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🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
One week out, Democrats widen their lead to 4 points in the generic congressional ballot.
Among Likely Voters:
🟦 Democrats: 52% [+1]
🟥 Republicans: 48% [-1]
(+/- change vs September)
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | LV
EXCLUSIVE: Days before Election Day, @Mark_Penn breaks down our latest Harvard CAPS / HarrisX Poll, from the mood of the country to the midterms and foreign policy.
Watch his full conversation with @MarkHalperin on "Capital Intel" from @2waytvapp:
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
A majority of voters support the federal investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar, while 3 in 5 say she should lose her citizenship if found guilty of immigration fraud.
Support the investigation: 59%
If found guilty, Omar should…
• Have her US citizenship revoked and be deported: 45%
• Have her US citizenship revoked but not be deported: 16%
• Face criminal penalties but keep her US citizenship: 27%
• Face no penalties: 12%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Almost half of voters say Trump’s handling of the war in Ukraine makes them more likely to vote Democratic in the midterms, up 7 points since September.
• More likely to vote Democratic: 46% (+7)
• More likely to vote Republican: 28% (-1)
• No effect: 26% (-6)
(+/- change vs September)
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
59% of voters aged 18–24 support Hamas over Israel, while every other age group back Israel.
Support by age (Hamas / Israel):
18–24: 59% Hamas / 41% Israel
25–34: 40% / 60%
35–44: 37% / 63%
45–54: 27% / 73%
55–64: 21% / 79%
65+: 13% / 87%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Almost 8 in 10 voters agree Israel has a right to exist as the homeland of the Jewish people.
• Yes: 77%
• No: 23%
Yes By age:
• 18–24: 62%
• 25–34: 68%
• 35–44: 67%
• 45–54: 77%
• 55–64: 85%
• 65+: 89%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
With the midterms days away, here’s where things stand:
Generic Congressional Ballot (Likely Voters)
🟦 Democrats: 52%
🟥 Republicans: 48%
——
Trump Approval
Approve: 39% (New Low)
Disapprove: 59%
——
Wrong Track
Country: 59%
Economy: 64%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
HarrisX retweeted
EXCLUSIVE: Legendary pollster @Mark_Penn unveils the final Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll ahead of the election, and it was full of surprises. Watch Mark’s conversation about the poll with @MarkHalperin here:
Missed "Capital Intel" last night?
With Election Day one week away, @Mark_Penn joined @MarkHalperin on @2WAYTVAPP for an exclusive look at our latest Harvard / HarrisX polling on what’s driving American voters into the midterms.
Watch the full interview here: youtube.com/live/kRD8DjtYxjY…
HarrisX retweeted
Eye-catching, but perhaps not Iowa… The 2026 ad wars are getting nasty, but are they moving voters?
Tim Phillips, @JoeCunninghamSC, and @KR_Bledsoe joined me on “2WAY Tonight” to break down the campaigns and the forces shaping next week’s elections.
Plus, an EXCLUSIVE new poll from @Mark_Penn on the mood of the country, the midterms, and foreign policy.
Powered by @2WAYTVAPP x @HarrisXdata
youtube.com/watch?v=kRD8DjtY…
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
2028 Republican Primary:
JD Vance keeps his lead as the next GOP candidate, while Marco Rubio gains 4 points to tie with Don Trump Jr.
🔴 Vance: 40%
🔴 Trump Jr.: 21% (-3)
🔴 Rubio: 21% (+4)
🔴 RFK Jr.: 8%
(+/- change vs September)
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
Read the full October Harvard / HarrisX Poll Findings: harvardharrispoll.com/key-re…
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
2028 Democratic Primary:
Kamala Harris drops 5 points but maintains her lead as the Democratic frontrunner, with Newsom closing in at 20%.
🔵 Harris: 34% (-5)
🔵 Newsom: 20%
🔵 Ocasio-Cortez: 11%
🔵 Buttigieg: 10%
(+/- change vs September)
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
Read the full October Harvard / HarrisX Poll Findings: harvardharrispoll.com/key-re…
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Most have heard about the protests in France, with high immigration levels, poor integration, and economic issues most to blame.
• High levels of immigration and failed integration: 28%
• Economic problems and government debt: 26%
• Rising cost of living: 22%
• Distrust of political elites: 20%
• Poor educational policies: 4%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
Read the full October Harvard / HarrisX Poll Findings: harvardharrispoll.com/key-re…
Of those protests, 7 in 10 believe they have become violent, and a small majority say the violence is the result of student unrest.
Have the protests become violent?
• Have become violent: 69%
• Mainly peaceful: 31%
• Where is the violence mostly coming from?
• Students unhappy with education and cost of living: 55%
• Ultra-left agitators and other groups: 45%
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
A quarter of voters have used an AI chatbot to search for information about the midterms, rising to nearly half for those under 25.
Used AI for midterm information, by age:
• 18–24: 48%
• 25–34: 43%
• 35–44: 31%
• 45–54: 22%
• 55–64: 17%
• 65+: 8%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Democrats now lead Republicans on trust to manage the economy, flipping a 2-point GOP edge in September.
Who do you trust more to deal with the economy?
🟦 Democrats in Congress: 53% (+4)
🟥 Trump and Republicans in Congress: 47% (-4)
Independents:
🟦 Democrats in Congress: 58% (+4)
🟥 Trump and Republicans in Congress: 42% (-4)
(+/- change vs September)
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
Read the full October Harvard / HarrisX Poll Findings: harvardharrispoll.com/key-re…
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Overall, many Trump policies remain very popular, especially lowering drug prices, easing fuel taxes, deporting criminal illegal immigrants, and providing $5,000 payments.
Most Popular:
• Lowering prescription drug prices: 84%
• Temporarily easing diesel fuel taxes for farmers and truckers: 77%
• Deporting immigrants who are here illegally and have committed crimes: 76%
• Requiring proof of citizenship and photo ID to vote: 72%
• Providing $5,000 payments to every American adult: 69%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
54% say the U.S economy is worse today than under Biden.
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
7 in 10 voters are confident the 2026 midterms will be conducted fairly and accurately.
• Very confident: 27%
• Somewhat confident: 43%
• Not very confident: 21%
• Not at all confident: 9%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9
🚨 BREAKING @Harvard / @HarrisXdata Poll:
Just over half of voters say Democrats winning at least one chamber would be better for the country.
Which outcome would be better for the country?
• Democrats win at least one chamber: 56%
• Republicans keep control of both the House and Senate: 44%
Harvard / HarrisX | 10/24–10/26 | 2,700 RV | ±1.9


















