President of GB Political | Former: @GOP - @NVGOP - @NVGOPSenate | Tweets are my own.
Las Vegas, NV
Joined October 2008
- Tweets3.5K
- Following1.3K
- Followers2K
- Likes10.9K
Pinned Tweet
Last week, I shared an early look at Nevada’s ballot returns and some interesting trends in congressional and #NVLEG districts.
Now I’ve built something to make it much easier to follow those numbers. data-point-research.com
Data Point Research, a project of GB Political LLC, has launched an interactive dashboard tracking voter turnout across Nevada.
You can explore statewide, county, congressional, legislative, and local races, compare historical election results, and even adjust how nonpartisan voters might affect the partisan turnout margins.
I’ll refresh the dashboard every morning with the previous day’s voting activity and add more local races in the coming days.
Still early, but now everyone can follow the numbers as they change.
Let me know if you have any questions or suggestions!
Checking in on the noon NVSOS numbers: Nevada's statewide Democratic turnout advantage has crossed D+37,000 -- the first of two benchmarks I've been watching.
📈Why does 37,000 matter?
As of Oct. 29, Republicans held a 37,853-voter advantage among those who voted in 3 or 4 of the last 4 general elections but had not yet recorded a 2026 ballot.
The Democratic turnout gap is now approaching that entire GOP advantage among historically consistent voters.
Next number I'm watching: D+40,000.
Happy Nevada Day (observed)! Today is the final day of in-person early voting, and expectations are high for a strong turnout on the state holiday.
611,151 Vote Records on data-point-research.com
Statewide: 🟦 D+5.5% (+33,479)
Congress: 🟦 3 🟥 1
NV Senate: 🟦 13 🟥 8
NV Assembly: 🟦 32 🟥 10 (5 #nvleg GOP seats are leaning D)
2026 turnout has reached 60% of the final 2022 total.
2026 early voting has already reached 92% of the 2022 EV total.
Two numbers I'm watching closely: D+36,000 and D+40,000.
Here's what makes this interesting: More than HALF of the current Democratic turnout advantage (17,628 voters) comes from people who participated in no more than 2 of the last 4 general elections.
But there's another side to the equation. As of Oct. 29, Republicans still held a 37,853-voter advantage among registered voters who participated in 3 or 4 of the last 4 general elections but have yet to vote in 2026.
Early voting ends today, but mail ballots will continue coming in through the weekend and Monday.
If the Democratic advantage crosses 40,000, the Nonpartisan vote becomes increasingly important to the Republican path forward.
And one more number worth watching: 55% of voters who haven't participated in the last four general elections and have cast a ballot in 26' are registered outside the two major parties.
Happy Nevada Day (observed)! Today is the final day of in-person early voting, and expectations are high for a strong turnout on the state holiday.
611,151 Vote Records on data-point-research.com
Statewide: 🟦 D+5.5% (+33,479)
Congress: 🟦 3 🟥 1
NV Senate: 🟦 13 🟥 8
NV Assembly: 🟦 32 🟥 10 (5 #nvleg GOP seats are leaning D)
2026 turnout has reached 60% of the final 2022 total.
2026 early voting has already reached 92% of the 2022 EV total.
Two numbers I'm watching closely: D+36,000 and D+40,000.
Here's what makes this interesting: More than HALF of the current Democratic turnout advantage (17,628 voters) comes from people who participated in no more than 2 of the last 4 general elections.
But there's another side to the equation. As of Oct. 29, Republicans still held a 37,853-voter advantage among registered voters who participated in 3 or 4 of the last 4 general elections but have yet to vote in 2026.
Early voting ends today, but mail ballots will continue coming in through the weekend and Monday.
If the Democratic advantage crosses 40,000, the Nonpartisan vote becomes increasingly important to the Republican path forward.
And one more number worth watching: 55% of voters who haven't participated in the last four general elections and have cast a ballot in 26' are registered outside the two major parties.
UPDATE: +57,291 new records on data-point-research.com 🟦+5.3% statewide.
