Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1) header
Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1) profile picture

Chief Executive, Nuffield Foundation Previously: Exec Chair @resfoundation Find me at: @gavin-kelly.bsky.social

Joined October 2015
Photo by Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1)Photo by Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1)Photo by Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1)Photo by Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1)Photo by Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1)Photo by Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1)Photo by Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1)Photo by Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1)Photo by Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1)Photo by Gavin Kelly (@GavinJKelly1)
Personal news, as they say… I’m honoured and excited to be appointed Chief Executive of the Nuffield Foundation (starting in January 2025). It’s such an important institution with a vital mission, great team & huge role to play in the years ahead. nuffieldfoundation.org/news/…
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Keep reading/hearing the Budget results in a ‘massive expansion of the state’. Hang on. Here’s what is actually happening to overall public expenditure.
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This is maintaining a significantly higher level of spending than would have occurred under the previous administration's proposed (& implausible) cuts. But that is a very different thing.
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Have been saying this a lot over recent days.....
In the hours ahead you're going to hear that "business has been hit" by various taxes and also that taxes are ultimately paid by individuals (consumers and workers), and we all need to remember only one of these viewpoints work. Two analyses count: incentives, and incidence.
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Increased employer NICs, together with (welcome) strengthening of employee protection, means other steps must be taken to close the tax gap between employees & self-employed. Dealing with single worker status becomes more important. This can’t be kicked to a future parliament.
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With so much focus on public investment/debt rule, there is a slight risk that the scale of the challenge on day-to-day spending is understated in the current debate.
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With so much focus on public investment/debt rule, there is a slight risk that the scale of the challenge on day-to-day spending is understated in the current debate.
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Bigger picture: it's a brutal context for a first Budget – there's nothing left to cut & big increases in taxes on stagnant incomes is just very hard - don’t let anyone suggest otherwise.
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What a great appointment to a vital role.
I am grateful to UNSG @antonioguterres for this opportunity to serve. I will defend the humanitarian community, humanitarian values, and the people we serve.
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You are going to be hearing an awful lot about different possible fiscal rules over the next 4 weeks, so worth reading this short explainer by the excellent @JamesSmithRF @carapacitti
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Also, this stuff is seriously fiddly with lots of measurement/technical issues. If there is going to be a significant shift I do hope they set a direction then consult on the details and take the time needed to get it right.
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What a fine, moving, personal piece by @anandMenon1. Going to (try to) make my kids read this. tortoisemedia.com/2024/10/04…
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If you are old enough to remember the NF spreading hate & fear in your town's high street, and outside the school gate, then it strikes such a chord.
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