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NCFREE

@NCFEF

The North Carolina FreeEnterprise Foundation

 Raleigh, NC
ncfree.org/
Joined January 2010
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We now rate the NC House a tossup. GOP favored to keep Senate, w/o a veto-proof majority. 16 races moved, all toward Dems. Likeliest outcome: neither chamber will be able to override Gov. on party lines with only GOP votes. Learn more: ncfree.org/partisan-district… #ncpol #ncga #ncleg
Partisan District Scores | NC FreeEnterprise Foundation

Partisan District Scores | NC FreeEnterprise Foundation

The expected margin for a generic candidate in every North Carolina legislative district in a neutral year.

ncfree.org
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A sneak peek at our updated ratings in the key NC House and Senate races. The full update, with seat projections for both chambers, comes out tomorrow morning. NCFREE members got an early look today. Learn more: ncfree.org/join #ncpol #ncleg
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Thanks to @AENC for hosting NCFREE at its Fall Conference. Watch Alex Baltzegar’s nonpartisan preview of NC’s 2026 Senate, congressional and legislative races: ncfree.org/2026/10/alex-balt…
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Early voting in NC: 2,150,025 ballots cast through Day 14. That's 27.3% of registered voters, vs. 21.4% at this point in 2022. Turnout is ahead of four years ago in 95 of 100 counties. NCFREE is tracking it daily at: ncfree.org/early-voting-trac… #ncpol #ncga #ncleg
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Early voting in NC: 1,961,168 ballots cast through Day 13. That's 24.9% of registered voters, vs. 19.4% at this point in 2022. Turnout is ahead of four years ago in 95 of 100 counties. NCFREE is tracking it daily at: ncfree.org/early-voting-trac… #ncpol #ncga #ncleg
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Early voting in NC: 1,773,890 ballots cast through Day 12. That's 22.5% of registered voters, vs. 17.5% at this point in 2022. Turnout is ahead of four years ago in 95 of 100 counties. NCFREE is tracking it daily at: ncfree.org/early-voting-trac… #ncpol #ncga #ncleg
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Early voting in NC: 1,269,920 ballots cast through Day 8. That's 16.1% of registered voters, vs 12.5% at this point in 2022. Turnout is ahead of two years ago in 94 of 100 counties. NCFREE is tracking it daily here: ncfree.org/early-voting-trac… #ncpol #ncleg #ncga
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Early voting in NC: 1,101,322 ballots cast through Day 7. That’s 14.0% of registered voters, vs. 10.8% at this point in 2022. Turnout is ahead of two years ago in 91 of 100 counties. NCFREE is tracking it daily: ncfree.org/early-voting-trac… #ncpol #ncga #ncleg
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Early voting in NC: 924,160 ballots cast through Day 6. That’s 11.7% of registered voters, vs. 9.0% at this point in 2022. Turnout is ahead of two years ago in 92 of 100 counties. NCFREE is tracking it daily. ncfree.org/2026/10/follow-no… #ncpol #ncga #ncleg
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Start your week with a special 2026 Election Preview edition of the #DoPoliticsBetter pod: 🎙️ @NCFEF’s @AlexBaltzegar goes through #ncpol races with @skydiving11 and me that will decide the balance of power in each General Assembly chamber. We’ve got polling, fundraising, candidate quality indicators, and district indexing that tells the #ncpol story. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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See what #ncga House races NCFREE's @AlexBaltzegar says they are keeping tabs on. #ncpol
North State Journal (@nsjnews) profile pictureNorth State Journal@nsjnewsOct 9
Republicans are trying to keep firm control of the General Assembly — several key races will determine if they do. #ncpol nsjonline.com/article/2026/1…
NC House races to watch closely

NC House races to watch closely

Republicans currently hold the majority in the North Carolina House with 71 of 120 seats.

