Leo Lim retweeted
今天小伙伴问的最多的是，周五的 #Bitcoin 如何看？同时涉及明天BTC的大量期权到期，盘面如何看待？
1，首先注意的是，虽然明天圣诞节过了，但是并不代表金融市场的假期正式结束，因为涉及周末，很多机构的假期都横跨周末到下周，
所以圣诞节的低流动性要持续到下周，约1月1日左右才会恢复，所以，这段时间更多的是低流动性高波动阶段。
2，大量期权结算，恰逢低流动性阶段，衍生品市场的头寸博弈此时可能是一个好时机，一旦涉及到头寸清理之间的博弈，可能会造成波动加剧，容易出现“假突破”“假摔”的情况，需要警惕。
3，盘面来看，短期关注4小时级别，MA200上行，MA120下穿MA200 处于下行，技术面给我们的答案是4小时级别大趋势并未走坏，但是中短期的趋势并未扭转，意味着回调节奏并未走完，中短期并未回归上行趋势。
4，如果向上突破，注意89,200附近阻力突破，一定要警惕假突破，突破之后要看是否能站稳，这是重点，最好关注4小时三根K线，站稳在谈后续，如果站不稳，可能就是假突破。
如果向下突破，可能更好，个人预期在1月1日前后希望出现买点，如果价格向下突破，注意84,000——85,000附近能否止跌，如果止跌出现日线级别的收针走势，可以博弈一下买点提前。
5，需要注意，假期低流动性阶段出现的上涨与下跌，在1月1日之后流动性恢复后都可能出现修正行情，不管是上涨还是下跌，流动性恢复后方向都要经历流动性考验。
6，最后在反复重复，目前流动性不高，短期的上涨与下跌都要注意欺骗性，不要盲目跟风。
中东冲突的地缘紧张局势俨然已经过去半年，时间过得飞快，人们的记忆也已经模糊，但是这并不代表中东的危机已经解除
昨天说节后美国与委瑞内拉的局势将会是地缘重点，没想到美国官员率先澄清排除武力的选择，接下来就是经济与制裁的加上军事的多重施压。
只要施压就意味着短期直接地缘冲突的可能性减小，本以为全球地缘暂时安静，但是在我们忽略的世界某个角落，地缘冲突的情绪再度酝酿以及爆发的边缘。
就在昨天，以色列官员预警“伊朗正在重建弹道导弹库，两国恐再度爆发军事冲突”
这意味着什么？
1，以色列对伊朗的容忍红线从不能拥核转为不能大规模部署弹道导弹，并且密切关注哈马斯，黎巴嫩真主党以及伊朗的动态，说明以色列担心伊朗有能力直接重创以色列本土，容忍红线的下降，增加了双边军事冲突的可能性。
2，伊朗没有空中力量，就算现在发展短期也难以磨平差距，从而导致伊朗将军事发展的目标转向弹道导弹，试图让在即拥有“利剑”，算是放弃了防守，准备在敏感时刻以伤换伤，并且弹道导弹可搭载核弹头，一旦伊朗拥有大量的弹道导弹库，就意味着具备随时发动“核”袭击的可能性
一遍容忍线降低，一遍大力发展挑动对方容忍线，双边再次出现军事冲突的可能性大大增加
目前，全球各国的智库以及大国专家都在提高对中东冲突风险的警惕性，看来节后中东议题才是重点，目前预警情绪逐渐酝酿，注意明天黄金开盘是否有加速上涨的趋势。
另外，俄乌与委瑞内拉的局势应该会陷入长期的焦灼化，俄乌问题特朗普是想在中期选举前促成和平，委瑞内拉则是在中期选举前不宜直接冲突。就是不知道以现在局面，特朗普还有多少经历照顾中东情况！
Leo Lim retweeted
btc4日线/cme 2日线
小级别震荡太恶心，我回归大级别做单了，目前btc依然处于4日线vegas支撑附近，按vegas规律来说，反弹大概率会上2日线vegas附近；
cme 2日线
可以看到，之前回踩4日线后，反弹到2日线受阻，再次回踩，倘若后面行情强势些，那我会看到上穿2日线，到1日线vegas附近。
最近开单很少，本来就处于躺平状态，那不如直接大级别做单了，我整体思路还是大级别看多，12小时乃至4小时的多空指标暂时不想看了（指标上，12小时依然看回调，4小时看反弹）。
在8.8W进了第一笔多单，后续再回调我会慢慢加仓位，暂时觉得就这样躺平了。
躺平快乐！
#BTC #比特币 #crypto
Leo Lim retweeted
🏮 Evening from the ancient canals of Hoi An. 🏮
Masked Gent 797's Journey, Trip Around the World Ep.13
Day 10 continues deep into the night. The @FOXX_NFT Masked Gent 797 has moved south to the city of lanterns. The reflection of red lights dances on the dark water, mixing with the glow of distant fires.
