Since 1999, only 5 teams have scored fewer first-quarter points through 7 games than New Orleans (6).
Cleveland has been outscored in the first quarter 65-13.
Since 1999, we’ve seen 4 matchups of teams this bad in the first quarter.
First quarter scores in those matchups: 3-0, 3-0, 3-9, 0-0.
Buckle up!
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OWS MEMBER WITH A 200K BINK 💰
The community dominated FD and DK in Week 8 with loads of 4, 5, and 6 figure winners🔥
Huge congrats to all the winners this weekend!
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WEEK 9 FIRST LOOK 🏈
The early week breakdown through the lens of StatATL
BRONCOS 🟠@ PANTHERS 🐈⬛
Bryce Young ($5,500) is an intriguing option in a matchup that probably won't jump off the page for most of the field.
Denver has seen opposing QBs attempt 30 or fewer passes in four of eight games, those quarterbacks all failed to throw for 220 yards or more than two passing TDs.
The four QBs who attempted 40+ passes all produced at least 288 total yards.
Young has attempted 36 or more passes in seven of eight games this season, including three games with 40+ attempts.
The ground matchup doesn't stand out for either team, despite DraftKings highlighting bottom-10 matchups for both backfields.
Carolina held Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs under 82 total yards after allowing D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai to each rush for 100 yards earlier in the season.
Jonah Coleman ($5,300) will likely attract ownership after his strong Week 8 performance, but an underwhelming outcome feels possible if the TDs don't break his way.
Chuba Hubbard ($6,500) is more interesting to me, with 29 touches in two of his last three outings.
Through the air, Denver has allowed several strong performances, most notably Jaxon Smith-Njigba (12-134-0), Davante Adams (7-137-0) and Trey McBride (10-111-1).
Tetairoa McMillan, averaging 9.5 targets per game, is my early favorite stacking partner if playing Bryce Young.
COWBOYS 🤠@ COLTS 🐎
My first thought was that this would be an intriguing spot for Javonte Williams, coming off back-to-back games with 25 touches.
The matchup stands out. Indianapolis has allowed Derrick Henry, Kenneth Walker, Jaylen Warren and Bhayshul Tuten to each surpass 150 total yards this season.
The Colts have lost four straight, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see Daniel Jones benched for Anthony Richardson soon as the season continues to slip away.
Dallas presents a solid on-paper matchup for the Colts backfield, but Jonathan Taylor only saw 12 touches last weekend, likely influenced by rumors of a potential trade.
Through the air, the matchup doesn't stand out for CeeDee Lamb or George Pickens. Zay Flowers has been the only WR to crack 20 DK points against Indianapolis all season.
At just $2,900, Brevyn Spann-Ford is an intriguing punt play at TE with Jake Ferguson dealing with an ankle injury.
I'm not sure any Colt is playable currently, even in a plus matchup.
JETS ✈️@ CHIEFS 🏹
Let me preface this by saying I'm not advocating to play Geno Smith ($4,900) on the road here, but the stable of quarterbacks Kansas City has faced this season is far from intimidating.
Daniel Jones, Malik Willis, Justin Herbert, Kirk Cousins, Sam Darnold and Bo Nix twice make up that group. Geno is at least mildly intriguing at his price.
The main challenge is figuring out his stacking partner. Omar Cooper Jr. has two games with 25+ DK points, Garrett Wilson has two, while Kenyon Sadiq and Adonai Mitchell have each exceeded 25 DK points once.
On the ground, Braelon Allen has been incredible in Breece Hall's absence, recording four straight games with 100+ total yards. Hall is expected back this week, unfortunately tempering the excitement around the Jets backfield.
On the other side, Kenneth Walker gets an appealing matchup. He's seen at least 18 touches every week, while Jahmyr Gibbs, Kyle Monangai and Ollie Gordon all exceeded 100 total yards with at least one TD against the Jets.
Of note, Gibbs and Ashton Jeanty also added 60+ receiving yards.
