Fally Weatherson

Thanks to everyone who bought the guide so far! DM me if you want a copy, still got a few days til Week 9 gets rolling.

Sam Darnold (quad) will be out Week 9, via @ByTimBooth.

🚨 Guide announcement: The 2026 NFL Midseason Betting Guide will be released next Tuesday, November 3rd. Many (MANY!) of you that bought the preseason guide were interested in some kind of content during the season. So next week, I will update the whole thing! (cont...)

One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up. So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us." Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true. But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone. Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were: 1) End the war 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation 3) Put America First 4) Change our relationship to Israel Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.) In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you. The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night. If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there. I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.

Governor DeSantis BLASTS Kristi Noem for bungling mass deportations and turning it into a shit show for her own glory. DeSantis BLASTS Congressmen like Byron Donalds for making millions on the stock market. DeSantis BLASTS Alina Habba for getting a $10 million government contract and securing a presidential pardon for her boyfriend. “If the people in office don't display some civic virtue about public service as a sacrifice. It's not to use the public office for private gain. I declined the pension in Congress. I declined the health care. I didn't trade the stocks. And I believe in congressional term limits. I mean, imagine if you went to the American people and actually tried to get that done. That's not right or left. That's something that a lot of people realize.. These guys work for themselves. They should be working for you.”

Guide update! I am rolling over here, likely to be close to an on-time departure. Maybe be 1pm instead of noon, but we're going to be in the zip code. My hands are flying around the keyboard as fast as they can!

🚨 Guide announcement: The 2026 NFL Midseason Betting Guide will be released next Tuesday, November 3rd. Many (MANY!) of you that bought the preseason guide were interested in some kind of content during the season. So next week, I will update the whole thing! (cont...)

In 2022, the 49ers traded second-, third-, fourth- and fifth-round picks to the Carolina Panthers for running back Christian McCaffrey. The Colts would seek a similar compensation package from teams looking to acquire Jonathan Taylor.

🚨 Guide announcement: The 2026 NFL Midseason Betting Guide will be released next Tuesday, November 3rd. Many (MANY!) of you that bought the preseason guide were interested in some kind of content during the season. So next week, I will update the whole thing! (cont...)

🚨 Guide announcement: The 2026 NFL Midseason Betting Guide will be released next Tuesday, November 3rd. Many (MANY!) of you that bought the preseason guide were interested in some kind of content during the season. So next week, I will update the whole thing! (cont...)

OKCs active players: Shai - MVP McCain - 1st round pick Ajay - 2nd round pick IHart- 2nd round pick Jwill - 2nd round pick Barnhizer - 2nd round pick Kenrich - UDFA Mara - Rookie Stirtz - Rookie Dix - UDFA Rookie Please tell me what Shai is supposed to do man