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K-man retweeted
The FACE Show - Daily US pre-market show with live guest interviews nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/2bravQRzv…
K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: November has sofar been a story of half hopes in #XAGUSD .
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: Where PMs looked quite reasonable, they finally gave in to the stronger USD over yesterday's US session, printing a further low as no Asian bids were to be seen this time. #XAUUSD is trading under 3975 which turns into the first topside level with the usual 4025/30 next as the short term marker above which things would look a bit brighter. 3920/30 to keep an eye on as below a quick revisit of the 3870/90 lows would be on the cards, potentially opening a trapdoor to 3800, 3735/40 or 3700 if the #USD's wrecking ball hasn't finished its demolition work.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: Unless #AUDUSD can swiftly recover this broken 0.6835/50 area to get back up to 0.6895/10, the downside remains open. 0.6785/90-0.6750/65(!) or potentially 0.6710/20 could be visited. Watch what happens over the US session when bond markets reopen as the correlation with equity markets has blown up this week.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: As #USD extended its gains over Veterans Day there are three downside levels which deserve close monitoring on #GBPUSD would the greenback find further support. 1.3250 where it stopped this morning, 1.3195/15 where short and medium term fib levels come together, 1.3140 the October low and regular level of decision going back to 2023. The #US #bond market coming back on line after a day off should be our guide once more. To reverse the current direction, recapturing 1.3300/10 would be a starting point, breaking back above 1.3340 a likely confirmation.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: Big moment approaching for #USDCAD.
USDCAD has made it back into the old zone and has found resistance at the top, much like it did back in October.
The question from here is can it do what it failed to do back then and break up through 1.43?
We won't know that until it gets through the 1.4265 level first.
Fail, and we could have another significant top.
While that's a possibility, the wider view shows we've still been working in an uptrend all year, so making a fresh high is still highly possible.
For trading it, all the action will be defined by the 1.43 and whether we fail at, or 35 pips below it, or break it, and either move could be significant.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #AUDNZD fails at key level.
Above 1.2290/1.2300, 1.2320 was the level to watch.
1.2320 is the high today, and now we're trying to break back down through the 1.2270/80's.
If we can find a bottom around this area (mark it down to 1.2250/55), that would be a potential bullish signal for Tuesday's low, and the game is back on at 1.2320.
If we move under 1.2250, the Tuesday low becomes the last chance saloon for seeing a proper bounce.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #USDJPY testing 160 has brought out the jawboning.
As discussed on yesterday's FACE show, the 160 level was going to be important for getting Japanese officials hot under the collar, and thus it was that Japan's FX guy Minura popped up to say that the yen moves are too rapid.
He's helped cap the pair there today, so now the market is on notice but will it be enough to stop it for long?
There's an element of "What now?" for USD given US bond markets were closed and it was a half holiday in the US.
If we can't follow through today with further USD buying, we might be on the way to setting another strong top up here.
If we do break up through 160, expect the jawboning to increase and the intervention threat rise, even if the moves are more USD led than JPY.
In that scenario, it would make it hard for the Japanese to interven based on their own conditions for doing so.
We don't have high short speculation (at least outside of Japan (specs are long yen)), we don't have broad yen weakness, and we don't have high volatility.
If 160 does top, be ready for a move back to and likely under 159, and maybe even a push down to 157 in the sessions ahead, if the market gets spooked by the intervention threats.
It might also head sub-159 naturally, if the bid comes out of the buck generally, and then look for the old range to show up again.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: Old levels were good enough to stop #EURUSD.
The 1.1065 level highlighted yesterday is where we stopped in Asia.
This goes back to May 2025 and beyond.
The break of 1.11 looks decisive as we're struggling into the figure.
1.1110/15 and 1.1130 are the other levels to worry about if 1.11 is retaken.
Another old level at 1.1045 (it's a bit 45/50) will be in play if we break lower.
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K-man retweeted
The FACE Show - Daily US pre-market show with live guest interviews nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/2mdrRLKMg…
K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: We're back to the 1.1130's again in #EURUSD.
Another test of the lower end of the range and there's big options activity you need to know about.
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RT @tradinganalytix: UK/EU Session Update: It it time for a break in #USDJPY?
It's not the only USD pair that might be eyeing a break from…
K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: An overshoot on the #US inflation data, hawkish #Fed comments, higher US yields have flipped the USD around once more. #GBPUSD is back at 1.3300/20 support which, if lost, could lead to 1.3275/80, 1.3250 or even low 1.32s. To reverse the picture the pair should retake 1.3345 and 1.3365 for starters.
That's the positive vol update, remember it's Veteran's Day in the US. It could all just come to a standstill this afternoon as well. 🫡
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #AUDUSD dropped back under 0.69 and trades closer to 0.6835/50 support again. #USD making a global comeback, the zone could at least temporary give way for a drop into 0.6785/90 or even 0.6750/65. A material change of direction can only happen if yesterday's 0.6930/35 hurdle gets cleared.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #XAGUSD is the outperformer today for a change
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #XAUUSD's down from yesterday but still seems to find some support sub 4025 for now. Trading inside a wider 3975-4150 range, there are some inside levels to keep an eye on in the meantime: 4000/4100/05 and 4025-4080 on the tight.
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K-man retweeted
The FACE Show - Daily US pre-market show with live guest interviews nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/2VNRezYqO…
K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: Hope surrounding Middle East talks have put pressure on #USD, bringing #GBPUSD closer to resistances at 1.3470/75 and 1.3500/05 in the advent of #US inflation data and real earnings in a few hours. Expecting a tick up in the Y/Y CPI data for October, the confirmation could put cable back to 1.3400/15 or even 1.3380 on an overshoot. But looking at the current mood in markets and for as long as the hopium for a solution in the ME is alive, a weaker print may see a bigger impact and lead to a through test of said resistances. A break above could easily add another 60/70p to the rally.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #EUR is the main beneficiary of lower energy, hope for a possible solution in the ME. #EURGBP tests 0.8360 again today. A hold here would lead the pair back closer to 0.8400 if the hopium trade is sustained. The opposite is obviously true if hopes get shattered once more. The cross could easily drop back into the low 0.83 support.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #AUDUSD went up thanks to the weaker #USD but hasn't performed too well on the cross side, letting the correlation with risk go for now. Trading right above 0.6900/10 that'll be the level to monitor going into US CPI. A failure could put pressure back onto the latest 0.6855/65 lows. For the pair to extend gains, 0.6935 and 0.6945/50 will need to break.
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