Through the air, the matchup doesn't stand out for any pass catcher.
LIONS 🦁@ DOLPHINS 🐬
Even on the road, this is an interesting spot for the Detroit offense. Miami has allowed 24 or more points in every game but one.
After back-to-back difficult matchups, the game sets up nicely for Jahmyr Gibbs. An opposing RB has topped 22 DK points against Miami in more than half of its games.
Through the air, the best matchup is with Sam LaPorta. George Kittle, Travis Kelce, T.J. Hockenson and Mason Taylor have all recorded at least 59 receiving yards and a TD against the Dolphins.
On the other side, this is a very intriguing spot for Malik Willis.
Every opposing QB has thrown at least two TDs against Detroit, while only Kyler Murray, with 245 passing yards, failed to top 274 total yards.
Detroit's defense had been one we were targeting early in the season but had recently looked much better. However, the Lions suffered multiple significant defensive injuries during their Week 8 game against Minnesota.
If multiple of Brian Branch, Jack Campbell, DJ Wonnum and D.J. Reed were to miss, I'd likely have interest in Willis paired with Malik Washington and/or Caleb Douglas, both in the $4K range.
Greg Dulcich ($3,100) is also appealing, with five or more targets in three straight games. He's only behind Malik Washington in red-zone targets on the year.
BROWNS 🟤@ SAINTS ⚜️
A tough spot for Tyler Shough. Only two QBs have accounted for more than one TD against Cleveland this season, while the last four opposing QBs all failed to throw for 200 yards.
New Orleans offers a middling matchup for Deshaun Watson, who is coming off back-to-back 300-yard passing performances.
At $5,200, Watson has some initial appeal, although teams tend to focus their attack on the ground against the Saints.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Bijan Robinson, Aaron Jones and Jaylen Warren all accounted for at least 117 total yards against New Orleans, with only Warren failing to add a TD.
At $5,400, Quinshon Judkins is intriguing. Jaylen Warren has been the only RB1 not to score against the Saints, despite accounting for 137 total yards.
Through the air, the matchup doesn't stand out for Chris Olave ($7,400). Garrett Wilson (7-104-1) is the only pass catcher to top 20 DK points against Cleveland all season, while Olave himself has only topped 23 DK points once.
The Saints DST initially has some appeal in the mid-range, as Deshaun Watson leads the NFL in sacks taken.
GIANTS 🔵 @ EAGLES 🦅
The Giants are coming off their bye and are a week removed from J.J. McCarthy leading them to a 27-21 win over Houston in his first start with New York.
Philadelphia has been an above-average matchup for opposing QBs this season, and at $4,800, McCarthy has some appeal.
Through the air, CeeDee Lamb, Tommy Tremble, Kalif Raymond, Luther Burden, Puka Nacua and Parker Washington have all topped 19 DK points against the Eagles over the past six weeks.
That doesn't even include Jalen Coker (6-97) and Tetairoa McMillan (8-86), who also had solid performances during that stretch.
Malik Nabers ($7,300) has seen 51 targets over the past four weeks and has produced four straight games with 110+ yards.
For some reason, he's still priced under $7,500 and initially stands out as my favorite WR on the slate.
On the other side, there's plenty of uncertainty around Philadelphia's receivers early in the week. If DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks were both to miss again, Makai Lemon ($4,700) becomes very intriguing as his role has continued to grow over the past few weeks.
RAMS 🐏 @ COMMANDERS ⛑️
An interesting spot for Matthew Stafford. We've seen some really strong QB performances against Washington this season.
Dak Prescott, Sam Darnold and Jameis Winston all topped 300 total yards with at least three TDs. Darnold and Dak both had four.
We've also seen multiple 30-point DK performances from Stafford this year. It's early in the week, but I expect him to go overlooked, especially without Davante Adams on this slate.
On the other side, Jayden Daniels has some appeal with his rushing ability. Josh Allen ran for over 120 yards and a TD against the Rams a few weeks ago.
