the Four Corners region, with mandatory evacuations, river flooding, rescues and road closures reported. Southwestern Colorado is experiencing some of the most serious conditions, particularly around Pagosa Springs, Durango and communities along the San Juan and Animas rivers. Heavy rainfall Sunday fell on ground already saturated by previous storms. Even as rainfall decreases in some locations, dangerous river flooding is continuing downstream Where the most significant impacts are occurring: Pagosa Springs, Colorado: Potentially catastrophic river flooding. Officials warned that the San Juan River could crest at approximately 21.9 feet Sunday night, compared with approximately 17.8 feet during the destructive 1911 flood. Downtown and low-lying areas were evacuated, and roads into town were closed. The forecast crest is not a confirmed observed crest. Durango, Colorado / La Plata County: Evacuations and closed roads. Evacuations were ordered near the rapidly rising Animas River. Authorities also reported extensive road closures, complicating access for emergency responders and residents. Farmington, New Mexico / San Juan County: Major river flooding forecast The NWS reported minor flooding occurring on the San Juan River at Farmington at 2 AM MST, with a rise to major flood stage forecast. Local emergency managers also issued evacuation alerts for people within half a mile of the Animas, La Plata and San Juan rivers Sedona, Arizona and central Arizona: Flood rescues and evacuations. Rapidly rising Oak Creek trapped residents and prompted evacuation orders. State air rescue crews assisted with rooftop evacuations, while other communities, including Gisela and Camp Verde, also faced evacuation orders. River flooding: Latest verified NWS measurements Location, Reported Stage Situation - Animas River near Cedar Hill, NM 12.5 ft at 2 AM MST Major flooding occurring - San Juan River at Farmington, NM 9.0 ft at 2 AM MST Major flooding forecast; crest 12.7 ft - San Juan River at Shiprock, NM 15.2 ft at 3 AM MST Moderate flooding forecast The NWS reported that the Animas River near Cedar Hill was near historically high levels, with inundation possible in places that had not experienced flooding before. The Shiprock warning indicated significant impacts along the San Juan River toward Four Corners Why the flooding became so serious? Three factors have combined: - Unusually heavy rainfall: A moisture-rich Pacific storm system brought widespread precipitation, with some areas receiving several months' worth of rain over a short period. - Already saturated ground: Previous flooding left soils and waterways unable to absorb or carry much additional runoff. - Mountainous terrain and interconnected rivers: Water runs rapidly out of the mountains, then moves downstream into communities that may experience their worst flooding after the heaviest rainfall ends. WPC had forecast rainfall rates of approximately 0.5–1 inch per hour, with 1–3 inches in six hours possible in favored Four Corners terrain Sunday

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