Pinned Tweet
Creative determines targeting.
And Meta “knows” how your ad will perform before it even spends.
Here’s how:
ai still can't resist optimizing for lower funnel ads and turning off the ads driving the funnel
I’m seeing more and more brands falling for the "AI media buying" pitch.
If your AI tool is:
- Increasing or decreasing Meta/Google/TikTok budgets based on yesterday's, L3D or L7D performance
- Pausing underperforming ads
- Scaling campaigns when ROAS hits a certain threshold
Congratulations. 🙌
You’ve basically discovered automated rules. 🙃
Something advertisers have been using for years.
And there's nothing wrong with automation. We use it too.
But let's not confuse automation with intelligence.
What bothers me is how these tools are being sold.
Someone mentions "AI" or "superintelligence" and suddenly brand owners start calculating how many media buyers they can fire.
Meanwhile, the tool is just moving budgets up and down based on historical performance.
Or even worse: just making suggestions what to scale or downscale and someone has to manually do it.
That's not necessarily better optimization. And it certainly doesn't guarantee better business outcomes. Which is what you should focus on.
Before paying a premium for an "AI media buyer" ask:
What is it actually doing that wasn't possible before?
What decisions does it make better than an experienced operator?
And most importantly, can it demonstrate incremental business results?
Don't pay AI prices for automated rules.
Thanks.
Have a great weekend.
Are ‘old’ ASC campaigns still slated to be paused at the end of the month?
Anyone have updates on this?
Looks like after September 2026 “all remaining ASC campaigns will be paused”
developers.facebook.com/blog…
Heads up - check your Merchant Center for product disapprovals from the Shopify outage this morning.
Finding disapprovals in most the accounts I'm connected to.
Kurt Bullock retweeted
What is working for me on Meta right now:
1. Cutting audience network entirely has resulted in a substantial increase across the board. I laid out when I do this vs leaving on in a tweet last week. Hat tip @rokhladnik
2. Incremental Attribution - when you have a robust social presence, massive retention audience, or have a considerably longer consideration cycle. IA has proven substantially incremental in our Haus tests on the brands that meet this definition.
3. Consolidation - no more than 4-5 total campaigns running sales objective. Incremental reach struggles beyond this in my experience
4. Scaling campaign with taking winning creative and driving to a different LP to prevent overlap. Usually do one ad set per landing page and running either flex ads or post ID.
5. Creating a daily breakdown in Manus looking at the breakdown effect of your ad spend and ads to understand how each ad is playing in the funnel. I use CPMr as the main metric for this.
6. Partnership ads for each stage of funnel mixed in with main scaling campaign.
7. Launching whitelisted DPAs from creator accounts (hat tip @wearetheselect) and it's pretty awesome out of the gate.
8. Similar to 4, if you're launching ONLY PDP/Collection traffic you're CPMr is going to be high, your traffic is going to struggle, launch LPs, listicles, advertorials etc. You need a split set of traffic now
9. 5-10% of ad spend running sales based campaigns on daily unique reach to boost overall new reach using your top performing ads in a sequence.
10. Bid caps combined with a lowest cost testing framework. I like doing this to play both sides of the coin. It's actually incremental and also helps you know when to scale lowest cost based on bid cap spending.
Kurt Bullock retweeted
I'm presently sitting in a cafe in my wife's hometown of Jeonju, South Korea drinking a latte and doing a bit of a gut check on Meta / Media Buying and the state of DTC in May of 2026.
Right now it's brutal. There is no rhyme or reason as to why something is working / not working. I've got an inbox full of brands asking for audits and help.
Historically post Mother's Day always tracks pretty low, but this year has been one for the record books.
We will always say, is it economic issues, the media buyer, or is Meta (biggest share of wallet) just making massive updates?
The reality, none of us truly know. Which makes things always that much harder to diagnose.
I've been in advertising now for 18 years. The last calendar year has been the most I've ever been uprooted in my professional career.
If 2021-2022 was the year of iOS14, 2025-2026 is the year of what I call "the AI guinea pig era."
I'm not necessarily complaining, it was going to happen. But I just didn't realize how much all of this would impact sooooooo many brands. From AI slop to AI bots, AI has infiltrated every facet of your business for the good and bad.
Even some of the most stable, highest spending accounts I have access to are seeing broad issues, mostly related to issues on Meta.
I write this quickly to tell you once again, you're not alone. I think we can all find some peace in knowing this. That doesn't mean being complacent. There are plenty of things to try, test, and do in your businesses.
However, for the remainder of May until Meta (again biggest share of wallet) launches their new AI pixel, new Meta workflow and slows down their "innovation" some I find it hard to spend MORE unless we absolutely see bright spots. Again, it's not all doom and gloom, some accounts are a bit unfazed because of strong organic signals, but for the majority it's rough.
For most accounts we're seeing downward trends in the days pre-Mother's Day. The only thing that has helped stabilize has been reducing spend. That's it.
Again your businesses are all different, but I'm not going to gaslight you in saying things are good, because the reality is, they aren't.
Heads down though, figuring it out one ad at a time, one campaign at a time and one channel at a time.
This shall too pass.
Kurt Bullock retweeted
Not joking on this one. There's one secret weapon that all the major DTC operators are using.
Meta just rolled out a CLI 👀
Launch ads, pull stats... agent compatible
developers.facebook.com/blog…
The link in the blog post to get started is broken - but here is the correct link:
developers.facebook.com/docu…
Kurt Bullock retweeted
This is the tool I shouted out in the pod. It’s $20/month and has Greta visualizations. My team uses it daily.