The matchup is middling for both backfields, and neither stands out.
Through the air, only three WRs have seen nine or more targets against Washington this season: JSN, Malik Nabers and CeeDee Lamb.
All three are alpha receivers.
The worst score of the bunch came from Nabers, who managed an 11-121-1 line for 32.1 DK points.
Puka Nacua has seen double-digit targets most weeks and, along with Nabers, jumps out on this slate.
The matchup for Washington's WRs doesn't stand out, but Treylon Burks and Antonio Williams are interesting value options with Terry McLaurin on IR.
Chig Okonkwo ($3,600) also has some appeal.
TEXANS 🐂@ CHARGERS ⚡️
Another strong on-paper spot for Justin Herbert, but this Chargers offense continues to look unplayable.
On the other side, it's a below-average spot for C.J. Stroud. I'm not sure I'll have interest in either signal-caller this week.
What does stand out is the Houston backfield and the potential for Woody Marks to be the only game in town again this week for the Texans.
Marks has seen 17 or more touches in three straight games and stands out as a solid midrange option at $5,700 if David Montgomery were to miss again.
Through the air, the spot jumps out for Ladd McConkey, as opposing pass catchers have smashed against Houston. I'm just not sure I can get there on an 11-game slate with plenty of other solid options.
Initially, my interest in this game is solely Woody Marks and potentially the Texans DST.
RAIDERS ☠️@ 49ERS ⛏️
Brock Purdy ($6,800) has some appeal as the 49ers expect to welcome back his top receiving weapon, Mike Evans, this week.
The Raiders have already allowed Drake Maye and Tyler Shough to each account for 290+ yards and four or more TDs over the last six weeks. Geno Smith also threw for 294 yards and two TDs last week.
On the other side, the matchup is middling for Kirk Cousins, who doesn't stand out on the road.
The ground game is intriguing for Las Vegas. Ashton Jeanty has seen his workload decrease every week, going from 23 carries in Week 1 to just two last week.
Mike Washington Jr. ($5,200) saw 25 carries last week and is an interesting midrange option.
On the San Francisco side, Christian McCaffrey stands out.
Opposing RBs have smashed against the Raiders, with Braelon Allen, Kyren Williams, James Cook, Kenneth Walker, Omarion Hampton and Blake Corum all accounting for 100+ total yards and at least one TD.
Through the air, Mike Evans is interesting, especially if pairing him with Purdy.
George Kittle also has appeal, as Juwan Johnson, Davis Allen and Noah Fant all produced multiple-TD games against the Raiders.
On the other side, Brock Bowers is always in play, but finds himself in a below-average spot at $7,900.
PACKERS 🧀@ PATRIOTS 🟦
On paper, this is a tough spot for both quarterbacks. At $6,300 for Jordan Love and $7,000 for Drake Maye, a ceiling game from either feels less likely than usual.
On the ground, the return of Josh Jacobs has been a significant boost to the Green Bay run game.
However, New England has yet to allow an opposing RB to top 78 rushing yards, while only Ashton Jeanty has added more than 34 receiving yards.
The Patriots backfield has the better on-paper matchup, but with TreVeyon Henderson likely to return after missing Week 8 with an illness, I'd expect the backfield to revert to a timeshare between Rhamondre Stevenson, Corey Kiner and Henderson.
Through the air, both teams have some appeal.
The Patriots have been beatable in the secondary, with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Keon Coleman, Omar Cooper Jr., Luther Burden and Brock Bowers all surpassing 100 receiving yards and a TD against them this season.
As such, Christian Watson and Matthew Golden are intriguing, even at their elevated prices above $7K.
On the other side, A.J. Brown ($5,800) would have some appeal if active.
Jameson Williams, Justin Jefferson, Drake London and Amon-Ra St. Brown have all posted games of 26+ DK points against Green Bay.
CARDINALS 🐦 @ SEAHAWKS 🟢
I was excited about the possibility of playing newly named starter Gardner Minshew ($4,500) this week until I saw that he'd be on the road in Seattle.