But amidst the ruins of this charming town, the wall art tells a terrifyingly specific story.
Remember the "Evolution" mural in Bangkok? It’s here too, but with a twist. The timeline of AGI evolution doesn't just end with a robot... it ends with a Stable Coin (USDT).
The "Strike Coin" flyer in Chiang Mai was just the introduction. This mural confirms it. @FractionAI_xyz isn't just building intelligence; they are building an economy.
AGI + Stable Coins. The currency of the new world?
The Masked Gent grips his axe tighter. The stakes just got financial.
What is the connection between AGI and the Stable Coin?
Good night GN @FractionAI_xyz FAPS fams and friends. See you tomorrow.
Leo Lim retweeted
The more I read about @Alignerz_ the clearer it becomes that it’s not a regular launchpad.
Most platforms reward whoever clicks fastest.
Alignerz rewards whoever commits longest.
The IWO model flips the usual rules you don’t fight for an allocation,you bid with time through your vesting schedule.
And the wild part?
Your vesting becomes a tradable NFT (TVS),so even long term commitment stays liquid.
Add buy back & burn, profit sharing to TVS holders and a mindshare system that tracks who actually contributes.
Alignerz isn’t chasing hype.
It’s building a marketplace for conviction.
Leo Lim retweeted
gLimitless
I spent some time revisiting @trylimitless recently and it is clearer than ever why it keeps pulling people back.
Most prediction markets feel either too complex or too chaotic. Limitless removes all the noise and keeps only what matters: fixed-risk positions, clean UX, and markets that actually react to real volatility.
I like that you do not deal with liquidations or hidden traps. You pick your direction, pick your size, and the outcome is transparent from the start.
For short-term sentiment trading, this structure is surprisingly effective.
What Limitless is building is not just a guessing game.
It is a way to express conviction with controlled risk, and that model has a place in every cycle.
Leo Lim retweeted
The countdown is on. 25.11.25.
7 days until we launch on Base.
And with it, the first chance to start earning from your health data.
To celebrate, we’re giving away $1,000 worth of $PAPPLE AND $MDEV.
To enter:
✅ RT this post
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Learn more: express.pineappledex.com/pro…
Leo Lim retweeted
1/ MONAD’s token sale exploded at launch… then slowed to a crawl. We’re now halfway through the sale window — and it’s nowhere near full. @monad
sosovalue.com/tokenbar/post/…
What do you think happens next? 👇 Poll below
Leo Lim retweeted
🚀 Ave.ai Giveaway 🚀
5 lucky winners will each get 30 USDT! 💰
How to join:
1. Follow @AveaiGlobal
& Join TG: t.me/+sRUeT37k330zN2U1
2. Like ❤️ & RT 🔁 this post
3. Reply with your favorite meme pic & tag 3 friends! 👇
🏆Winners announced in 7 days. Don’t miss out!
#AveAI #Giveaway #Crypto #Memecoin #Web3
Leo Lim retweeted
Only unique humans get $SENT ✅
@SentientAGI’s airdrop registration runs on Billions’ Proof of Unique Human.
Prove you’re human, reveal nothing else.
It’s go time, the Airdrop Registration Portal is LIVE 🎉
You all helped advance our mission: making open-source AI win. Now, it’s time to confirm your spot. Open the registration portal, follow the steps, and link your accounts.
Wake up, it's time to GET $SENT 👇
Leo Lim retweeted
GM Legends ☕️💉
Today I finally touched grass (and iron) after 30 days of pure copium 🏋️♂️
But that’s nothing compared to what’s dropping:
🔥 LIVE AMA right now in Backpack Discord - my quant god @TakayamaJoe spilling alpha (in 1h from now)
🔥 FINAL EPISODE BEFORE MONAD MAINNET - @naddotfun × @ChogNFT × @armaniferrante
LFG or stay sidelined, your choice 🚀🚀🚀
nitter.cf/i/spaces/1rmGPvq…
Leo Lim retweeted
Social trading is evolving fast and @pip_world is one of the few actually building for real users, not just speculators.
Their cross platform execution layer lets you trade directly from the places you already spend time, turning social feeds into actionable flows.
Pip is shaping a world where information, identity, and execution meet in one place.
Clean, fast, and built for traders who move with the timeline.
