HMTN Analyst (@Gar80977209) profile picture
Joined June 2025
Photo by HMTN Analyst (@Gar80977209)Photo by HMTN Analyst (@Gar80977209)Photo by HMTN Analyst (@Gar80977209)Photo by HMTN Analyst (@Gar80977209)Photo by HMTN Analyst (@Gar80977209)Photo by HMTN Analyst (@Gar80977209)Photo by HMTN Analyst (@Gar80977209)Photo by HMTN Analyst (@Gar80977209)Photo by HMTN Analyst (@Gar80977209)Photo by HMTN Analyst (@Gar80977209)
The US Air Force wants counter-drone netting on aircraft sunshade structures at Tyndall AFB to keep small (Group 1) drones out of the interior to protect aircraft and personnel. The netting would go on all four sides of six structures, each about 630 ft long, 65 ft wide and 30 ft tall.
17
74
9
422
28,029
Hegseth & Musk are convenient scapegoats to end around the political loser that is attacking Trump
11
This is amusing, because it certainly looks like it was made by a Turkish person But could also be a Greek attempting to flex
🌍 Europe's Average price of prostitution by country. ooooh 🇹🇷Turkey!!! Top ✓ 🇹🇷Turkey – $350 ✓ 🇫🇷France – $210 ✓ 🇩🇰Denmark – $175 ✓ 🇺🇦Ukraine – $125 ✓ 🇨🇭Switzerland – $100 ✓ 🇮🇪Ireland – $80 ✓ 🇳🇱Netherlands – $70 ✓ 🇷🇸Serbia – $60 ✓ 🇬🇧United Kingdom – $53 ✓ 🇩🇪Germany – $50 ✓ 🇵🇱Poland – $50 ✓ 🇧🇬Bulgaria – $25 ✓ 🇬🇷Greece – $16 Source: (ListFist)
23
AI slop projection of a 50Mt surface burst. So much misinformation out there
This is the fallout if Trump Attacks Pickaxe Mountain with just ONE NUCLEAR BOMB Tens of Millions of People across the Region will get affected. This is NOT A JOKE. This must NOT HAPPEN.
21
My favorite sort of cope, as if Iran “isn’t really trying” to close Hormuz. Just like Russia “isn’t really trying” to take Ukraine. Otherwise, why would they be failing? Easier to believe a conspiracy than accept your heroes are weak
If the US drops a tactical nuclear weapon on Iran, expect the Strait of Hormuz to be closed for 50 years, the complete end of the petrodollar, Europe drowning in exorbitantly high energy prices, and a severe global economic crisis.
42
HMTN Analyst retweeted
If a nuclear weapon were used on Pick Axe mountain in Iran by the US or Israel or an empty field in Ukraine by Russia etc, it doesn’t matter, it would open up Pandora’s box and would make the U.S. and the world dramatically less safe. This isn’t even a question of how big of a disaster the use, in any manner, of a nuclear weapon would be. It would represent the largest foreign policy error ever by the United States if we were involved. We can only hope this claim isn’t accurate in any way.
252
1,544
103
14,310
1,755,773
Can we be honest for a second? Yes, the B-61 on its highest yield *will* destroy Pickake. Hardhat was only ~6kt. Mod 11 is 80x higher yield. Lying about what nukes can & can’t do is unbecoming We can say nuking Iran would be a political disaster without lying about everything
17
HMTN Analyst retweeted
Y'all forget that this GCC countries put in their order a couple months ago for 5,250 interceptors followed by the US ordering 3,436 interceptors for itself to replace what was utilized in the Middle East and that's before we get to the new package of 500 interceptors for Ukraine. Poland was supposed to get 600 Patriots by next year along with six Patriot batteries but due to Ukraine prioritization and Iran War that's been delayed. Switzerland was supposed to get five Patriot batteries starting this year and now due to Ukraine prioritization have to wait till 2032 at the earliest. The Sky Shield initiative 1,000 Patriot interceptor orderis not delayed by Ukraine prioritization but instead due to logistical bottlenecks in establishing their factory. The countries of this initiative that actually own Patriots are currently feeling a short-term inventory pinch due to Ukraine prioritization and have donated their active on hand interceptor stockpiles leaving European launchers sitting empty while they wait for industrial lead times. The reality is it's not a scam it's a big backlog and we all have had half a decade plus to increase our manufacturing output and haven't and are still doing shit on half a decade plus timetables. Now everyone is screaming and demanding they deserve Patriots before the other guy and all screaming unrealistic quantities that don't exist anymore and are going to have to wait for new factories that aren't slated to be open for two to four more years.
