Kaveh Azarhoosh

Call it what's forming: a de facto air-and-sea denial zone over southern Iran, assembled wave by wave, no declaration required and is extending the fight from the Strait deep into the mainland to sever the regime's supply lines to its coast and islands. U.S. strikes across the Southern Iran have systematically dismantled coastal air defenses, radar, and missile/drone sites from Bandar Abbas to Greater Tunb, Kish, Qeshm, and Abu Musa, shaping for bigger operations ahead. In the meantime, the Naval blockade is crippling Tehran's economy and the flow of commerce through the southern provinces. A no fly zone requires basing, overflight, and political cover from regional states already absorbing IRGC retaliation in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, and Qatar. A 24/7 air-denial regime over south Iran is operationally plausible given current suppression of air defenses, but politically it demands a coalition. This will evolve the current operations into sustained interdiction of inland logistics corridors feeding the coast with military assets.

MAGA Senator Says Greenland Needs to Be Saved From “Radical Mullahs” trib.al/gcqOOMv

Is the United States Preparing for a Ground Invasion of #Iran? 🔹The escalating pattern of U.S. strikes against southern Iran in recent days – particularly over the past several hours – may point to a gradual strategy aimed at preparing the ground for a potential deployment of ground forces. Such an operation, if it were to materialize, could be intended to seize control of Iran’s southern coastal belt in order to remove Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz. 🔹Reports indicate that recent U.S. strikes have targeted several bridges and railway links in southern Iran. At the same time, there have been reports of attacks on airports. These actions may have been intended to disrupt the logistics and mobility of Iranian military forces in the south. Additional reports also suggest strikes against fuel tankers in Bandar Abbas. 🔹Meanwhile, attacks in Sistan and Baluchestan in southeastern Iran targeted the Iranian Army’s 88th Armored Division, alongside similar strikes against positions of the 92nd Armored Division in Khuzestan in the southwest. Some analysts interpret these operations as an effort to degrade Iran’s military capabilities along its principal southern axes, aimed at reducing the risks associated with any future ground deployment. 🔹At the same time, in what appears to be a recurring pattern, U.S. strikes have continued to target Iranian military, missile, drone, and radar installations, as well as IRGC Navy facilities along Iran’s southern coastline on the Persian Gulf. 🔹Taken together, these developments increasingly suggest a gradual but persistent U.S. movement toward a possible ground operation in southern Iran. In other words, the campaign may extend beyond simply degrading Iran’s ability to threaten shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. It could instead indicate that Washington views control of Iran’s southern coastal strip as the only definitive solution to the Strait of Hormuz challenge. 🔹If such an approach exists, it would go well beyond earlier ideas centered on seizing Kharg Island to cut off Iran’s oil exports or occupying islands overlooking the Strait to secure maritime traffic. However, given the length of Iran’s southern coastline – roughly 1,800 kilometers – and the country’s considerable strategic depth, establishing comprehensive control would likely require hundreds of thousands of troops. Moreover, even capturing these areas would not necessarily translate into the ability to sustain long-term control. 🔹In any event, current indicators suggest that we may be approaching the most significant escalation in the U.S.-Iran confrontation since February, driven by Washington’s failure to achieve its strategic objectives. On the other hand, as noted previously, Iran’s actions thus far have also failed to present a meaningful obstacle to this gradual trajectory. One alternative for Tehran could be to shift toward targeting regional economic infrastructure – a move that would significantly broaden the scope of the conflict and lead to a region-wide catastrophe.

A NYTimes Exclusive: Inside Israel’s Secret Operation to Cultivate Ahmadinejad The yearslong effort to groom the former Iranian president as an intelligence asset culminated in a dramatic effort to take him to an Israeli safe house in the early days of the war. But the plan fell apart. W\ @MarkMazzettiNYT @julianbarnes and @farnazfassihi via @nytimes nytimes.com/2026/07/13/us/po…

Good luck England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Thanks for the kick around earlier 🫡😉

A senior US official tells Barak Ravid that no US military strikes have been carried out in recent hours.

CENTCOM warned Iran is using heavily populated civilian areas for military operations. From stadiums to neighborhoods to tunnel entrances beside schools and clinics, the same pattern keeps emerging: the Islamic Republic embeds military infrastructure inside civilian spaces – and ordinary people pay the price.