Politics Made Plain

Here are my hot takes about the competitive Senate races. Longpost: - Ashley Hinson is not a good candidate, I don’t care. But Iowa 50-50 - Roger Marshall is so toxic I can see an argument for Kansas being Lean D. Hamilton being a S tier candidate + blue wave + left-trending state + GOP senator that can’t campaign and has -20 approval would be viewed as Lean D by most outside observers - that said KS is still a Tilt R/Tossup because I have Bollier PTSD - Dems are gonna overperform by a lot in MS/LA/SC but I’ll believe it when I see it - Speaking of SC I think the hype is somewhat real and all the conditions for a Dem win there have been met but it’s probably just too red. I hope not tho but we’ll see - Nebraska is more competitive than everyone thinks… the GOP has barely led there on their internals and everyone thinks it’s Likely R while the other 2 Corn Belt states are tossups? It doesn’t make any sense to me, sorry - If OH/TX/AK/ME don’t flip we’re fucked