@JustinTLogan
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Director of defense and foreign policy studies, @CatoFP. Review wines at @WinesFromLatAm.
Washington, DC
Joined April 2013
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We precipitated the nightmare scenario in the Persian Gulf, and the economic sky didn’t fall.
Another piece of evidence the United States would do well to simply leave the region.
Taking a step back from the ups-and-downs of the oil market, one remarkable feat: global economic growth remains largely unchanged since the spring.
@KGeorgieva: "Steady global growth has continued"
The IMF/WB annual gathering is next week: imf.org/en/news/articles/202…
Justin Logan retweeted
Merz musing about eliminating the secret ballot. Normal "democracy" moment in Europe nitter.cf/clashreport/status/210…
Germany’s Chancellor Merz:
In the state election in Saxony-Anhalt, voters gave the AfD and the BSW, two authoritarian and extremist parties, a combined absolute majority for the first time.
It was a secret ballot. We do not know who exactly gave their votes to the AfD candidate.
How and whether this secret ballot can ever be clarified remains to be seen.
But for me, one thing is clear: Anyone who votes for a member of a far-right extremist party to become president of the state parliament must reconcile that with their conscience.
Relatable, tbh.
SCOOP: Ken Paxton, asked about the biggest drag on his campaign, said, "It's the war, it's gas prices," per audio obtained by @axios
He agreed he can't stop the Iran War and said: "I don't ... know what's behind some of the decisions."
w/ @StefWKight
axios.com/2026/10/07/ken-pax…
POTUS shouldn't suggest the choice was between this war or Iran nuking LA or SD because it wasn't.
But the idea that he was *calling on Iran to nuke LA or SD* is so dumb that I would prefer not to entertain the idea that's what anyone thought he said.
The former US Ambassador to Russia, who bragged to Glenn Greenwald that he makes a million dollars a year at Stanford, cannot listen or think, apparently.
I oppose this war as much as anybody. But there's no reason to saw off your prefrontal cortex.
Justin Logan retweeted
Oil is flowing through Hormuz, and prices are $100/barrel.
That’s not a contradiction.
Oil is moving *because* prices are $100/barrel.
That’s the risk premium necessary for crews to risk their lives and insurers to underwrite it.
$100/barrel also makes land routes through Syria economical.
Without US naval assistance, the market clearing prices for oil would be even higher.
But is it really a US victory for prewar oil flows to resume at $100/barrel instead of the $60-70/barrel we had before the Iran War?
Especially when we have to devote 30% of deployed USN vessels to achieve $100/barrel oil?
Justin Logan retweeted
How insulting to your own country.
If the American or English or French patriot can achieve just one tenth of what has been achieved, built, celebrated, and defended in Israel, I would submit that the future of the West will be the brighter for it."
— Rusty Reno of @FirstThingsMag at NatCon Jerusalem.
Critics of US foreign policy need to use the phrase "learned helplessness" more.
Here is @jekavanagh and me: foreignaffairs.com/europe/le…
NOT ALL DC THINK-TANK HACKS
Emmanuel Macron says American free speech is "the opposite of free speech." In his view, freedom only exists inside a "common framework" set by the state.
He compared posting an insult online to hitting someone in the street. Those are different things, because one is speech and the other is violence.
He wants people punished for posting "nonsense," with state-backed fact-checkers deciding what qualifies. He wants a verified identity behind every social media account. He has written to Ursula von der Leyen demanding the DSA be enforced "much faster, much more forcefully."
reclaimthenet.org/macron-urg…
Justin Logan retweeted
TODAY: US opposition to Iran war hits all-time high in poll aggregator, support hits all-time low.
natesilver.net/p/iran-war-po…
Indeed: "Using the Pacific as the bill payer for war in the Middle East, and the risks to readiness incurred as a consequence, deserve significant scrutiny from Congress." -@katherinet57 cato.org/blog/card-congress-…
“Several countries, although neither Russia nor China” is tantalizing.
This quoted post is unavailable.
Thrown together a bit randomly but a good first cut. Missing Kraftwerk and Pretty Hate Machine, probably a few others.
