Tony Dutzik (@FrontierTony) header
Tony Dutzik (@FrontierTony) profile picture

Assoc. Director and Sr. Policy Analyst, Frontier Group, part of @TPINNetwork. Transport, energy and climate policy, mostly.

Boston, MA
Joined August 2013
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if the "climate case" for BAAJA is to make the U.S. more like TX, it's a case against the bill, not for it. TX is one of the top 10 states for per-capita CO2 emissions from energy use and has cut emissions more slowly than the U.S. as a whole since 2015. eia.gov/environment/emission…
The climate case for the permitting reform bill is simple: Making all energy infrastructure easier to build will enable renewables to flourish — and erode fossil fuels' market share. And we have good reason to believe that's true — it's called Texas. vox.com/politics/508196/perm…
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Meanwhile, the shale boom in west Texas has led to widespread environmental damage and risks to water resources. frontiergroup.org/articles/m…
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Tony Dutzik retweeted
RFF has power sector CO2 emissions -- which has been THE sources of progress in recent decades -- rising through 2040
Resources For the Future has released its modeling on the Senate permitting bill. Top findings: - Increase transmission capacity by 30% by 2041 - Would facilitate 60GW of clean energy in 2028 - Reduce carbon emissions by 1.8 gigatonnes through 2041 rff.org/publications/issue-b…
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This RFF analysis seems typical of the modeling, which is that IF you look only at the power sector, IF you assume rapidly growing demand and IF you take the permit certainty provisions at face value, you get a modest CO2 reduction vs. a rising baseline. rff.org/publications/issue-b…
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There are some assumptions here that are open to question, but at least the RFF team is transparent about them. At the end of the day, though, those who have said this is not climate policy are correct. A scenario that leaves power sector emissions - which have long ...
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... been assumed to be the easiest to eliminate *higher than today* in the 2040s means that it's the baseline, not the policy case, that climate advocates should be focused on.
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Tony Dutzik retweeted
Replying to @noahqk
But I just want to note that the same people now expressing suspicion about the modeled results of the bill are quite comfy with modeled results when it suits them. This is why, again, all modeling is bad.
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Tapping the sign. Tappity-tap-tap.
Two things can be true: 1) BAAJA is unmodelable and people who purport to model its climate impacts are either guessing or trying to sell you something. 2) The modeling that's come out on certain supposedly pro-climate changes resulting from BAAJA is underwhelming ...
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Most of this isn't controversial. In conjuction with the administration's efforts to eliminate national monuments, repeal the roadless rule, etc., BAAJA would allow extractive activity on lands that have been, of late, protected, w/rubber stamp enviro review & little recourse.
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Technically, the bill provides a recourse for permits issued illegally or that creates certain types of urgent harm, but the exceptions are tiny and the burden of proof for the federal government is high.
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Tony Dutzik retweeted
SCOOP: Former Biden senior climate advisor John Podesta said senators should renegotiate the bipartisan permitting deal & he believes the bill’s permit certainty language hands Trump a “loaded Howitzer” to go after public lands. For @heatmap_news heatmap.news/politics/john-p…
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Tony Dutzik retweeted
Ford's $28,350 Ford Fathom EV pickup will come with onboard power conversion tech that will slash the cost of setting it up as a home backup battery. Will other automakers join Ford and Tesla in pursuing AC V2H? And will utilities let them plug in? canarymedia.com/articles/ele…
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A lot of people online forget what the "m" in YIMBY stands for. Nothing worse than people winging in from the peanut gallery with incredibly strong opinions about the neighborhood where you live. Crazy-making.
Replying to @MattBruenig
Have you been there? Do you have any idea what you're talking about? I'm extrem\ely curious. Do you have any sense, whatsoever, about the types of people who come together to use the bars and the networks that would be obliterated by a 2-year closure?
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Two things can be true: 1) BAAJA is unmodelable and people who purport to model its climate impacts are either guessing or trying to sell you something. 2) The modeling that's come out on certain supposedly pro-climate changes resulting from BAAJA is underwhelming ...
Are they really going to pass the biggest energy infrastructure bill in decades without *any* modeling of its estimated emissions impacts? @SenWhitehouse @SenatorHeinrich?
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It seems likely under that sceario that emissions in the policy case would not be much reduced - if reduced at all - from today's levels, even if only looking at the grid. Which is tough for a proposal that purports to be so essential for "climate" ...
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... that it's worth jeopardizing generations of progress in cleaning up our air and water and protecting wildlife and public lands.
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