The PURL initiative is turning into a scam to replenish US stocks of PAC-3 interceptors. Do not expect Europeans to invest in a European solution — they seem to enjoy being scammed. Trump only needs to blackmail them.
7
31
3
188
21,498
On the Canadian Gripen idea… Almost no country purchasing F-35 is *also* buying a lower-end fighter (that isn’t a drone) Supplement with longer-ranged higher-payload aircraft like F-15EX, or buy CCA. Don’t fart around with an extra platform you don’t need
98
Would the UK use boomers to supplement their SSN shortage?
Exclusive: Three of Britain’s four nuclear deterrent submarines are out at sea in an "unusual" situation, @thetimes has been told It has been at least five years since this happened, according to former naval source thetimes.com/article/17663c5…
28
Eleventy-billion naval mines in all your largest ports. Checkmate No way to prevent this, I win
1) Deploy 100× Indian counter-battery radars (BEL Swathi/DRDO), detect Pakistani artillery at 30km and cue 300× Pinaka MLRS counter-battery fire within 60 seconds. 2) Deploy 500× naval mines at Karachi, Gwadar, and Ormara, layered minefields with acoustic and magnetic fuzes....
26
“Why is the country we invaded so worried about its security?”
Ukraine can have its own military. Nobody is arguing otherwise. But Russia also has security concerns, and those concerns cannot simply be dismissed because they come from Moscow. The issue is what happens when Ukraine’s military is increasingly integrated with NATO, an alliance Russia has opposed expanding towards its borders for decades. So why is Ukraine’s security treated as the only concern worth discussing, while Russia’s is dismissed outright?
15
"Bu-but if France nukes Moscow, Russia will nuke Paris!!" That's the point. Don't invade your neighbors
26
Ukraine received (estimating) ~$10b in direct military aid from the US in 2026. Congressionally appropriated weapons continue to be disbursed, although no new aid bills have passed this Congress. Deliveries continue. Anyone saying otherwise is lying to you, or just misinformed
1
31
"Ukraine receives nothing from the US" is a blatant lie
18
Gripen was designed to be produced domestically in Sweden because the Swedish government wanted this. It was a political decision, it does not imply the superiority of the platform in any way. Would you use this logic to pretend the Tejas is somehow superior to F-35?
Tough one. To believe a guy who used to drive a gas station, Or, a country with 80 yrs of experience in designing fighter jets to combat a larger opponent without a High-Low mix of less capable (F-35) and higher capable (F-22A) fighters. 🇸🇪 Smart fighters.
77
Imagine seeing the success of the F-35 in Iran & still panicking about its readiness
Good reporting. The F35 Blk4 upgrade still seems to have big problems & the GAO isn’t allowed to report them. While the June Modernization report was blocked, the June Readiness report was released. It showed costs are up & readiness is down. We need a mixed fleet ASAP.
20
Fantastic method to ensure no individual or private corporation ever develops a radically transformative technology like Starlink ever again
Government needs to have total control of the satellites that it uses for military and national security purposes. These are core functions of government. No private citizen should ever have a personal veto over how we conduct wars or gather intelligence.
7
Aircraft carriers allow American combat power to be delivered directly to Iranian shores from thousands of miles away. And Iran has yet to destroy or even damage an American warship, let alone a carrier. Have Iranian missile investments enabled them to strike the US mainland?
Carrier air wings have limited combat radius, and require multiple air-refueling to cover typical ranges that a sea-launched cruise missile is capable. Air-refueling drastically reduce the air-wing strike potential as extra fighters have to perform a refuelers with pods.
1
1
314
Impossible, I have been assured that every Ukrainian missile attack is intercepted
Footage of multiple Ukrainian Storm Shadow cruise missiles slamming into Russia’s Proton military electronics plant in Orel this weekend. The strike heavily damaged a chip fab at the factory.
20