I have added a statewide graph detailing voter age. Democratic voters are outperforming in all age categories under 55. NP's under 40 are also outperforming the GOP.
7 assembly races remain on the #nvleg "Races to Watch" page.
This guy gets it...
(Clark screenshot)
Today's update: +40,534 ballots. Statewide: D+4.8%
data-point-research.com is tracking 7 #nvleg assembly races to watch.
5 districts 🟥 flip to lean 🟦
2 districts are 🟥 to lean 🟥
⬆️+21,350 records from Sunday.
data-point-research.com
🟦 Statewide: D+ 4.9%
5 #nvleg races are still competitive. The GOP currently holds all of them.
📈NP turnout is up 33% in week 1 of Early Vote vs. 2022. This will be an incredibly important number to watch in week 2.
(No in-person rural voting on 10/25)
📊+37,628 new records on data-point-research.com
🟦Staetwide D+4.2%
New features today include:
✅ Expanded graphs
✅Voter turnout by partisan performance narrative
✅Vote history tables
✅ Updated "Races to Watch" section on the #NVLEG page. Races outside of a 6% margin drop off the list.
Greg Bailor retweeted
NASA shared space images from Mars.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
This video is not authentic NASA footage from Mars but a digital composite of rover surface images with an unrelated Earth star field. NASA has confirmed similar viral videos are fake.
x.com/NASAMars/statu…
youtube.com/watch?v=FRm_tS…
petapixel.com/2025/08/22/no-…
Las Vegas, North Las Vegas, Henderson, and Clark Commission G now join Reno, Sparks, and Clark Commissions E and F on the Local Races tab.
Week one of Nevada EV+Mail is in.
Statewide 🟦+3.4%
Congress 🟦3 🟥1
State Senate 🟦13 🟥8
State Assembly 🟦32 🟥10
data-point-research.com is tracking nearly 45,000 more ballots cast than at the same point in the 2022 midterm election.
Republicans have narrowed the statewide partisan turnout gap and made gains in two #nvleg districts. However, six districts remain highly competitive, with partisan turnout margins of less than five percentage points.
Greg Bailor retweeted
Remembering Sen. Bill Raggio on his 100th birthday
rgj.com/story/opinion/2026/1…
Week one of Nevada EV+Mail is in.
Statewide 🟦+3.4%
Congress 🟦3 🟥1
State Senate 🟦13 🟥8
State Assembly 🟦32 🟥10
data-point-research.com is tracking nearly 45,000 more ballots cast than at the same point in the 2022 midterm election.
Republicans have narrowed the statewide partisan turnout gap and made gains in two #nvleg districts. However, six districts remain highly competitive, with partisan turnout margins of less than five percentage points.
Greg Bailor retweeted
OpenAI’s autonomous AI systems have tried to prevent employees from monitoring their actions, and the company is not sure why. nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/o…
Greg Bailor retweeted
BREAKING: Iran says it will strike oil facilities, undersea cables, datacentres and AI facilities across as many as seven countries in the Gulf in the event of a fresh US-Israeli attack
📊Big update to Nevada's 2026 voter turnout numbers this morning. +64,000 since the last dashboard refresh.
244,122 voters have participated statewide. 🟦+4.1%
24% of the vote is in - compared to 2022 turnout.
Explore the numbers: data-point-research.com
#NVLEG
+39,445 records added to data-point-research.com
A few observations: 7 GOP Assembly Districts once considered safe in past elections are now in "toss-up" or "lean" ranges; 1 DEM swing district is in play.
Washoe Dems are voting by drop box 2:1 over the GOP.
I expect to have a rural refresh with tomorrow's upload.
As requested, I'll add North Las Vegas and Henderson to the local Races tab.
Nevada's latest mail ballot returns are here (10/16): 43,982 ballots, up 12,768 from yesterday.
Republicans continue to narrow the statewide gap, now D+3.4, down from D+4.5.
NV-2 has moved to R+3.6, while several #NVLEG districts remain close, including SD8, AD12, AD22, and AD40.
Early voting is underway. The next round of returns should be interesting.