nsjonline.com
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.@NSJonline covers the NC House races NCFREE has on our toss-up watchlist heading into November: nsjonline.com/article/2026/1… #ncpol #ncleg #ncga
NC House races to watch closely

NC House races to watch closely

Republicans currently hold the majority in the North Carolina House with 71 of 120 seats.

nsjonline.com
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Thanks to the #DoPoliticsBetter Podcast for having our Executive Director @AlexBaltzegar join this episode to break down the races that will decide control of the #NCGA. Be sure to listen for the latest on #ncpol #ncleg
Brian Lewis (@NewFrameInc) profile pictureBrian Lewis
@NewFrameIncOct 8
NEW #DoPoliticsBetter 🎧 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas… In this special edition of the pod, @NCFEF Executive Director @AlexBaltzegar sits down with @skydiving11 & me to tick through the #ncpol races that could decide power in the 2027 General Assembly. We talk money, polls, candidate quality, and trend lines in key #ncga races.
NC FREE's Take on the 2026 Race for General Assembly Control

NC FREE's Take on the 2026 Race for General Assembly Control

Podcast Episode · Do Politics Better Podcast · October 8 · 53m

podcasts.apple.com
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NEW #DoPoliticsBetter 🎧 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas… In this special edition of the pod, @NCFEF Executive Director @AlexBaltzegar sits down with @skydiving11 & me to tick through the #ncpol races that could decide power in the 2027 General Assembly. We talk money, polls, candidate quality, and trend lines in key #ncga races.
NC FREE's Take on the 2026 Race for General Assembly Control

NC FREE's Take on the 2026 Race for General Assembly Control

Podcast Episode · Do Politics Better Podcast · October 8 · 53m

podcasts.apple.com
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Western NC's HD-115 in Buncombe County comes in at D+2.4 in NCFREE's 2026 Partisan District Scores. Incumbent Rep. Lindsey Prather (D) faces Republican challenger Anthony Penland in November. ncfree.org/partisan-district… #ncpol #ncleg #ncga
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I was curious about how the sampling on this 608 LV @CarolinaJournal poll compared to voter turnout in previous midterms. The short of it: not bad. See below 🧵 for more #NCSen analysis:
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Carolina Journal (@CarolinaJournal) profile pictureCarolina Journal
@CarolinaJournalSep 17
NEW POLL RESULTS: Dem. Roy Cooper's lead over Rep. Michael Whatley grows to 15.1 points in the race for NC's US Senate Seat.
September 2026 Carolina Journal Poll: Roy Cooper leads Michael Whatley in the U.S. Senate race, 49.2% to 34.1%. Shannon Bray receives 2.9%, Michael Dublin 1.5%, and 12.3% are unsure.

ALT September 2026 Carolina Journal Poll: Roy Cooper leads Michael Whatley in the U.S. Senate race, 49.2% to 34.1%. Shannon Bray receives 2.9%, Michael Dublin 1.5%, and 12.3% are unsure.

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Twenty-five years later, we remember the lives lost on September 11, 2001.
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HD-105 in Mecklenburg County is rated D+2.1 in NCFREE's 2026 Partisan District Scores. The fundamentals lean slightly Democratic, but the race is well within reach for either party. Incumbent Rep. Tricia Cotham (R) faces Ken McCool (D). ncfree.org/partisan-district… #ncpol #ncleg #ncga
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Our 2026 Partisan District Scores rate HD-24 (Nash & Wilson Counties) at D+2.0. Incumbent Rep. Dante Pittman (D) faces GOP challenger Blake Boykin in 1 of the most competitive House races this fall. View all #ncleg #ncga districts at ncfree.org/partisan-district… #ncpol
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SD-11 (Franklin, Nash & Vance Counties) is one of NC's most competitive legislative races this year. Rated D+0.8 in our 2026 Partisan District Scores, incumbent Sen. Lisa Barnes (R) faces James Gailliard (D) in Nov. ncfree.org/partisan-district… #ncpol #ncleg #ncga
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