CPMr is having a moment. Great to hear @codyplof and @andrewjfaris dig into it on the AJF podcast this week.
Even cooler to hear Cody mention Ad Insights as a tool his team uses to track it. Cody and his team gave us really helpful feedback when we were first building this thing.
We made it really easy to keep an eye on net new reach, campaign incremental reach, and more.
withadinsights.com
Kurt Bullock retweeted
Excellent tool for cracking net new reach in your Meta Ad Account. This tool single handedly saved one of our biggest clients at the start of Q1. Now up 60% YoY.
@KurtBullock @andrewfoxwell
CPMr is having a moment. Great to hear @codyplof and @andrewjfaris dig into it on the AJF podcast this week.
Even cooler to hear Cody mention Ad Insights as a tool his team uses to track it. Cody and his team gave us really helpful feedback when we were first building this thing.
We made it really easy to keep an eye on net new reach, campaign incremental reach, and more.
withadinsights.com
CPMr is having a moment. Great to hear @codyplof and @andrewjfaris dig into it on the AJF podcast this week.
Even cooler to hear Cody mention Ad Insights as a tool his team uses to track it. Cody and his team gave us really helpful feedback when we were first building this thing.
We made it really easy to keep an eye on net new reach, campaign incremental reach, and more.
withadinsights.com
Kurt Bullock retweeted
Why I'm more bullish on incremental attribution on Meta...
1. It's been the biggest way to increase new reach % incrementally in ad accounts at scale that struggle with this.
2. Revenue per visit is between 2-3x higher than standard attribution in most ad accounts I have it running.
3. New customer orders are nearly 100%. The leakage and cross over is much much lower.
4. They are less prone to performance swings. Once the system is optimized (50 conversions) it acts like a growth engine and fatigues less than standard attribution (in my ad accounts).
So how do I run these?
1. In creative testing - all ads go into IA now. Why? Since Andromeda was implemented we've noticed less and less "new" traffic going to these pre-heated ads. In fact, it dropped down near 20-30% only. This obviously creates a problem, I don't know if these creatives are scalable. And the reality was, most weren't. So switching to IA helped identify more and more ads that work. BIG win here.
2. I am a massive fan of Flex Ads. A few reasons, Meta's ad retrieval systems love simplistic. Mainly because it makes it easier to digest and identify winning assets. So the more account consolidation on the ad level (where most of the work is being done) are now spread across less ads with more opportunities for Meta to find new winners.
3. IA + multiple traffic sources + flex ads = the scaling machine. We know Meta uses 50% of the creative and 50% of the LP in the ad account. Yet, most of us only optimize one of these two things. Become as diversified on your traffic sources as you are on your creative for larger wins.
A few caveats:
1. Please don't switch your entire ad accounts to IA. IA works for me and a lot of my brands, but it doesn't work for all. What I've found is the following:
a. If your audience has a TON of retention - test IA
b. If you have an AOV above $80-90-100 - test IA
c. If you have a long consideration window - test IA
d. If new reach is ur probem - test IA
For many ad accounts I'm still all in on 7/1/1 and 7DC via standard attribution. But for many, IA is truly the growth engine needed because it's not putting the window of time to act in a short, well, window. It's instead acting as a likely much more realisitic way that consumers on Meta are acting.
I really hope other channels adopt this system next.
Kurt Bullock retweeted
Sharing because I've been fielding questions on this: should I expect lower reported results?
Short answer: Yes, for advertisers relying on click-only attribution (1-day or 7-day click), attributed results will be lower. For brands using wider attribution windows that include views or engaged-views, the reporting impact is expected to be minimal.
Nuanced answer: One of the unique benefits of Meta is the many ways it can drive business results beyond click-only attribution. People share, comment, tag friends—and that can drive discovery. So I'd highly encourage brands to evaluate and consider moving toward broader attribution windows that capture this value.
Ultimately, we want brands to drive incremental results and validate (with structured experiments) which optimization settings lead to the greatest incremental outcomes. So in addition to testing different attribution windows, advertisers should seriously consider Incremental Attribution to help with this. I'm personally seeing a lot of success here with brands.
👇🏼 Meta Click-Through Attribution Update
📌 What's changing: Click-through attribution for website and in-store conversions will now only include link clicks—it will no longer count conversions that occur following shares, saves, likes, or comments.
📊 New reporting category: Social engagements (shares, saves, likes, comments) will still be credited in Ads Manager, but will appear in a separate bucket called "Engage-Through Attribution" for clearer visibility.
💡 Why it matters: This change aims to address advertiser feedback that Meta reporting doesn't match 3P attribution tools; this will improve that.
⚠️ Watch out for YoY comparisons: When comparing performance year-over-year in Ads Manager, be aware that historical data used the old methodology. This change may create apparent discrepancies that are actually just methodology differences.
🔬 Incrementality Action: If you're running incrementality studies (ex: Conversion Lift, Geo-Lift), refresh your incrementality adjustment factors (calibration factors) to account for any change in the delta between the new Ads Manager reporting and your lift experiments.
Kurt Bullock retweeted
We just surveyed hundreds of digital marketing agency owners for the 2026 State of Agencies report.
The results are... a lot.
Here are the data points that surprised me most 🧵
Kurt Bullock retweeted
A huge shoutout to @KurtBullock & @andrewfoxwell for building a FREE incremental reach report tool
So far, that was available only through the FB rep, and is crucial in understanding if you are reaching new people
Besides this main report, you have a few additional cool reports that can provide more clarity on how your ad $ is spent
Access it here for free:
app.withadinsights.com

















