The GOP's Senate Leadership Find is out with its last major pre-election buy, dropping $38.8 million on 10 races
$12,369,922 #OHSen
$7,251,507 #IASen
$3,986,605 #MESen
$3,908,919 #KSSen
$3,817,265 #SCSen
$2,183,750 #NESen
$1,922,573 #AKSen
$1,466,329 #NHSen
$1,200,000 #MISen
$660,497 #MSSen
IΛMƧIᄂKY retweeted
Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy won’t commit to certifying the US Senate race if Mary Peltola wins
What are we doing here?
We’ve all heard of Polymarket, but how does it work — and what are traders actually watching as Election Day approaches?
@JHoganGidley, @Yemisi, @keendawg, and David Bensoussan from @scottonpoly joined me to break down the odds, the big wins and losses, and the races drawing the most attention on last night's 2WAY x Polymarket Midterm Special.
Watch for the race-by-race analysis and what traders are seeing that could shape the final stretch of the midterms.
Powered by @2WAYTVAPP x @Polymarket
youtube.com/watch?v=yI8wWHnE…
IΛMƧIᄂKY retweeted
What a heartbreaking week it has been. Sir Patrick Stewart was a friend, a colleague, and a magnificent actor. From the stage to the bridge of the Enterprise, he brought intelligence, grace, and a deep sense of humanity to everything he did. Captain Picard stood for the best of us, and so did the man who played him. I was filled with affection and admiration for him and his work.
My heart goes out to Sunny and his family. He will be deeply missed.
A lot of people are still upset over what happened in 2024. As a professional crypto degen since ETH launched, I know market manipulation when I see it... and there has never been more power handed to the market movers.
If you want to jump aboard the theory that people are rigging the betting markets (tanking the odds of the likely winner to buy him low), the Kansas “concession by GOP leaders” should be the spark for that.
If Trump cancelled a KS rally because he thought it was lost, he should just rest up for the next two years because the Senate would go 55-45 D
IΛMƧIᄂKY retweeted
Kara Swisher: "They could just pick a few people. To me, that's the way you go. You pick like a Hegseth, a Musk, and I don't know, Big Balls."
"Rather than go for Trump, go for everybody. Make it so broad that it'll exhaust people who just do want to move on."
The left is already celebrating, and they're telling us exactly what they plan to do after the midterms. GET OUT AND VOTE!
IΛMƧIᄂKY retweeted
Our models are beginning to give us a clearer picture of the Senate with six days to go.
IΛMƧIᄂKY retweeted
Red counties in Texas are slowly and steadily on track to almost unanimously clear their 2022 midterm turnout, some by 30% or more or up to presidential.
None of the big four blue counties appear to be on track to hit their presidential counts, which is where I factored them during my worst case analysis. Travis needs to hang 200k votes in the last two days of EV + ED to get there. And they had 103% of previous presidential turnout in 2018.
Talarico still on pace to lose 40k or more of O’Rourke margin in El Paso.
If "polling" and the big "modelling" groups miss badly people should focus their questions at how all of the ones pushing out pro Democrat EVERYTHING are tied to Kalshi.
IΛMƧIᄂKY retweeted
Sloppy!
.@POTUS absolutely DESTROYS Fake News @jacobbogage:
"You are a SICK guy! Reuters is terrible, by the way. Look at this guy — he's way out of shape... You are disgusting. Put yourself in shape. You look like hell." 🤣🤣🤣
5:30PM Florida Update:
At this point yesterday Republicans were R+11.9 (+28,641) with a total margin of R+1.4 (+54,349). +13.0 (+33,197) today.
Today's total margin sits at R+1.9 (+79,365).
The 4PM+ "witching hour" is less noticeable but still a constant.
IΛMƧIᄂKY retweeted
BREAKING: DOJ has issued 30+ subpoenas in the last 24 hours as part of criminal investigation into how Dan J. Sullivan appeared on the Alaska ballot and what potential coordination there was w/ the Peltola campaign, DOJ sources tell colleague @davidspunt
IΛMƧIᄂKY retweeted
Massive overflow crowd just minutes ahead of @JDVance at our Parker County GOTV rally.
IΛMƧIᄂKY retweeted
Yeah, this one's over. And we never should've started this.
Thanks for the confirmation that this election is just going be around D+2 when comparing 2026 polls to 2020 polls (2020 being the last time we polls from an election during a Trump presidency and an R Senate majority)
ECU has South Carolina U.S. Senate as Darline Graham +4. In their mid-October 2020 poll, they had it as Lindsey Graham +3. Graham improves by 1 point poll-to-poll.
IΛMƧIᄂKY retweeted
This should be a screaming warning for democrats all over the country. The NYT, a week before a midterm, has decided to attack democrats in multiple states over the course of multiple days. This is not what you would expect with a "blue wave".
Breaking News: The chief executive of California’s High-Speed Rail Authority has abruptly resigned after a recent state report that found that the agency had misused nearly $600,000 to pay for the travel of consultants. This is a developing story. nyti.ms/4zoacHi




