Caleb Williams was the first QB to top 190 yards against the Seahawks, throwing for 247. Initially, I don't think Minshew is going to make my player pool this week.
An interesting spot for Sam Darnold ($5,600) on the other side.
Over the past seven weeks, Arizona has allowed Drew Lock, Brock Purdy, Jameis Winston, Jared Goff, Dak Prescott and Bo Nix to all top 19.8 fantasy points, despite none attempting more than 30 passes.
The Cardinals have allowed several notable WR performances, including JSN's massive 9-155-3 outing when these teams met in Week 2.
If playing Darnold, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the obvious stacking partner with 89 targets on the season.
The ground matchup is middling for both teams, but if Bam Knight (concussion) were to miss with Jeremiyah Love already on IR, Tyler Allgeier ($5,400) would be appealing after a career-high 39.1 DK points last week.
Through the air, Seattle has been one of the stingiest defenses against both WRs and TEs.
Neither Michael Wilson nor Trey McBride stands out initially, although the Kendrick Bourne fractured tibia may condense Arizona's targets even further.
There are several injury situations that could reshape the slate, particularly in Detroit, Philadelphia, San Francisco and New England.
These are the initial reads, not final decisions. We'll keep evaluating the matchups, roles and ownership as the week develops.
Check out @wgabelman's First Look and Late Look every week in The Scroll at OneWeekSeason
This is probably a hot take, but I don’t think Jeanty is permanently out as the “rusher” in Las Vegas (2 carries to 25 for Washington). We had Jeanty’s quotes last week about the Jets not wanting to tackle. Combine that with his ineffectiveness on the ground, and it felt like there’s at least a chance it was an old-school coach “message-sending” sort of situation (see Harbaugh/Skattebo earlier this year).
Kubiak didn’t provide much clarity:
"That's my call and Ashton's still going to be a big part of our team…We just wanted to give Mike a few more opportunities today."
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percentage share of team targets (min 2 games, weeks 1-7):
1. JAXON SMITH-NJIGBA - 34.5%
2. AMON-RA ST. BROWN - 30.5%
3. CEEDEE LAMB - 29.7%
4. MALIK NABERS - 29.0%
5. DRAKE LONDON - 27.9%
6. trey mcbride - 27.6%
7. zay flowers - 26.2%
8. isaiah likely - 26.1%
9. CHRIS OLAVE - 26.0%
10. malik washington - 25.8%
11. MATTHEW GOLDEN - 25.5%
12. PARKER WASHINGTON - 25.0%
13. GARRETT WILSON - 24.6%
14. CARNELL TATE - 24.5%
15. EMEKA EGBUKA - 23.9%
16. MICHAEL WILSON - 23.3%
17. tetairoa mcmillan - 23.2%
18. TEE HIGGINS - 22.8%
19. puka nacua - 22.1%
20. DK METCALF - 21.9%
percentage share of team air yards (weeks 1-7):
1. JAXON SMITH-NJIGBA - 51.1%
2. CARNELL TATE - 46.9%
3. CHRIS OLAVE - 45.1%
4. TEE HIGGINS - 45.1%
5. denzel boston - 45.0%
6. DRAKE LONDON - 43.9%
7. PARKER WASHINGTON - 41.2%
8. CEEDEE LAMB - 40.7%
9. DK METCALF - 40.4%
10. MATTHEW GOLDEN - 40.0%
11. jaylen waddle - 37.0%
12. MALIK NABERS - 36.3%
13. GARRETT WILSON - 36.3%
14. MICHAEL WILSON - 35.6%
15. mike evans - 34.8%
16. AMON-RA ST. BROWN - 34.5%
17. EMEKA EGBUKA - 34.2%
18. davante adams - 34.0%
19. jahan dotson - 33.4%
20. rome odunze - 33.1%





















