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Token prices are down -90% in six months. 1% of enterprises account for 85% of OpenAI and Anthropic spend. Hedgeye Global Technology Analyst Felix Wang joins $HEFT Portfolio Manager R. Patrick Kent @RPKInvestor to discuss the AI trade’s financing problem.
0:00 Welcome @HedgeyeTech, Credit Spreads Widening and Small Caps Down 10%
2:50 Hyperscale CapEx Is the Key Indicator for AI Direction
4:04 Token Volumes Up 30 to 40% Month Over Month, Token Prices Down 90% in Six Months
6:31 1% of Enterprises Account for 80 to 85% of OpenAI and Anthropic Spend
9:31 Over 1,000 Models and Dario’s Pacing Argument Is Imagination
12:31 Freeze the Models Today, 99% of Productivity Gains Still Come From Implementation
15:48 No More Large-Scale AI IPOs This Year, Anthropic Will Need a 30 to 50% Cut
18:43 ARR Became Annualized Run Rate, and Overall Spend Is Slowing
24:11 The Memory Bear Case, Get Around the Memory Wall Instead of Solving It
29:37 China Is 30% of Memory Demand, CXMT and YMTC at Parity With the Cartel
33:32 Nvidia’s Rubin Timeline Is Slipping One to Two Quarters
37:34 Jensen Named Working Capital as the Problem, and the Market Sold Off
40:41 NeoClouds Don’t Turn Profitable Until Late 2028, If the Contracts Hold
Every TREND breaks in the same order.
1) Higher Highs stop
2) A Lower High prints
3) TRADE support gives way
4) A Lower Low confirms it
By step 4, you should already be out.
The tell is step 2. The first Lower High is the only clue that shows up before the price damage does.
The full formation guide lives here:
app.hedgeye.com/education
Replying to @HedgeyeDJ
Throwback to last Christmas when an oz. of Silver cost more than a barrel of oil.
Hedgeye Asset Management retweeted
I'm sorry to inform you that the comps haven't even gotten difficult yet.
🚨 TODAY AT 1 PM ET
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FREE WEBCAST TOMORROW | 1pm ET
Adjust for the Downside. Aim for the Upside.
Hedgeye Asset Management CIO John McNamara and PM R. Patrick Kent @RPKInvestor on dynamic, rules-based hedging across equities and Bitcoin.
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“They are the first ones to blow up, no doubt about it, in my whole coverage space, because they are so levered up.”
Global Tech Sector Head Felix Wang @HedgeyeTech on the neoclouds, from the latest Protect the Pile with $HEFT PM R. Patrick Kent @RPKInvestor.
Read the full recap 👇 app.hedgeye.com/insights/188…
Hedgeye Asset Management retweeted
Keith McCullough: The AI bubble is already bursting, and the worst may still be ahead.
I spoke with Hedgeye founder Keith McCullough as markets took another beating, and even he was caught off guard.
He had invested in Brazil ahead of the election. Lula won, Brazilian stocks plunged, and Keith took a painful loss.
But his bigger concern is America.
He believes the AI bubble is already collapsing beneath the surface, with some of the most speculative stocks down roughly 75% from their peaks.
Meanwhile, oil remains above $100, inflation is accelerating, and another war with Iran could leave the Federal Reserve unable to rescue markets.
Keith thinks U.S economic growth could fall from nearly 4% to just 1% within nine months.
Ordinary families are already struggling with prices, job insecurity and the cost of war. Now the wealth created by the AI boom could start disappearing, too.
And Keith fears that if Washington responds by bailing out wealthy investors again, the public backlash could be enormous.
@KeithMcCullough
Grateful to be at the @FOXexchange Family Forum today.
Neil Howe's (@HoweGeneration) session, "The Fourth Turning Is Here," is a powerful look at what comes next for America and the next generation. Thank you to the FOX team for bringing together such thoughtful people and conversations.
#FOXFamilyForum
Hedgeye Asset Management retweeted
Buy Treasury bond, repo it, short future against it, buy more bonds, repeat ad infinitum... or at least until you are levered 30:1. All works great unless repo rates jump. See 2020-2021 for examples of this.
We were honored to ring in a year of growth at the @NYSE. Thank you to the clients, investors, and partners who made it possible.
HAM FOR LUNCH | @HedgeyeAM
Join Hedgeye CEO @KeithMcCullough and 3 portfolio managers for a candid conversation on where they're seeing opportunity and risk in today's markets.
📅 Tuesday, October 20 at 11:00 AM ET
Click for FREE access, Live or On-Demand:
Hedgeye Asset Management retweeted
What a day…
cnbc.com/video/2026/10/16/op…
The NYSE welcomes @HedgeyeAM to highlight its NYSE-Listed funds!
$HBIT | $HECA | $HEFT | $HGRO nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1vJpPNmke…














